Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 106-73

30-16 33-16 30-19 13-22

Position#2

Record26-10

FormLWWLW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game72.8

Rytas 🏆

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Position#7

Record15-21

FormWWLLL

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game80.5

LKLLKL - Quarter-finals

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rytas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-86

H19/03

LKL

Siauliai

#10

87-63

+24

H25/03

LKL

Skycop

109-60

109

+49

H02/04

LKL

Neptunas

82-62

+20

H08/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

78-73

A11/04

LKL

Juventus

75-76

-1

H15/04

LKL

Nevezis

92-56

+36

A17/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

92-60

+32

H20/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

60-90

-30

A22/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

88-79

A26/04

LKL

20-21

26-21

14-20

33-24

18-14

18-23

22-15

29-11

33-21

29-13

24-12

23-14

19-9

20-29

25-9

18-15

19-19

18-20

18-13

23-21

15-12

22-19

15-17

23-28

22-13

21-18

21-14

28-11

24-16

29-15

21-13

18-16

13-19

10-24

14-22

23-25

26-24

15-18

29-22

18-15

156.1Avg total

85.6Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	82.0	72.8	154.8	+9.1	72%
Season at home (18)	83.2	69.3	152.6	+13.9	83%
Season away (18)	80.7	76.3	157.1	+4.4	61%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	70.5	156.1	+15.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	72.2	153.6	+9.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	66.0	84.5	150.5	-18.5	0%
vs Similar (4)	79.5	84.0	163.5	-4.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	85.8	75.1	161.0	+10.7	75%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skycop

88-85

A29/03

Baltic League

Zalgiris Kaunas

70-94

-24

A02/04

LKL

Skycop

74-89

-15

H05/04

Baltic League

Alytaus Dzukija

82-53

+29

H08/04

LKL

Siauliai

#10

87-98

-11

A12/04

LKL

Skycop

92-89

H15/04

LKL

Juventus

97-91

A17/04

LKL

Neptunas

81-93

-12

H20/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

59-90

-31

A23/04

LKL

Rytas

79-88

-9

H26/04

LKL

27-17

21-31

20-18

20-19

12-21

28-20

7-28

23-25

11-22

21-19

15-27

27-21

14-13

20-14

23-9

25-17

21-27

28-23

16-24

22-24

25-23

20-18

26-23

21-25

26-21

27-24

17-25

27-21

16-27

25-30

22-21

18-15

13-26

21-14

10-23

15-27

24-26

18-15

22-29

15-18

167.9Avg total

80.9Scored

87.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	78.1	80.5	158.6	-2.4	42%
Season at home (18)	78.6	77.3	155.9	+1.2	50%
Season away (18)	77.6	83.7	161.2	-6.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	87.0	167.9	-6.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	90.2	171.8	-8.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	72.7	83.9	156.6	-11.2	10%
vs Similar (7)	85.1	86.3	171.4	-1.1	43%
vs Weaker (13)	91.8	78.8	170.6	+13.1	85%

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RytasPieno Zvaigzdes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.7	38.5	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.7	37.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	18.0	30.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	20.8	38.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.6	45.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.5	22.5	39.0	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	18.4	38.6	+1.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.9	18.6	41.5	+4.3	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.7	40.7	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	19.1	42.7	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	21.5	38.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.5	37.7	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	21.4	44.7	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.5	18.7	42.2	+4.8	85%	-

RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

46-42

H19/03

LKL

Siauliai

#10

36-37

-1

H25/03

LKL

Skycop

62-34

+28

H02/04

LKL

Neptunas

39-38

H08/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

37-39

-2

A11/04

LKL

Juventus

37-31

H15/04

LKL

Nevezis

43-31

+12

A17/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

53-31

+22

H20/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

23-43

-20

A22/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

41-42

-1

A26/04

LKL

78.5Avg total

41.7Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.4	79.2	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	36.8	80.5	+6.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	40.0	77.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	36.8	78.5	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	35.6	75.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	39.5	68.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.5	40.2	79.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	62%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skycop

