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Nevada vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 56-64
27-30 29-34
Position#25
Record15-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game63.2
vs
Position#70
Record11-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nevada v Boise State
20 Dec 2025
NEVA81
BOIS66
22 Feb 2025
NEVA69
BOIS70
12 Jan 2024
NEVA56
BOIS64
28 Dec 2022
NEVA74
BOIS72
12 Jan 2022
NEVA70
BOIS85
07 Feb 2021
NEVA73
BOIS62
05 Feb 2021
NEVA74
BOIS72
04 Jan 2020
NEVA83
BOIS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#133
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A18/12
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A21/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A25/12
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
51-41
19-28
34-44
29-22
43-33
36-37
36-29
35-28
45-28
48-36
40-39
36-30
36-34
45-20
47-39
36-32
36-25
30-24
37-30
137.4Avg total
74.8Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.463.2141.6+15.194%
Season at home (9)81.660.7142.2+20.9100%
Season away (7)74.366.6140.9+7.786%
Last 10 (10)74.862.6137.4+12.290%
Last 5 (5)78.261.8140.0+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.373.1145.4-0.850%
vs Weaker (16)77.862.4140.1+15.494%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#164
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H26/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H02/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Western Oregon
#562
W
109-70
109
70
+39
H09/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
95-54
95
54
+41
H13/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H17/12
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H30/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A06/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
29-35
34-24
29-36
30-29
39-35
53-34
56-36
45-30
50-24
54-25
34-40
27-33
34-33
48-31
37-32
33-40
45-29
28-21
37-37
140.8Avg total
76.9Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.365.3140.6+9.973%
Season at home (11)77.061.6138.6+15.491%
Season away (4)70.575.5146.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)76.963.9140.8+13.080%
Last 5 (5)75.464.2139.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.271.4140.6-2.250%
vs Weaker (12)76.362.9139.2+13.483%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +5.3+5.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +5.3+5.3
NevadaBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#133
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A21/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A25/12
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H10/01
NCAA
62.7Avg total
34.3Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.267.0+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.227.762.9+7.675%-
Last 30 away (14)36.435.371.6+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)34.328.462.7+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.028.467.4+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.133.266.4-0.143%-
vs Weaker (16)38.129.567.6+8.688%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#164
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H26/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H02/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Western Oregon
#562
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H13/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H17/12
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A22/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H10/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.9Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.931.567.5+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.629.166.7+8.674%-
Last 30 away (11)33.035.868.8-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)37.930.268.1+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.030.068.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.024.058.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.133.866.9-0.844%-
vs Weaker (12)38.528.967.4+9.675%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nevada wins
5
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Boise State v Nevada77-62
29/12/22Nevada v Boise State74-72
10/03/22Boise State v Nevada71-69
02/03/22Boise State v Nevada73-67
13/01/22Nevada v Boise State70-85
11/03/21Boise State v Nevada82-89
07/02/21Nevada v Boise State73-62
06/02/21Nevada v Boise State74-72
02/02/20Boise State v Nevada73-64
04/01/20Nevada v Boise State83-66
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HAir Force67-54
07/01/24AFresno State72-57
31/12/23HFresno Pacific92-59
25/12/23AGeorgia Tech72-64
22/12/23ATCU88-75
21/12/23ATemple80-56
18/12/23AHawaii72-66
14/12/23HWeber State72-55
10/12/23ADrake53-72
07/12/23HUC Davis80-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HColorado State65-58
06/01/24ASan Jose State78-69
30/12/23HUtah Valley State85-63
22/12/23AWashington State61-66
17/12/23HCS Fullerton88-65
13/12/23HNorthwestern St.95-54
09/12/23HWestern Oregon109-70
06/12/23HNorth Texas69-64
02/12/23HSt. Marys (CA)63-60
26/11/23HButler56-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %94%100%86%
Points / game78.481.674.3
Allowed / game63.260.766.6
Point differential+15.1+20.9+7.7
Avg total141.6142.2140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %73%91%25%
Points / game75.377.070.5
Allowed / game65.361.675.5
Point differential+9.9+15.4-5.0
Avg total140.6138.6146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1615194%81.665.3+16.2
2 Nevada1615194%78.463.2+15.1
3 Grand Canyon1615194%82.468.1+14.3
4 San Diego State1614288%77.366.0+11.3
5 New Mexico1613381%82.368.2+14.1
6 Colorado State1613381%81.768.6+13.1
7 Boise State1511473%75.365.3+9.9
8 UNLV148657%76.768.7+8.0
9 Air Force147750%67.466.8+0.6
10 Wyoming168850%72.973.9-0.9
11 Fresno State157847%68.872.3-3.5
12 San Jose State167944%75.272.4+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada272956
Boise State303464
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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