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NC State vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-64
31-28 45-36
Position#66
Record10-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game67.8
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Louisville
USA
Position#367
Record2-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · NC State v Louisville
12 Feb 2025
NC S66
LOUI91
12 Mar 2024
NC S94
LOUI85
22 Dec 2022
NC S76
LOUI64
04 Dec 2021
NC S68
LOUI73
01 Feb 2020
NC S57
LOUI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#349
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H19/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Dayton
#85
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H26/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H07/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
37-36
31-39
43-41
36-32
40-32
35-22
41-39
43-28
42-36
28-33
32-35
49-32
45-40
43-34
30-46
48-29
44-44
34-38
36-28
146.5Avg total
77.4Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.067.8148.8+13.277%
Season at home (11)82.465.6148.0+16.791%
Season away (2)73.580.0153.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)77.469.1146.5+8.370%
Last 5 (5)77.871.8149.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.678.2146.8-9.68%
vs Similar (10)73.671.8145.4+1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.864.6149.4+20.1100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#203
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A21/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
38-70
38
70
-32
H22/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A24/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
54-79
54
79
-25
H30/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
53-80
53
80
-27
H04/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A10/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-38
35-23
28-36
26-44
13-32
25-38
30-31
32-50
26-37
28-42
23-42
30-38
24-36
29-39
46-35
48-48
22-20
39-35
32-33
35-42
133.5Avg total
59.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.273.2134.4-12.117%
Season at home (9)62.871.4134.2-8.722%
Season away (3)56.378.7135.0-22.30%
Last 10 (10)59.673.9133.5-14.320%
Last 5 (5)65.673.6139.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)62.374.4136.8-12.18%
vs Similar (6)66.367.7134.0-1.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -7.2-7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -7.2-7.2
NC StateLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#349
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A23/11
NCAA
Dayton
#85
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H26/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H07/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A10/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
38.4Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.670.1+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.332.169.4+5.258%-
Last 30 away (11)35.236.271.4-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.431.469.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.273.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.937.569.4-5.617%-
vs Similar (10)36.932.469.3+4.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.929.272.1+13.688%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#203
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
13-32
13
32
-19
H22/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H30/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H04/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A10/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/12
NCAA
60.9Avg total
26.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.234.763.9-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.134.264.2-4.139%-
Last 30 away (12)27.935.663.5-7.78%-
Last 10 (10)26.934.060.9-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.262.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)28.735.564.2-6.921%-
vs Similar (6)31.331.562.8-0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NC State wins
2
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
13/01/22Louisville v NC State63-79
04/12/21NC State v Louisville68-73
01/02/20NC State v Louisville57-77
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HVanderbilt70-66
13/12/22HFurman92-73
10/12/22AMiami (FL)73-80
07/12/22HCoppin State94-72
03/12/22HPittsburgh60-68
30/11/22HWilliam & Mary85-64
26/11/22HButler76-61
24/11/22HDayton76-64
23/11/22AKansas74-80
19/11/22HElon74-63
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22HLipscomb67-75
17/12/22HFlorida A&M61-55
15/12/22HWestern Kentucky94-83
10/12/22AFlorida State53-75
04/12/22HMiami (FL)53-80
30/11/22HMaryland54-79
24/11/22ACincinnati62-81
22/11/22HTexas Tech38-70
21/11/22AArkansas54-80
15/11/22HAppalachian State60-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW77%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %77%91%0%
Points / game81.082.473.5
Allowed / game67.865.680.0
Point differential+13.2+16.7-6.5
Avg total148.8148.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL17%
HomeLLWWL22%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %17%22%0%
Points / game61.262.856.3
Allowed / game73.271.478.7
Point differential-12.1-8.7-22.3
Avg total134.4134.2135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1311285%75.462.9+12.5
2 Virginia108280%70.259.8+10.4
3 NC State1310377%81.067.8+13.2
4 Duke1310377%72.960.4+12.5
5 Clemson1310377%75.866.5+9.3
6 Miami (FL)2417771%76.671.5+5.1
7 Pittsburgh139469%75.867.5+8.3
8 North Carolina139469%81.574.5+6.9
9 Wake Forest139469%75.570.8+4.8
10 Syracuse138562%75.369.4+5.9
11 Georgia Tech127558%72.568.2+4.3
12 Notre Dame127558%71.569.9+1.6
13 Boston College137654%64.366.9-2.6
14 Stanford114736%67.563.9+3.6
15 SMU Mustangs114736%68.571.1-2.6
16 Florida State1441029%68.773.2-4.5
17 Louisville1221017%61.273.2-12.1
18 California131128%59.266.3-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State314576
Louisville283664
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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