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Nevada vs San Jose State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 77-81 (OT)
26-31 39-34 12-16
Position#74
Record22-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game66.4
Nevada
USA
vs
San Jose State 🏆
USA
Position#121
Record19-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nevada v San Jose State
20 Jan 2026
NEVA87
SAN 54
18 Jan 2025
NEVA75
SAN 64
02 Feb 2024
NEVA90
SAN 60
09 Mar 2023
NEVA77
SAN 81
21 Feb 2023
NEVA66
SAN 51
15 Feb 2022
NEVA81
SAN 72
08 Feb 2020
NEVA95
SAN 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Jose State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#123
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
29-33
28-30
47-36
31-28
41-24
45-41
32-35
34-32
43-34
47-32
19-43
24-28
42-23
34-30
26-26
37-40
34-40
21-31
35-25
135.2Avg total
69.3Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.566.4138.9+6.171%
Season at home (17)75.963.9139.8+12.194%
Season away (14)68.369.5137.8-1.243%
Last 10 (10)69.365.9135.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)66.066.2132.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)71.569.3140.8+2.258%
vs Weaker (8)70.862.4133.1+8.488%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A15/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
68-96
68
96
-28
H18/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
74-68 OT
74
68
+6
H26/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H01/03
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
14-33
37-39
39-28
45-36
27-29
35-41
31-32
38-32
40-36
35-30
31-50
37-46
28-24
23-42
25-31
33-27
27-22
36-24
25-39
38-22
133.3Avg total
66.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)67.766.4134.1+1.361%
Season at home (17)68.963.3132.2+5.676%
Season away (14)66.170.1136.3-4.043%
Last 10 (10)66.067.3133.3-1.360%
Last 5 (5)63.867.4131.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.577.2141.7-12.720%
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.563.5132.0+4.973%
vs Weaker (5)72.657.0129.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
NevadaSan Jose State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#123
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H04/03
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.031.264.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.229.460.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)35.033.368.3+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)33.432.766.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.264.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)24.526.050.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)33.432.666.1+0.842%-
vs Weaker (8)33.030.863.8+2.262%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
14-33
14
33
-19
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H18/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A04/03
NCAA
61.1Avg total
28.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.064.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.130.863.9+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)31.833.465.1-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)28.732.461.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)27.233.260.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.336.365.6-7.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.429.863.2+3.667%-
vs Weaker (5)36.230.066.2+6.260%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nevada wins
1
San Jose State wins
DateGameScore
22/02/23Nevada v San Jose State66-51
07/01/23San Jose State v Nevada40-67
18/02/22San Jose State v Nevada60-90
16/02/22Nevada v San Jose State81-72
09/02/20Nevada v San Jose State95-77
09/01/20San Jose State v Nevada70-68
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HUNLV67-69 OT
28/02/23AWyoming71-80
25/02/23AFresno State60-56
22/02/23HSan Jose State66-51
19/02/23AUtah State66-75
11/02/23HFresno State77-66
08/02/23ANew Mexico77-76
04/02/23HAir Force72-52
01/02/23HSan Diego State75-66
29/01/23AUNLV62-68
San Jose Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23AAir Force63-61
01/03/23HColorado State63-46
26/02/23HBoise State74-68 OT
22/02/23ANevada51-66
18/02/23HNew Mexico68-96
15/02/23AUNLV75-66
12/02/23HUtah State69-64
08/02/23AFresno State62-70
05/02/23HWyoming84-64
29/01/23ASan Diego State51-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %71%94%43%
Points / game72.575.968.3
Allowed / game66.463.969.5
Point differential+6.1+12.1-1.2
Avg total138.9139.8137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%59%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%12%7%
San Jose State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWLWW76%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %61%76%43%
Points / game67.768.966.1
Allowed / game66.463.370.1
Point differential+1.3+5.6-4.0
Avg total134.1132.2136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3125681%72.664.3+8.4
2 Utah State3124777%79.170.0+9.1
3 Boise State3123874%72.163.7+8.4
4 Nevada3122971%72.566.4+6.1
5 New Mexico32221069%81.473.5+7.9
6 Grand Canyon32211166%71.065.8+5.2
7 UNLV31191261%74.269.5+4.7
8 San Jose State31191261%67.766.4+1.3
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Nevada26391277
San Jose State31341681
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