Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 88-78

24-20 28-24 21-20 15-14

Position#4

Record7-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game79.8

Neptunas 🏆

Nevezis

Position#9

Record3-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game79.4

LKL

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nevezis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

75-85

-10

A28/09

LKL

Siauliai

90-94

-4

H05/10

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

73-80

-7

H13/10

LKL

Nevezis

68-75

-7

A19/10

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

86-77

A26/10

LKL

CBet

101-59

101

+42

A02/11

LKL

Lietkabelis

78-74

H09/11

LKL

Siauliai

102-95

102

A17/11

LKL

Rytas

91-84

H24/11

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

82-100

100

-18

A01/12

LKL

18-20

14-25

20-22

23-18

27-23

28-20

18-28

17-23

13-16

22-18

13-29

25-17

24-13

15-28

13-12

16-22

23-24

19-12

23-14

21-27

23-18

28-22

25-5

25-14

24-12

16-26

22-16

16-20

26-20

25-21

23-27

28-27

16-25

27-20

18-20

30-19

17-23

23-19

18-24

24-34

166.9Avg total

84.6Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	83.3	79.8	163.1	+3.6	58%
Season at home (6)	81.0	77.7	158.7	+3.3	67%
Season away (6)	85.7	81.8	167.5	+3.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	82.3	166.9	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	82.4	173.2	+8.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	77.0	87.0	164.0	-10.0	14%
vs Similar (5)	72.8	72.2	145.0	+0.6	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	85.8	76.6	162.3	+9.2	83%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CBet

77-79

-2

A05/10

LKL

Lietkabelis

91-68

+23

H09/10

LKL

Siauliai

85-98

-13

H13/10

LKL

Neptunas

75-68

H19/10

LKL

Juventus

84-92

-8

A26/10

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

66-87

-21

A03/11

LKL

Rytas

68-65

H09/11

LKL

Lietkabelis

51-75

-24

A17/11

LKL

Siauliai

81-96

-15

A20/11

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

70-74

-4

H30/11

LKL

20-19

29-18

17-18

11-24

18-14

29-11

19-19

25-24

22-21

25-26

11-26

27-25

13-24

28-15

12-13

22-16

17-24

18-23

22-29

27-16

20-21

20-22

9-23

17-21

13-20

19-15

18-15

21-23

12-16

8-24

10-12

10-20

18-21

28-23

25-32

15-15

19-27

21-13

15-19

155.0Avg total

74.8Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	72.2	79.4	151.7	-7.2	25%
Season at home (6)	74.3	76.0	150.3	-1.7	50%
Season away (6)	70.2	82.8	153.0	-12.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	80.2	155.0	-5.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	79.4	146.6	-12.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	75.5	83.9	159.4	-8.4	27%
vs Similar (8)	75.6	84.2	159.9	-8.6	12%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasNevezis

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.9	21.4	37.3	-5.6	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.2	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.8	35.6	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.5	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	19.4	37.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	18.1	39.9	+3.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.6	45.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	57%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	41%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

32-45

-13

A28/09

LKL

Siauliai

55-43

+12

H05/10

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

35-34

H13/10

LKL

Nevezis

39-41

-2

A19/10

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

42-36

A26/10

LKL

CBet

51-40

+11

A02/11

LKL

Lietkabelis

40-38

H09/11

LKL

Siauliai

51-41

+10

A17/11

LKL

Rytas

43-45

-2

H24/11

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

40-42

-2

A01/12

LKL

83.3Avg total

42.8Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.9	81.0	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	39.0	81.8	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	38.9	80.1	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	40.5	83.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	41.2	86.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.3	42.1	79.4	-4.9	14%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.4	34.6	74.0	+4.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.6	38.9	83.5	+5.7	83%	-

