PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nevada vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 80-68
29-27 51-41
Position#25
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game64.3
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#133
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nevada v UC Davis
18 Nov 2025
NEVA71
UC D75
06 Dec 2023
NEVA80
UC D68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
H04/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
73-98
73
98
-25
A16/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A13/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
88-39
88
39
+49
H16/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
108-83
108
83
+25
H19/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
34-40
21-31
35-25
26-31
39-34
26-53
47-45
39-30
38-33
41-30
42-46
55-15
33-24
53-43
55-40
39-18
38-48
38-26
35-33
150.8Avg total
79.4Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.364.3148.7+20.0100%
Season at home (5)84.662.0146.6+22.6100%
Season away (1)83.076.0159.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.471.4150.8+8.060%
Last 5 (5)85.864.6150.4+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)72.971.7144.6+1.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.864.7142.4+13.192%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#312
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H20/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A25/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H03/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H04/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A10/03
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A13/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
43-35
24-26
34-26
37-36
49-53
39-29
34-44
24-28
28-40
31-48
48-30
32-42
33-36
38-29
30-24
29-26
34-43
32-27
27-44
141.5Avg total
69.9Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.869.8136.6-3.040%
Season at home (3)70.066.7136.7+3.367%
Season away (2)62.074.5136.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)69.971.6141.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)66.869.8136.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.082.3153.3-11.30%
vs Similar (15)73.375.2148.5-1.940%
vs Weaker (11)68.462.5130.8+5.973%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -1.5-1.5
NevadaUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H04/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H09/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A16/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A13/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
55-15
55
15
+40
H16/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/12
NCAA
69.2Avg total
37.5Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.367.8+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.629.865.5+5.865%-
Last 30 away (13)35.435.570.9-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)37.531.769.2+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.226.471.6+18.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)33.433.266.6+0.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.731.069.7+7.775%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#312
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A25/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H04/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H09/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A01/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
31.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.064.9+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.032.467.4+2.673%-
Last 30 away (15)30.731.762.4-0.927%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.264.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.466.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.038.067.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (15)33.633.567.1+0.147%-
vs Weaker (11)31.128.960.0+2.264%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevada wins
0
UC Davis wins
No previous meetings.
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HLoyola Marymount73-59
30/11/23HMontana77-66
19/11/23HPortland108-83
16/11/23HPacific88-39
13/11/23AWashington83-76
08/11/23HSacramento State77-63
16/03/23AArizona State73-98
09/03/23HSan Jose State77-81 OT
04/03/23HUNLV67-69 OT
28/02/23AWyoming71-80
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23AOregon State59-71
27/11/23HSacramento State63-69
14/11/23HNorth Dakota St68-53
13/11/23AMontana65-78
09/11/23HPepperdine79-78
10/03/23AUC Riverside52-68
04/03/23HLong Beach State93-92 OT
03/03/23HUC Santa Barbara86-89
25/02/23ACal Poly58-52
20/02/23HUC San Diego76-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.384.683.0
Allowed / game64.362.076.0
Point differential+20.0+22.6+7.0
Avg total148.7146.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Davis
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game66.870.062.0
Allowed / game69.866.774.5
Point differential-3.0+3.3-12.5
Avg total136.6136.7136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada660100%84.364.3+20.0
2 Colorado State880100%85.270.1+15.1
3 New Mexico87188%85.568.1+17.4
4 Utah State87188%80.965.0+15.9
5 Grand Canyon87188%80.168.9+11.2
6 San Diego State97278%77.668.6+9.0
7 Air Force97278%67.860.9+6.9
8 Wyoming85362%76.469.8+6.6
9 Boise State85362%68.566.9+1.6
10 San Jose State105550%74.167.8+6.3
11 UNLV63350%72.773.8-1.2
12 Fresno State84450%72.275.6-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii65183%79.368.7+10.7
2 UC Irvine96367%78.166.8+11.3
3 UC Santa Barbara64267%79.774.3+5.3
4 CS Northridge85362%79.070.5+8.5
5 UC San Diego95456%78.469.7+8.8
6 Long Beach State95456%76.977.3-0.4
7 CS Fullerton84450%70.168.6+1.5
8 CSU Bakersfield84450%69.869.1+0.6
9 UC Riverside94544%70.070.2-0.2
10 UC Davis52340%66.869.8-3.0
11 Cal Poly93633%68.074.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada295180
UC Davis274168
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.