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Nevada vs Grand Canyon Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#211
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#29
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nevada v Grand Canyon
16 Jan 2027
NEVA v GRAN
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
NEVA66
GRAN60
12 Nov 2022
NEVA59
GRAN46
21 Dec 2021
NEVA v GRAN
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Grand Canyon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
37-39
28-49
45-34
32-25
42-34
39-10
41-35
34-40
50-40
32-39
34-40
41-24
45-25
42-35
37-44
24-40
39-36
28-34
43-39
150.0Avg total
77.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.073.2152.2+5.850%
Season at home (3)84.372.3156.7+12.067%
Season away (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.672.4150.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.276.4148.6-4.138%
vs Similar (13)77.675.0152.6+2.662%
vs Weaker (9)76.960.9137.8+16.089%
This opponent (Grand Canyon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grand CanyonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
86-60
86
60
+26
A04/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
103-79
103
79
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#364
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#240
W
99-71
99
71
+28
H12/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
88-52
88
52
+36
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
37-42
42-24
38-43
27-41
42-33
43-24
43-36
44-29
41-31
40-34
40-50
48-37
55-42
56-43
43-38
37-29
62-42
43-26
45-26
155.2Avg total
85.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.270.8168.0+26.5100%
Season at home (4)97.270.8168.0+26.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.469.8155.2+15.670%
Last 5 (5)93.873.4167.2+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.574.0150.5+2.550%
vs Similar (12)68.869.6138.3-0.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.766.8151.5+17.988%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +6.3+6.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +6.3+6.3
NevadaGrand Canyon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-10
39
10
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H15/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.465.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.828.663.4+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)30.536.667.1-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.166.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.467.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.634.565.1-3.912%-
vs Similar (13)33.534.567.9-1.062%-
vs Weaker (9)33.727.461.1+6.256%-
This opponent (Grand Canyon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grand CanyonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H26/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A04/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#364
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#240
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H15/11
NCAA
72.3Avg total
40.8Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.531.869.3+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.431.971.3+7.470%-
Last 30 away (10)33.731.465.1+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.831.572.3+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.833.878.6+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.538.573.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (12)32.832.965.7-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.430.171.5+11.488%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nevada wins
1
Grand Canyon wins
DateGameScore
12/03/26Grand Canyon v Nevada80-84
28/01/26Nevada v Grand Canyon66-60 OT
12/11/22Nevada v Grand Canyon59-46
12/12/20Grand Canyon v Nevada87-77
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUtah Valley State71-73
12/11/26AUC Santa Barbara63-76
08/11/26HSt. Marys (CA)96-95 OT
03/11/26HRobert Morris86-49
14/03/26AUtah State66-79
12/03/26AGrand Canyon84-80
11/03/26HAir Force80-45
08/03/26HAir Force74-59
04/03/26AWyoming73-83
01/03/26AUNLV83-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLouisiana Monroe88-52
12/11/26HCal Poly99-71
08/11/26HBethune-Cookman99-81
03/11/26HTexas Southern103-79
12/03/26HNevada80-84
08/03/26HFresno State85-60
04/03/26AAir Force86-60
01/03/26AUtah State69-74
26/02/26HUNLV80-67
22/02/26HWyoming65-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game79.084.363.0
Allowed / game73.272.376.0
Point differential+5.8+12.0-13.0
Avg total152.2156.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
Grand Canyon
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.297.2-
Allowed / game70.870.8-
Point differential+26.5+26.5-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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