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NC State vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-82
39-42 46-40
Position#66
Record15-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#302
Record9-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · NC State v Notre Dame
08 Jan 2025
NC S66
NOTR65
24 Jan 2023
NC S85
NOTR82
05 Feb 2022
NC S57
NOTR69
08 Jan 2020
NC S73
NOTR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A30/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H05/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
30-46
48-29
44-44
34-38
36-28
31-28
45-36
21-28
43-50
44-22
40-38
36-22
37-47
42-32
31-41
42-37
36-29
33-34
36-46
147.9Avg total
76.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.069.0148.0+10.075%
Season at home (14)82.166.2148.3+15.993%
Season away (6)71.875.5147.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)76.271.7147.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)77.471.2148.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.380.3147.7-13.00%
vs Similar (14)73.673.1146.6+0.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.264.7147.9+18.5100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A22/12
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H28/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
26-36
39-38
33-35
21-19
38-24
34-33
31-43
38-34
25-36
28-41
36-40
30-29
35-36
40-36
33-42
29-39
42-45
35-36
37-48
141.2Avg total
67.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.971.3141.2-1.445%
Season at home (15)70.969.9140.8+1.160%
Season away (5)66.875.8142.6-9.00%
Last 10 (10)67.473.8141.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)70.679.8150.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.171.0141.1-0.956%
vs Similar (15)71.871.7143.5+0.147%
vs Weaker (6)80.072.7152.7+7.350%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -4.9-4.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -4.9-4.9
NC StateNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A10/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/12
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A30/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H05/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A08/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
37.4Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.331.969.2+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.631.369.9+7.368%-
Last 30 away (11)35.232.868.0+2.445%-
Last 10 (10)37.430.467.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.429.468.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.337.069.3-4.717%-
vs Similar (14)36.431.167.5+5.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.629.971.5+11.790%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H28/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.769.1+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.832.166.9+2.665%-
Last 30 away (10)36.836.773.5+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.667.6-1.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.268.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.731.265.9+3.467%-
vs Similar (15)34.934.869.7+0.160%-
vs Weaker (6)38.034.572.5+3.567%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NC State wins
2
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
05/02/22NC State v Notre Dame57-69
27/01/22Notre Dame v NC State73-65
04/03/21Notre Dame v NC State69-80
09/01/20NC State v Notre Dame73-68
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23ANorth Carolina69-80
18/01/23AGeorgia Tech78-66
14/01/23HMiami (FL)83-81 OT
08/01/23AVirginia Tech73-69
05/01/23HDuke84-60
30/12/22AClemson64-78
23/12/22HLouisville76-64
18/12/22HVanderbilt70-66
13/12/22HFurman92-73
10/12/22AMiami (FL)73-80
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HBoston College72-84
18/01/23HFlorida State71-84
15/01/23ASyracuse73-78
11/01/23HGeorgia Tech73-72 OT
07/01/23ANorth Carolina64-81
04/01/23ABoston College63-70
30/12/22HMiami (FL)65-76
28/12/22HJacksonville59-43
22/12/22AFlorida State72-73
18/12/22AGeorgia62-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %75%93%33%
Points / game79.082.171.8
Allowed / game69.066.275.5
Point differential+10.0+15.9-3.7
Avg total148.0148.3147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%7%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20155
Win %45%60%0%
Points / game69.970.966.8
Allowed / game71.369.975.8
Point differential-1.4+1.1-9.0
Avg total141.2140.8142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1815383%70.360.3+10.1
2 Clemson2016480%74.566.9+7.5
3 NC State2015575%79.069.0+10.0
4 Duke2014670%72.264.2+7.9
5 North Carolina2014670%79.672.2+7.3
6 Wake Forest2014670%77.372.3+5.0
7 Pittsburgh2013765%74.167.7+6.5
8 Syracuse2013765%75.670.0+5.7
9 Virginia Tech2012860%72.866.1+6.8
10 Miami (FL)38221658%76.272.4+3.7
11 Notre Dame2091145%69.971.3-1.4
12 Boston College2091145%65.969.7-3.8
13 Georgia Tech1981142%69.870.5-0.6
14 Stanford1971237%67.966.2+1.7
15 Florida State2071335%69.673.3-3.8
16 SMU Mustangs2071335%68.772.5-3.9
17 California2031715%61.068.4-7.5
18 Louisville1921711%62.475.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State394685
Notre Dame424082
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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