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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 May 2021
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 91-82
24-19 16-21 32-22 19-20
Position#10
Record9-25
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game85.2
Nevezis-OPTIBET 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Rytas
Lithuania
Position#2
Record27-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game78.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Rytas
08 May 2021
NOP91
RYT82
31 Oct 2020
NOP100
RYT94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
62avg 66
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 66
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
58avg 66
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 66
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
56avg 66
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
57-71
57
71
-14
43avg 66
H20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 66
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 66
A28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-99
66
99
-33
54avg 66
A02/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
25-24
19-20
12-14
23-22
17-21
22-24
21-17
18-20
17-33
19-22
16-22
22-16
26-20
22-18
18-23
20-22
12-16
21-25
18-21
25-22
25-24
11-23
12-23
13-21
17-20
18-14
9-16
27-28
18-23
27-12
23-25
24-24
12-24
18-13
19-24
18-30
16-19
13-25
19-25
161.6Avg total
75.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)75.285.2160.4-10.026%
Season at home (16)74.183.0157.1-8.944%
Season away (18)76.287.2163.4-11.111%
Last 10 (10)75.286.4161.6-11.220%
Last 5 (5)72.887.0159.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.888.3161.1-15.518%
vs Similar (13)78.184.3162.4-6.231%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
76avg 82
H27/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 82
A03/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
87-88
87
88
-1
84avg 82
H07/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
88-82
88
82
+6
81avg 82
A24/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
71avg 82
H28/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
99-63
99
63
+36
101avg 82
H30/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
104-68
104
68
+36
106avg 82
H02/05
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
97-76
97
76
+21
95avg 82
H04/05
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
88avg 82
H06/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
24-30
15-23
20-19
20-28
15-12
24-19
25-16
24-21
28-20
18-26
17-21
23-21
19-19
25-21
19-24
23-21
22-12
27-23
16-26
22-21
21-25
20-25
18-19
21-18
18-14
24-15
36-16
22-15
25-17
32-24
25-12
25-17
20-28
22-15
30-16
24-17
15-24
24-16
29-22
169.8Avg total
90.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)88.978.9167.8+10.179%
Season at home (18)91.978.6170.5+13.483%
Season away (16)85.679.2164.8+6.375%
Last 10 (10)90.679.2169.8+11.480%
Last 5 (5)94.675.2169.8+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.088.4164.4-12.429%
vs Similar (2)70.584.5155.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.076.7165.8+12.390%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
Nevezis-OPTIBETRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A02/05
LKL
85.3Avg total
39.5Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.744.281.9-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.342.379.6-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.246.184.3-7.913%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.885.3-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.086.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.945.583.4-7.529%-
vs Similar (13)37.542.580.0-5.123%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H27/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A03/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H07/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A24/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H28/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H02/05
LKL
Neptunas
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/05
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/05
LKL
83.4Avg total
44.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.881.2-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.140.983.0+1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)38.240.778.9-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.483.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.281.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.345.382.6-8.029%-
vs Similar (2)37.043.080.0-6.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.839.180.9+2.652%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.6
47.1%
54.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.2
70.1%
75.2%12.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.2
49.9%
54.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.113.1
46.6%
36.6%39.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.9
75.3%
75.2%14.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLWLLLWLLL
Rytas
WWWWLWWLWW
#10
League position
#2
-16.0
Net rating
+16.4
98.3
Offensive rating
122.9
114.3
Defensive rating
106.5
48.8%
Effective FG%
58.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
23.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
46.6%
64.2%
Assist %
63.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 122.9Defence114.3 · 106.5Shooting48.8% · 58.6%3-point %34.2% · 46.6%Ball care23.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds34.0% · 36.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
2
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
10/02/21Rytas v Nevezis-OPTIBET81-73
09/01/21Rytas v Nevezis-OPTIBET96-91
31/10/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Rytas100-94
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21AZalgiris Kaunas66-99
28/04/21ASiauliai73-85
24/04/21ALietkabelis95-88
20/04/21HAlytaus Dzukija57-71
17/04/21AJuventus73-92
14/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes71-84
11/04/21HNeptunas88-77
05/04/21ACBet70-97
03/04/21ANeptunas83-84
20/03/21AAlytaus Dzukija76-87
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/21HAlytaus Dzukija92-79
04/05/21HNeptunas97-76
02/05/21HSiauliai104-68
30/04/21HCBet99-63
28/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas81-90
24/04/21AJuventus88-82
11/04/21AZalgiris Kaunas86-85
07/04/21HPieno Zvaigzdes87-88
03/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes84-75
27/03/21HJuventus88-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %26%44%11%
Points / game75.274.176.2
Allowed / game85.283.087.2
Point differential-10.0-8.9-11.1
Avg total160.4157.1163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game88.991.985.6
Allowed / game78.978.679.2
Point differential+10.1+13.4+6.3
Avg total167.8170.5164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3532391%90.771.1+19.7
2 Rytas3427779%88.978.9+10.1
3 Juventus36231364%88.986.2+2.8
4 Lietkabelis34211362%84.380.1+4.2
5 CBet35142140%84.088.8-4.9
6 Neptunas36142239%78.985.0-6.1
7 Siauliai35122334%85.191.5-6.4
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes36122433%79.684.5-5.0
9 Alytaus Dzukija35112431%80.884.8-3.9
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET3492526%75.285.2-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET2416321991
Rytas1921222082
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