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Nevada vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 74-59
0-0 32-25 0-0 42-34
Position#86
Record19-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game72.4
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Air Force
USA
Position#371
Record3-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game80.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevada v Air Force
19 Jan 2027
NEVA v AIR
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
NEVA80
AIR 45
07 Mar 2026
NEVA74
AIR 59
14 Jan 2025
NEVA68
AIR 62
09 Jan 2024
NEVA67
AIR 54
03 Feb 2023
NEVA72
AIR 52
20 Dec 2020
NEVA66
AIR 68
18 Dec 2020
NEVA74
AIR 57
04 Feb 2020
NEVA88
AIR 54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H25/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-24
0-0
27-29
0-0
33-28
0-0
56-48
0-0
28-39
0-0
51-40
0-0
28-28
0-0
41-31
0-0
25-36
0-0
32-35
0-0
32-47
0-0
39-40
0-0
38-40
0-0
42-37
0-0
23-23
0-0
44-37
0-0
37-35
0-0
37-39
0-0
28-49
0-0
45-34
149.1Avg total
74.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.972.4148.3+3.663%
Season at home (18)77.269.3146.5+7.883%
Season away (12)74.176.9151.0-2.833%
Last 10 (10)74.274.9149.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)74.878.4153.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.077.2150.2-4.240%
vs Similar (19)76.973.2150.1+3.763%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)75.365.8141.2+9.583%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A04/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
63-93
63
93
-30
A14/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A18/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-44
0-0
23-35
0-0
18-48
0-0
39-33
0-0
26-45
0-0
28-43
0-0
39-47
0-0
35-44
0-0
33-45
0-0
30-48
0-0
33-55
0-0
28-43
0-0
31-34
0-0
35-57
0-0
37-42
0-0
43-44
0-0
25-35
0-0
37-31
0-0
24-43
0-0
36-43
149.8Avg total
63.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)62.280.1142.2-17.910%
Season at home (19)65.280.5145.6-15.316%
Season away (11)57.079.4136.4-22.40%
Last 10 (10)63.985.9149.8-22.00%
Last 5 (5)65.885.4151.2-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)62.280.1142.2-17.910%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -13.3-13.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -8.7-8.7
-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -13.3-13.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -8.7-8.7
NevadaAir Force
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A04/03
NCAA
64.7Avg total
29.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.265.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.930.864.7+3.256%-
Last 30 away (12)30.936.867.8-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)29.834.964.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.870.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.635.265.8-4.60%-
vs Similar (19)33.633.366.8+0.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)31.831.363.2+0.533%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A18/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H04/03
NCAA
74.3Avg total
30.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.839.168.0-10.310%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.139.369.4-9.211%-
Last 30 away (11)26.638.865.5-12.29%-
Last 10 (10)30.543.874.3-13.30%-
Last 5 (5)30.041.871.8-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)28.839.168.0-10.310%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Nevada wins
1
Air Force wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Air Force v Nevada66-81
05/02/25Air Force v Nevada60-74
15/01/25Nevada v Air Force68-62
10/01/24Nevada v Air Force67-54
04/02/23Nevada v Air Force72-52
31/12/22Air Force v Nevada69-75
15/01/22Air Force v Nevada68-75
20/12/20Nevada v Air Force66-68
19/12/20Nevada v Air Force74-57
05/02/20Nevada v Air Force88-54
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AWyoming73-83
01/03/26AUNLV83-85 OT
25/02/26HNew Mexico67-60
22/02/26HUtah State80-77
18/02/26ASan Jose State71-87
15/02/26ASan Diego State57-71
08/02/26HFresno State69-59
04/02/26ABoise State87-91 OT
31/01/26HUNLV89-76
28/01/26HGrand Canyon66-60 OT
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HGrand Canyon60-86
28/02/26AWyoming62-66
25/02/26HSan Jose State80-86
21/02/26HUNLV66-91
18/02/26ANew Mexico61-98
14/02/26AFresno State63-93
11/02/26HColorado State74-91
08/02/26HSan Diego State54-88
04/02/26AGrand Canyon57-81
31/01/26HFresno State62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%83%33%
Points / game75.977.274.1
Allowed / game72.469.376.9
Point differential+3.6+7.8-2.8
Avg total148.3146.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%39%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %13%11%17%
Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL16%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %10%16%0%
Points / game62.265.257.0
Allowed / game80.180.579.4
Point differential-17.9-15.3-22.4
Avg total142.2145.6136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3125681%83.071.1+11.9
2 New Mexico3122971%80.770.8+9.9
3 San Diego State30201067%79.471.5+7.9
4 Grand Canyon31201165%75.568.2+7.3
5 Colorado State31201165%76.871.4+5.4
6 Boise State31201165%78.373.1+5.2
7 Nevada30191163%75.972.4+3.6
8 Wyoming31181358%77.373.0+4.4
9 UNLV31161552%80.278.8+1.4
10 Fresno State31131842%73.273.0+0.2
11 San Jose State3182326%71.578.2-6.7
12 Air Force3032710%62.280.1-17.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevada03204274
Air Force02503459
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