48-48

A29/03

Baltic League

Zalgiris Kaunas

40-41

-1

A02/04

LKL

Skycop

32-41

-9

H05/04

Baltic League

Alytaus Dzukija

34-27

H08/04

LKL

Siauliai

#10

49-50

-1

A12/04

LKL

Skycop

45-41

H15/04

LKL

Juventus

53-45

A17/04

LKL

Neptunas

41-57

-16

H20/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

34-40

-6

A23/04

LKL

Rytas

42-41

H26/04

LKL

84.9Avg total

41.8Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.3	81.2	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	36.7	77.3	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	41.9	85.1	+1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.1	84.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	44.8	87.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.9	42.4	78.3	-6.5	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.7	38.7	80.4	+3.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (13)	46.5	37.3	83.8	+9.2	69%	-

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.7	38.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	15.7	36.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.0	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.7	40.5	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.2	43.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	21.7	39.9	-3.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.5	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.1	43.4	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	18.0	41.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	23.8	42.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.7	19.0	42.8	+4.7	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.0	42.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.7	20.2	43.9	+3.5	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	38.5	81.4	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	38.4	81.8	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	38.7	81.0	+3.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	33.7	77.6	+10.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	36.6	78.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	45.0	82.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	43.8	83.8	-3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.8	37.1	81.0	+6.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	42.0	83.1	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	41.5	82.0	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	42.5	84.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	43.9	83.0	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	45.4	84.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.8	41.5	78.3	-4.7	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.1	43.7	82.9	-4.6	14%	-
vs Weaker (13)	45.4	41.5	86.8	+3.9	54%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rytas wins

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Date	Game	Score
26/04/17	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	79-88
19/03/17	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-86
05/11/16	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-57
25/09/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	68-86
26/03/16	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	95-74
24/01/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	81-77
23/12/15	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	96-69
08/10/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	71-89
04/04/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	81-87
22/03/15	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	84-76

Rytaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	88-79
22/04/17	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	60-90
20/04/17	H	Lietkabelis	92-60
17/04/17	A	Nevezis	92-56
15/04/17	H	Juventus	75-76
11/04/17	A	Alytaus Dzukija	78-73
08/04/17	H	Neptunas	82-62
02/04/17	H	Skycop	109-60
25/03/17	H	Siauliai	87-63
19/03/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-86

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/17	H	Rytas	79-88
23/04/17	A	Lietkabelis	59-90
20/04/17	H	Neptunas	81-93
17/04/17	A	Juventus	97-91
15/04/17	H	Skycop	92-89
12/04/17	A	Siauliai	87-98
08/04/17	H	Alytaus Dzukija	82-53
05/04/17	H	Skycop	74-89
02/04/17	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	70-94
29/03/17	A	Skycop	88-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	72%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	WWWLW	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	72%	83%	61%
Points / game	82.0	83.2	80.7
Allowed / game	72.8	69.3	76.3
Point differential	+9.1	+13.9	+4.4
Avg total	154.8	152.6	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	50%	28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (10)	75% (4)	83% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	42%
Home	WWWLL	50%
Away	WLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	42%	50%	33%
Points / game	78.1	78.6	77.6
Allowed / game	80.5	77.3	83.7
Point differential	-2.4	+1.2	-6.1
Avg total	158.6	155.9	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	22%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (13)	50% (8)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	37	34	3	92%	84.1	67.5	+16.6
2	Rytas	36	26	10	72%	82.0	72.8	+9.1
3	Lietkabelis	36	25	11	69%	80.7	75.8	+4.9
4	Neptunas	37	22	15	59%	77.9	72.9	+5.0
5	Juventus	37	19	18	51%	81.5	81.3	+0.2
6	Skycop	36	18	18	50%	77.3	76.0	+1.3
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	36	15	21	42%	78.1	80.5	-2.4
8	Alytaus Dzukija	37	10	27	27%	68.8	77.0	-8.2
9	Nevezis	36	7	29	19%	74.0	83.2	-9.2
10	Siauliai	36	6	30	17%	70.9	88.6	-17.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rytas	30	33	30	13	106
Pieno Zvaigzdes	16	16	19	22	73

← all games of the day

Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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