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NC State vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-65
26-33 40-32
Position#293
Record8-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game66.9
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Notre Dame
USA
Position#241
Record7-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · NC State v Notre Dame
08 Jan 2025
NC S66
NOTR65
24 Jan 2023
NC S85
NOTR82
05 Feb 2022
NC S57
NOTR69
08 Jan 2020
NC S73
NOTR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#178
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
84-74 OT
84
74
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-24
38-34
32-33
29-38
27-38
34-34
31-33
28-30
35-33
35-37
35-28
31-28
30-38
30-37
52-23
37-40
39-29
28-41
32-38
27-39
136.6Avg total
68.7Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.866.9139.6+5.957%
Season at home (10)77.264.2141.4+13.080%
Season away (4)61.873.5135.2-11.80%
Last 10 (10)68.767.9136.6+0.840%
Last 5 (5)68.268.2136.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.770.9138.6-3.238%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.570.4147.8+7.169%
vs Weaker (4)86.567.5154.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#174
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-41
31-43
35-34
34-35
31-39
23-26
30-40
46-40
22-34
26-35
30-26
39-38
39-28
38-37
49-30
42-32
24-43
51-43
32-39
41-35
145.8Avg total
72.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.670.9146.4+4.750%
Season at home (10)79.770.9150.6+8.860%
Season away (4)65.270.8136.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)72.473.4145.8-1.030%
Last 5 (5)77.070.2147.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)63.069.8132.8-6.824%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.570.3147.7+7.264%
vs Weaker (2)88.569.5158.0+19.0100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
NC StateNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#178
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H23/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A04/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
35.6Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.269.0+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.432.370.7+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)33.134.167.3-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)35.631.767.3+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.268.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.533.866.4-1.331%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.032.668.6+3.469%-
vs Weaker (4)45.533.078.5+12.575%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#174
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
NCAA
69.2Avg total
33.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.334.968.2-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.233.970.1+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)29.536.265.8-6.723%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.469.2-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.268.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.235.865.9-5.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.333.669.9+2.682%-
vs Weaker (2)43.535.078.5+8.550%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
NC State wins
2
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24Notre Dame v NC State52-54
25/01/23NC State v Notre Dame85-82
05/02/22NC State v Notre Dame57-69
27/01/22Notre Dame v NC State73-65
04/03/21Notre Dame v NC State69-80
09/01/20NC State v Notre Dame73-68
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AWake Forest59-77
31/12/24AVirginia67-70
22/12/24HRider89-63
14/12/24AKansas60-75
11/12/24HCoppin State66-56
07/12/24HFlorida State84-74 OT
05/12/24HTexas59-63
29/11/24ABrigham Young61-72
28/11/24HPurdue61-71
23/11/24HWilliam & Mary81-58
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HNorth Carolina73-74
31/12/24AGeorgia Tech75-86
22/12/24HLe Moyne91-62
12/12/24HDartmouth77-65
07/12/24HSyracuse69-64
04/12/24AGeorgia48-69
30/11/24HCreighton76-80
28/11/24AHouston54-65
27/11/24HRutgers84-85 OT
23/11/24HElon77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game72.877.261.8
Allowed / game66.964.273.5
Point differential+5.9+13.0-11.8
Avg total139.6141.4135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%70%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %50%60%25%
Points / game75.679.765.2
Allowed / game70.970.970.8
Point differential+4.7+8.8-5.5
Avg total146.4150.6136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1513287%80.058.4+21.6
2 Pittsburgh1512380%81.668.9+12.7
3 Clemson1612475%77.667.3+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%84.172.7+11.4
5 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
6 Florida State1410471%79.169.5+9.6
7 Louisville1611569%77.669.8+7.8
8 Stanford149564%76.971.9+4.9
9 North Carolina1610662%84.478.4+6.0
10 Boston College159660%71.372.3-1.1
11 NC State148657%72.866.9+5.9
12 Virginia148657%61.461.5-0.1
13 Notre Dame147750%75.670.9+4.7
14 Georgia Tech168850%75.971.9+4.0
15 California147750%77.876.9+0.9
16 Syracuse157847%75.778.1-2.4
17 Virginia Tech146843%71.173.5-2.4
18 Miami (FL)1441029%78.475.1+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State264066
Notre Dame333265
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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