PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

NC State vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 76-77
0-0 42-37 0-0 34-40
Position#128
Record18-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#38
Record19-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC State v Miami (FL)
14 Feb 2026
NC S76
MIAM77
30 Jan 2024
NC S74
MIAM68
14 Jan 2023
NC S83
MIAM81
09 Jan 2021
NC S59
MIAM64
15 Jan 2020
NC S80
MIAM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
113-69
113
69
+44
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A31/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H07/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
77-118
77
118
-41
A10/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-32
0-0
39-39
0-0
56-31
0-0
57-38
0-0
35-34
0-0
39-44
0-0
38-33
0-0
31-36
0-0
34-33
0-0
47-39
0-0
41-37
0-0
47-31
0-0
49-31
0-0
47-47
0-0
34-42
0-0
50-41
0-0
36-24
0-0
46-49
0-0
36-56
0-0
41-62
164.0Avg total
85.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.374.3159.6+11.072%
Season at home (15)84.869.0153.8+15.873%
Season away (10)86.182.2168.3+3.970%
Last 10 (10)85.478.6164.0+6.880%
Last 5 (5)85.484.0169.4+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.090.5164.5-16.550%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.676.9155.5+1.753%
vs Weaker (13)88.868.6157.4+20.285%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#190
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H29/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-38
0-0
42-39
0-0
47-33
0-0
44-48
0-0
39-39
0-0
42-30
0-0
26-35
0-0
33-34
0-0
37-38
0-0
26-27
0-0
41-36
0-0
44-40
0-0
35-40
0-0
44-30
0-0
44-45
0-0
41-41
0-0
34-33
0-0
40-35
0-0
43-40
0-0
32-26
150.0Avg total
77.3Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.869.8153.7+14.079%
Season at home (16)88.269.0157.2+19.281%
Season away (8)75.171.5146.6+3.675%
Last 10 (10)77.372.7150.0+4.670%
Last 5 (5)79.673.2152.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.884.0152.8-15.217%
vs Similar ◀ (4)66.072.0138.0-6.025%
vs Weaker (20)87.469.3156.8+18.190%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
NC StateMiami (FL)
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A31/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/02
NCAA
75.2Avg total
39.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.433.972.3+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.931.470.3+7.682%-
Last 30 away (13)37.637.274.8+0.454%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.375.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.043.078.0-8.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.534.769.1-0.247%-
vs Weaker (13)43.431.675.0+11.8100%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#190
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H29/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/02
NCAA
76.2Avg total
38.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.575.7+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.837.278.9+4.653%-
Last 30 away (11)34.835.470.2-0.545%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.776.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.878.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.741.772.3-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.035.570.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (20)42.635.177.8+7.565%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
NC State wins
4
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Miami (FL) v NC State72-70
31/01/24NC State v Miami (FL)74-68
14/01/23NC State v Miami (FL)83-81 OT
10/12/22Miami (FL) v NC State80-73
30/12/21Miami (FL) v NC State91-83
09/01/21NC State v Miami (FL)59-64
06/02/20Miami (FL) v NC State72-83
16/01/20NC State v Miami (FL)80-63
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26ALouisville77-118
07/02/26HVirginia Tech82-73
04/02/26ASMU Mustangs84-83
31/01/26AWake Forest96-78
28/01/26HSyracuse88-68
24/01/26APittsburgh81-72
21/01/26AClemson80-76 OT
17/01/26HGeorgia Tech74-78
10/01/26AFlorida State113-69
07/01/26ABoston College79-71
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HNorth Carolina75-66
07/02/26ABoston College74-68
31/01/26HCalifornia85-86
29/01/26HStanford79-70
24/01/26ASyracuse85-76
21/01/26HFlorida State63-65
17/01/26AClemson59-69
14/01/26ANotre Dame81-69
10/01/26HGeorgia Tech91-81
08/01/26AWake Forest81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL72%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %72%73%70%
Points / game85.384.886.1
Allowed / game74.369.082.2
Point differential+11.0+15.8+3.9
Avg total159.6153.8168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWLWLW81%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %79%81%75%
Points / game83.888.275.1
Allowed / game69.869.071.5
Point differential+14.0+19.2+3.6
Avg total153.7157.2146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2523292%82.263.1+19.1
2 Virginia2521484%80.869.0+11.8
3 North Carolina2520580%81.870.4+11.4
4 Miami (FL)2419579%83.869.8+14.0
5 Clemson2620677%74.864.7+10.1
6 Louisville2418675%87.170.9+16.2
7 NC State2518772%85.374.3+11.0
8 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
9 SMU Mustangs2517868%86.277.6+8.6
10 Virginia Tech2617965%79.274.7+4.4
11 Stanford2516964%75.972.7+3.2
12 Syracuse26151158%76.572.2+4.3
13 Wake Forest24121250%80.277.6+2.6
14 Florida State25121348%80.478.4+2.0
15 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
16 Georgia Tech26111542%74.576.3-1.8
17 Boston College2591636%67.469.3-1.9
18 Pittsburgh2691735%69.971.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NC State04203476
Miami (FL)03704077
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.