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CBet

49-37

+12

A05/10

LKL

Lietkabelis

47-25

+22

H09/10

LKL

Siauliai

47-47

H13/10

LKL

Neptunas

41-39

H19/10

LKL

Juventus

35-47

-12

A26/10

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

40-43

-3

A03/11

LKL

Rytas

32-35

-3

H09/11

LKL

Lietkabelis

33-39

-6

A17/11

LKL

Siauliai

28-41

-13

A20/11

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

34-42

-8

H30/11

LKL

78.1Avg total

38.6Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.1	78.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	40.9	80.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	39.3	76.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.5	78.1	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	40.0	73.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	38.1	40.4	78.5	-2.3	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.1	39.4	78.5	-0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.4	23.7	41.1	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.2	15.4	32.6	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.1	18.4	38.4	+1.7	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	20.1	37.3	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.8	40.7	-4.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.3	36.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.5	21.8	39.4	-4.3	9%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.8	20.4	38.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.7	40.7	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.8	47.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	22.2	38.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.5	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.9	41.2	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	24.5	43.2	-5.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	39.1	78.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	38.0	78.7	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	40.2	77.7	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	41.8	83.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	41.2	87.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.7	44.9	84.6	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.4	37.6	71.0	-4.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.4	37.3	77.7	+3.2	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	43.4	80.2	-6.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	41.5	77.6	-5.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	45.3	82.8	-7.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	40.7	76.9	-4.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	39.4	73.2	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	37.0	42.8	79.8	-5.9	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	44.9	81.4	-8.4	12%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Nevezis wins

Date	Game	Score
19/10/19	Nevezis v Neptunas	75-68
28/04/19	Neptunas v Nevezis	86-76
25/03/19	Nevezis v Neptunas	70-78
10/11/18	Nevezis v Neptunas	69-83
23/09/18	Neptunas v Nevezis	100-76
25/04/18	Nevezis v Neptunas	74-67
04/03/18	Neptunas v Nevezis	81-64
16/12/17	Nevezis v Neptunas	74-85
24/09/17	Neptunas v Nevezis	92-73
12/04/17	Neptunas v Nevezis	90-53

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/19	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	82-100
24/11/19	H	Rytas	91-84
17/11/19	A	Siauliai	102-95
09/11/19	H	Lietkabelis	78-74
02/11/19	A	CBet	101-59
26/10/19	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	86-77
19/10/19	A	Nevezis	68-75
13/10/19	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	73-80
05/10/19	H	Siauliai	90-94
28/09/19	A	Rytas	75-85

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/19	H	Alytaus Dzukija	70-74
20/11/19	A	Siauliai	81-96
17/11/19	A	Lietkabelis	51-75
09/11/19	H	Rytas	68-65
03/11/19	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	66-87
26/10/19	A	Juventus	84-92
19/10/19	H	Neptunas	75-68
13/10/19	H	Siauliai	85-98
09/10/19	H	Lietkabelis	91-68
05/10/19	A	CBet	77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	58%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	LWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	58%	67%	50%
Points / game	83.3	81.0	85.7
Allowed / game	79.8	77.7	81.8
Point differential	+3.6	+3.3	+3.8
Avg total	163.1	158.7	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nevezis

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	25%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	72.2	74.3	70.2
Allowed / game	79.4	76.0	82.8
Point differential	-7.2	-1.7	-12.7
Avg total	151.7	150.3	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	12	12	0	100%	91.3	64.6	+26.8
2	Rytas	12	8	4	67%	83.8	75.1	+8.7
3	Lietkabelis	11	7	4	64%	77.4	73.0	+4.4
4	Neptunas	12	7	5	58%	83.3	79.8	+3.6
5	Juventus	12	5	7	42%	79.2	81.7	-2.4
6	CBet	12	5	7	42%	71.2	79.8	-8.5
7	Siauliai	11	4	7	36%	80.5	87.4	-6.8
8	Pieno Zvaigzdes	12	4	8	33%	76.3	84.1	-7.8
9	Alytaus Dzukija	12	4	8	33%	70.3	81.2	-10.9
10	Nevezis	12	3	9	25%	72.2	79.4	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	24	28	21	15	88
Nevezis	20	24	20	14	78

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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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