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Nevada vs Pacific Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#210
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#149
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game53.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nevada v Pacific
02 Dec 2026
NEVA v PACI
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
NEVA78
PACI77
15 Nov 2023
NEVA88
PACI39
30 Nov 2020
NEVA70
PACI58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pacific win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
37-39
28-49
45-34
32-25
42-34
39-10
41-35
34-40
50-40
32-39
34-40
41-24
45-25
42-35
37-44
24-40
39-36
28-34
43-39
150.0Avg total
77.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.073.2152.2+5.850%
Season at home (3)84.372.3156.7+12.067%
Season away (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.672.4150.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.276.4148.6-4.138%
vs Similar (13)77.675.0152.6+2.662%
vs Weaker (9)76.960.9137.8+16.089%
This opponent (Pacific) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PacificUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H12/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H15/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A19/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A22/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H28/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Bethesda
#346
W
102-47
102
47
+55
H04/11
NCAA
Bradley
#252
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A08/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#287
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-31
40-28
30-28
31-44
40-51
30-36
29-29
33-42
35-42
26-30
32-29
29-29
38-45
30-31
55-25
47-22
29-19
34-33
34-33
25-29
132.8Avg total
67.2Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.753.7128.3+21.067%
Season at home (1)102.047.0149.0+55.0100%
Season away (2)61.057.0118.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)67.265.6132.8+1.640%
Last 5 (5)70.659.0129.6+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.278.0140.2-15.80%
vs Similar (7)65.368.1133.4-2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.563.2141.6+15.376%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
NevadaPacific
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-10
39
10
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H15/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.465.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.828.663.4+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)30.536.667.1-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.166.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.467.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.634.565.1-3.912%-
vs Similar (13)33.534.567.9-1.062%-
vs Weaker (9)33.727.461.1+6.256%-
This opponent (Pacific) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PacificLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H12/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A22/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/03
NCAA
Bethesda
#346
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H04/11
NCAA
Bradley
#252
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A08/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#287
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A12/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.367.5+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.229.867.0+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)33.434.567.9-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.267.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.267.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.836.267.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (7)32.132.664.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.930.868.8+7.171%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nevada wins
0
Pacific wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Nevada v Pacific78-77
16/11/23Nevada v Pacific88-39
01/12/20Nevada v Pacific70-58
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUtah Valley State71-73
12/11/26AUC Santa Barbara63-76
08/11/26HSt. Marys (CA)96-95 OT
03/11/26HRobert Morris86-49
14/03/26AUtah State66-79
12/03/26AGrand Canyon84-80
11/03/26HAir Force80-45
08/03/26HAir Force74-59
04/03/26AWyoming73-83
01/03/26AUNLV83-85 OT
Pacificlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ALong Beach State59-62
08/11/26ABradley63-52
04/11/26HBethesda102-47
09/03/26ASanta Clara68-76
08/03/26HSeattle61-58
28/02/26HSan Francisco61-72
22/02/26AGonzaga62-71
19/02/26AWashington State70-87
15/02/26HSt. Marys (CA)61-72
12/02/26HLoyola Marymount65-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game79.084.363.0
Allowed / game73.272.376.0
Point differential+5.8+12.0-13.0
Avg total152.2156.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
Pacific
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game74.7102.061.0
Allowed / game53.747.057.0
Point differential+21.0+55.0+4.0
Avg total128.3149.0118.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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