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Nevada vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-70
32-34 37-36
Position#189
Record15-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Position#55
Record18-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nevada v Boise State
20 Dec 2025
NEVA81
BOIS66
22 Feb 2025
NEVA69
BOIS70
12 Jan 2024
NEVA56
BOIS64
28 Dec 2022
NEVA74
BOIS72
12 Jan 2022
NEVA70
BOIS85
07 Feb 2021
NEVA73
BOIS62
05 Feb 2021
NEVA74
BOIS72
04 Jan 2020
NEVA83
BOIS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A23/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
50-69
50
69
-19
H26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
35-27
36-32
39-32
38-47
31-43
21-28
29-41
24-28
32-38
33-30
38-35
30-28
44-32
41-31
53-38
26-27
47-31
36-33
35-46
138.3Avg total
70.1Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.367.7141.0+5.658%
Season at home (17)75.166.2141.3+8.971%
Season away (9)69.870.6140.3-0.833%
Last 10 (10)70.168.2138.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)76.666.2142.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.871.2141.0-1.333%
vs Similar (12)71.269.6140.8+1.742%
vs Weaker (12)76.764.8141.4+11.983%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
41-47
50-21
46-34
21-48
44-36
29-38
43-37
28-24
38-32
44-26
38-34
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
18-28
29-36
42-39
44-39
141.0Avg total
74.3Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.366.2142.5+10.269%
Season at home (16)80.962.3143.2+18.688%
Season away (10)69.172.4141.5-3.340%
Last 10 (10)74.366.7141.0+7.660%
Last 5 (5)73.063.2136.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)70.674.9145.5-4.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.459.7137.1+17.787%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.8+4.8
NevadaBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A23/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.8Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.231.865.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.632.266.8+2.558%-
Last 30 away (11)30.831.262.0-0.445%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.963.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.229.863.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.732.866.5+0.850%-
vs Similar (12)33.532.365.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (12)32.830.863.5+2.058%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
34.0Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.230.564.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.928.965.9+8.074%-
Last 30 away (11)29.533.362.8-3.745%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.265.2+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.464.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)31.034.765.7-3.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.226.762.9+9.580%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nevada wins
6
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
30/01/25Boise State v Nevada66-56
06/03/24Boise State v Nevada66-76
13/01/24Nevada v Boise State56-64
18/01/23Boise State v Nevada77-62
29/12/22Nevada v Boise State74-72
10/03/22Boise State v Nevada71-69
02/03/22Boise State v Nevada73-67
13/01/22Nevada v Boise State70-85
11/03/21Boise State v Nevada82-89
07/02/21Nevada v Boise State73-62
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25AColorado State71-79
15/02/25ASan Jose State73-58
11/02/25HFresno State94-69
05/02/25AAir Force74-60
02/02/25HUNLV71-65
30/01/25ABoise State56-66
26/01/25HSan Diego State50-69
23/01/25AUtah State69-90
18/01/25HSan Jose State75-64
15/01/25HAir Force68-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HNew Mexico86-78
16/02/25ASan Diego State47-64
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62
01/02/25HFresno State82-60
30/01/25HNevada66-56
23/01/25AColorado State72-75
18/01/25ANew Mexico65-84
15/01/25HWyoming96-55
12/01/25AUtah State79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %58%71%33%
Points / game73.375.169.8
Allowed / game67.766.270.6
Point differential+5.6+8.9-0.8
Avg total141.0141.3140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%22%
Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %69%88%40%
Points / game76.380.969.1
Allowed / game66.262.372.4
Point differential+10.2+18.6-3.3
Avg total142.5143.2141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2723485%82.669.4+13.1
2 New Mexico2722581%83.071.6+11.4
3 Grand Canyon2519676%78.668.5+10.1
4 San Diego State2418675%71.362.5+8.8
5 Boise State2618869%76.366.2+10.2
6 Colorado State2617965%74.768.9+5.8
7 Nevada26151158%73.367.7+5.6
8 UNLV26141254%70.068.6+1.4
9 San Jose State29131645%73.073.9-0.9
10 Wyoming28121643%67.971.2-3.3
11 Fresno State2852318%71.581.4-9.9
12 Air Force2742315%62.772.3-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada323769
Boise State343670
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