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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis-OPTIBET Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 May 2021
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 99-66
30-18 19-16 25-13 25-19
Position#1
Record29-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game71.6
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
Position#10
Record9-24
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game84.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis-OPTIBET
02 May 2021
ZAL99
NOP66
24 Jan 2021
ZAL94
NOP59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
93-78
93
78
+15
91avg 82
H08/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H11/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 82
A14/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
90-62
90
62
+28
86avg 82
H16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 82
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
97-79
97
79
+18
94avg 82
H20/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
92-68
92
68
+24
94avg 82
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
105-86
105
86
+19
no box
A25/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 82
A28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
107-83
107
83
+24
107avg 82
H30/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
25-33
22-13
19-18
21-23
19-19
21-25
24-19
17-15
26-18
28-19
24-26
25-14
17-15
21-23
27-10
17-16
21-15
26-20
24-21
26-16
30-25
17-18
24-20
27-10
29-14
22-22
14-22
25-26
29-19
28-18
23-23
21-22
25-21
25-20
19-18
24-26
23-17
37-13
23-27
171.5Avg total
94.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)91.171.6162.7+19.591%
Season at home (16)89.870.0159.8+19.888%
Season away (16)92.373.2165.5+19.194%
Last 10 (10)94.277.3171.5+16.990%
Last 5 (5)98.279.4177.6+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.087.5149.5-25.50%
vs Similar (8)76.077.6153.6-1.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.974.0165.9+18.095%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 67
H13/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
62avg 67
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 67
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
58avg 67
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 67
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
56avg 67
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
57-71
57
71
-14
43avg 67
H20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 67
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 67
A28/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
12-26
17-16
21-22
20-29
25-24
19-20
12-14
23-22
17-21
22-24
21-17
18-20
17-33
19-22
16-22
22-16
26-20
22-18
18-23
20-22
12-16
21-25
18-21
25-22
25-24
11-23
12-23
13-21
17-20
18-14
9-16
27-28
18-23
27-12
23-25
24-24
12-24
18-13
19-24
160.6Avg total
75.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.584.8160.3-9.327%
Season at home (16)74.183.0157.1-8.944%
Season away (17)76.886.5163.3-9.812%
Last 10 (10)75.784.9160.6-9.220%
Last 5 (5)73.884.0157.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.487.4160.8-13.918%
vs Similar (13)78.184.3162.4-6.231%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
Zalgiris KaunasNevezis-OPTIBET
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H08/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H20/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A25/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H30/04
LKL
85.2Avg total
47.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.781.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.339.382.6+4.059%-
Last 30 away (13)42.337.980.2+4.462%-
Last 10 (10)47.437.885.2+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)51.839.291.0+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.548.581.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.241.278.5-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.136.782.8+9.480%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H13/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A28/04
LKL
84.9Avg total
39.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.643.981.5-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.342.379.6-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.945.583.4-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)39.445.584.9-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.883.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.744.982.6-7.229%-
vs Similar (13)37.542.580.0-5.123%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.825.2
61.8%
54.2%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.510.6
45.1%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws14.511.7
80.7%
75.2%11.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.7
47.1%
54.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.112.7
70.2%
75.2%12.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWLW
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LWLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+23.9
Net rating
-12.9
127.6
Offensive rating
99.6
103.7
Defensive rating
112.5
63.9%
Effective FG%
48.7%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
23.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
45.1%
3-point %
34.1%
65.4%
Assist %
63.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence127.6 · 99.6Defence103.7 · 112.5Shooting63.9% · 48.7%3-point %45.1% · 34.1%Ball care15.3% · 23.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 35.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Nevezis-OPTIBET
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
DateGameScore
06/02/21Nevezis-OPTIBET v Zalgiris Kaunas53-108
02/02/21Nevezis-OPTIBET v Zalgiris Kaunas47-78
24/01/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis-OPTIBET94-59
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/21HPieno Zvaigzdes107-83
28/04/21ARytas90-81
25/04/21ASiauliai105-86
22/04/21HAlytaus Dzukija92-68
20/04/21HJuventus97-79
18/04/21ANeptunas88-72
16/04/21HCBet90-62
14/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija95-78
11/04/21HRytas85-86
08/04/21HPanathinaikos93-78
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21ASiauliai73-85
24/04/21ALietkabelis95-88
20/04/21HAlytaus Dzukija57-71
17/04/21AJuventus73-92
14/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes71-84
11/04/21HNeptunas88-77
05/04/21ACBet70-97
03/04/21ANeptunas83-84
20/03/21AAlytaus Dzukija76-87
13/03/21HCBet71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW94%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %91%88%94%
Points / game91.189.892.3
Allowed / game71.670.073.2
Point differential+19.5+19.8+19.1
Avg total162.7159.8165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %27%44%12%
Points / game75.574.176.8
Allowed / game84.883.086.5
Point differential-9.3-8.9-9.8
Avg total160.3157.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3229391%91.171.6+19.5
2 Rytas3225778%88.679.0+9.6
3 Lietkabelis33211264%84.880.4+4.4
4 Juventus34211362%87.785.7+2.0
5 CBet33132039%83.688.5-4.9
6 Neptunas34132138%78.284.1-5.9
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes33122136%79.983.9-4.0
8 Siauliai33122136%84.290.4-6.2
9 Alytaus Dzukija33102330%80.484.5-4.1
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET3392427%75.584.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas3019252599
Nevezis-OPTIBET1816131966
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