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Neptunas vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-65
20-9 18-20 12-23 23-13
Position#20
Record6-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#26
Record6-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H09/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
81-56
81
56
+25
A11/12
LKL
AEK Athens
#22
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A16/12
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H20/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H23/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A27/12
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A30/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H03/01
LKL
Aris
#11
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A06/01
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A10/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
21-23
22-18
17-20
23-10
24-17
14-12
20-17
19-22
15-11
26-20
11-22
22-22
16-11
22-21
16-17
21-6
20-18
23-20
18-21
17-18
22-19
19-14
18-29
22-26
20-15
21-16
22-15
23-25
24-21
11-16
32-17
5-25
17-21
22-17
14-21
11-19
16-6
9-20
19-13
147.1Avg total
75.6Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.681.0161.6-0.455%
Season at home (5)87.686.0173.6+1.660%
Season away (6)74.876.8151.7-2.050%
Last 10 (10)75.671.5147.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)72.874.6147.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.780.8156.5-5.217%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.678.7155.2-2.144%
vs Weaker (15)78.872.5151.3+6.373%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A06/12
BBL
Gran Canaria
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A09/12
Eurocup
Bamberg
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H13/12
BBL
Brindisi
#43
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H16/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#14
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H19/12
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A22/12
BBL
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#10
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A02/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H06/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
18-22
17-11
32-22
17-21
21-18
23-24
17-20
10-20
24-31
20-12
20-24
18-28
24-13
21-23
17-15
26-22
29-17
17-20
19-14
21-13
26-31
18-17
21-22
30-17
13-11
20-13
26-17
21-17
17-10
22-19
20-23
11-25
21-19
24-26
24-20
25-21
16-19
19-12
23-15
160.7Avg total
83.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.977.9155.8+0.055%
Season at home (6)81.378.2159.5+3.267%
Season away (5)73.877.6151.4-3.840%
Last 10 (10)83.677.1160.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)83.673.4157.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.382.0160.3-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.681.2163.9+1.438%
vs Weaker (16)83.671.8155.4+11.888%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
NeptunasAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H09/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A11/12
LKL
AEK Athens
#22
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A16/12
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H20/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H23/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/12
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/01
LKL
Aris
#11
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A06/01
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A10/01
LKL
72.9Avg total
38.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.975.1+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.278.6+4.271%-
Last 30 away (16)35.436.671.9-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.972.9+3.190%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.074.4-3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.238.376.5-0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.340.877.1-4.456%-
vs Weaker (15)39.333.973.3+5.467%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/12
BBL
Gran Canaria
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A09/12
Eurocup
Bamberg
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H13/12
BBL
Brindisi
#43
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H16/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#14
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H19/12
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/12
BBL
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#10
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A02/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H06/01
Eurocup
81.8Avg total
41.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.778.7+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.040.381.3+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.037.176.1+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.281.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.676.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.346.080.3-11.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.440.180.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)41.935.377.2+6.675%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/16AAlytaus Dzukija55-58
06/01/16AAris58-84
03/01/16HPieno Zvaigzdes90-79
30/12/15ASkycop85-72
27/12/15ARytas76-80
23/12/15HJuventus82-65
20/12/15HAlytaus Dzukija76-71
16/12/15AAEK Athens71-75
11/12/15ANevezis81-56
09/12/15HNizhny Novgorod82-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/16HOlimpia Milano83-67
02/01/16ALudwigsburg80-90
30/12/15As.Oliver Wurzburg80-69
27/12/15HMitteldeutscher89-58
22/12/15APhoenix Hagen86-83
19/12/15HTubingen91-73
16/12/15HBrindisi80-79
13/12/15HBamberg74-87
09/12/15AGran Canaria78-83
06/12/15AFrankfurt95-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game80.687.674.8
Allowed / game81.086.076.8
Point differential-0.4+1.6-2.0
Avg total161.6173.6151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game77.981.373.8
Allowed / game77.978.277.6
Point differential+0.0+3.2-3.8
Avg total155.8159.5151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karsiyaka110100%81.068.0+13.0
2 Valencia11110100%80.668.3+12.4
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%82.073.0+9.0
4 Strasbourg110100%85.076.0+9.0
5 Zielona Gora110100%82.073.0+9.0
6 Bayern110100%85.083.0+2.0
7 Bilbao119282%86.373.1+13.2
8 Zenit Petersburg119282%82.475.5+6.9
9 Saratov118373%95.685.0+10.6
10 Galatasaray118373%88.277.9+10.3
11 Unics Kazan118373%80.472.5+7.8
12 Gran Canaria118373%83.276.1+7.1
13 Trento118373%87.080.9+6.1
14 Aris128467%72.671.2+1.4
15 Ludwigsburg117464%80.474.0+6.4
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza117464%75.378.2-2.9
17 Nizhny Novgorod116555%79.578.5+1.0
18 Alba Berlin116555%77.977.9+0.0
19 Reggiana116555%76.576.5+0.0
20 Neptunas116555%80.681.0-0.4
21 Olimpia Milano21150%81.068.5+12.5
22 AEK Athens105550%79.481.2-1.8
23 PAOK126650%76.982.0-5.1
24 Banvit115645%77.576.5+1.0
25 Hapoel M. Jerusalem115645%82.282.1+0.1
26 Trabzonspor115645%74.776.4-1.6
27 Petrol Olimpija115645%79.382.7-3.5
28 Oldenburg115645%77.481.6-4.3
29 Szolnoki Olaj115645%77.282.0-4.8
30 Buducnost104640%74.772.5+2.2
31 Nanterre104640%77.280.1-2.9
32 Besiktas104640%81.084.2-3.2
33 Ulm114736%79.980.5-0.5
34 Venezia114736%73.276.9-3.7
35 Spirou Charleroi103730%73.178.2-5.1
36 Le Mans103730%72.178.5-6.4
37 Rytas102820%85.688.4-2.8
38 Nancy102820%71.475.9-4.5
39 Bonn102820%83.889.9-6.1
40 BC Steaua Bucuresti102820%67.681.4-13.8
41 Brindisi101910%71.081.5-10.5
42 Volgograd101910%79.791.0-11.3
43 Limoges2020%76.587.5-11.0
44 Sassari1010%75.086.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2018122373
Alba Berlin920231365
← all games of the day
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