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Nevada vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-71
38-41 29-30
Position#189
Record16-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#25
Record23-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nevada v New Mexico
24 Feb 2026
NEVA67
NEW 60
04 Mar 2025
NEVA67
NEW 71
13 Feb 2024
NEVA82
NEW 83
23 Jan 2023
NEVA97
NEW 94
09 Mar 2022
NEVA79
NEW 72
01 Jan 2022
NEVA79
NEW 70
25 Jan 2020
NEVA96
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
50-69
50
69
-19
H26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H26/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
21-28
29-41
24-28
32-38
33-30
38-35
30-28
44-32
41-31
53-38
26-27
47-31
36-33
35-46
32-34
37-36
39-28
45-33
26-34
29-34
136.2Avg total
69.7Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.967.6140.4+5.355%
Season at home (19)75.366.1141.4+9.268%
Season away (10)68.370.3138.6-2.030%
Last 10 (10)69.766.5136.2+3.250%
Last 5 (5)70.467.2137.6+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.771.0140.7-1.329%
vs Similar (10)68.168.7136.8-0.630%
vs Weaker (13)77.264.5141.7+12.885%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
88-53
88
53
+35
A08/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A26/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-27
50-40
39-39
36-34
30-36
52-27
35-31
52-34
34-24
54-29
29-39
42-28
36-42
46-37
39-42
39-44
29-33
36-40
47-32
45-39
151.2Avg total
81.5Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.771.6154.3+11.079%
Season at home (17)86.771.4158.1+15.394%
Season away (12)76.971.9148.8+5.058%
Last 10 (10)81.569.7151.2+11.880%
Last 5 (5)77.675.2152.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (11)78.170.6148.7+7.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.272.6156.8+11.778%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +10.0+10.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +10.0+10.0
NevadaNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H26/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A01/03
NCAA
60.9Avg total
30.8Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.664.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.631.566.1+3.158%-
Last 30 away (11)30.031.661.6-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)30.830.160.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.263.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.433.066.4+0.443%-
vs Similar (10)32.131.964.0+0.240%-
vs Weaker (13)33.230.563.8+2.762%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H01/03
NCAA
70.8Avg total
36.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.833.671.5+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.133.273.4+6.976%-
Last 30 away (13)34.834.269.0+0.746%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.570.8+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.673.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (11)37.032.269.2+4.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.434.773.1+3.767%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Nevada wins
3
New Mexico wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25New Mexico v Nevada82-81 OT
14/02/24Nevada v New Mexico82-83
29/01/24New Mexico v Nevada89-55
08/02/23New Mexico v Nevada76-77
24/01/23Nevada v New Mexico97-94 OT
09/03/22Nevada v New Mexico79-72
02/01/22Nevada v New Mexico79-70
03/01/21New Mexico v Nevada74-84
01/01/21New Mexico v Nevada54-68
19/02/20New Mexico v Nevada74-88
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AUNLV55-68
26/02/25HWyoming84-61
22/02/25HBoise State69-70
19/02/25AColorado State71-79
15/02/25ASan Jose State73-58
11/02/25HFresno State94-69
05/02/25AAir Force74-60
02/02/25HUNLV71-65
30/01/25ABoise State56-66
26/01/25HSan Diego State50-69
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HAir Force92-71
26/02/25ASan Diego State65-73
20/02/25ABoise State78-86
16/02/25HUtah State82-79
13/02/25HWyoming71-67
08/02/25AAir Force88-53
06/02/25HColorado State87-65
02/02/25AUtah State82-63
25/01/25AUNLV75-73
20/01/25HFresno State95-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeLWWLW68%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %55%68%30%
Points / game72.975.368.3
Allowed / game67.666.170.3
Point differential+5.3+9.2-2.0
Avg total140.4141.4138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%53%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%20%
New Mexico
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %79%94%58%
Points / game82.786.776.9
Allowed / game71.671.471.9
Point differential+11.0+15.3+5.0
Avg total154.3158.1148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%59%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3024680%81.370.7+10.6
2 New Mexico2923679%82.771.6+11.0
3 Grand Canyon2822679%77.868.1+9.7
4 San Diego State2720774%71.463.4+8.0
5 Boise State2921872%76.066.1+9.9
6 Colorado State2920969%74.967.8+7.2
7 Nevada29161355%72.967.6+5.3
8 UNLV29161355%69.668.0+1.6
9 San Jose State30131743%73.074.0-1.0
10 Wyoming30121840%67.771.6-4.0
11 Fresno State2952417%71.180.9-9.8
12 Air Force2942514%62.773.2-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada382967
New Mexico413071
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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