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Rytas vs Nevezis-OPTIBET Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-73
14-16 24-24 22-15 21-18
Position#2
Record13-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game81.3
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
Position#10
Record6-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game85.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Rytas v Nevezis-OPTIBET
10 Feb 2021
RYT81
NOP73
09 Jan 2021
RYT96
NOP91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H27/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A06/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H09/01
LKL
Peristeri
#25
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A12/01
Champions League
Juventus
#4
L
78-105
78
105
-27
H16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H20/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A23/01
LKL
Strasbourg
#15
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H26/01
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H30/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
98-85
98
85
+13
A07/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
31-16
24-31
31-13
23-19
21-26
30-26
13-18
24-23
18-19
23-29
31-20
22-23
14-28
21-8
17-22
23-26
13-28
28-23
14-28
26-20
16-20
31-17
22-26
20-18
23-24
21-18
22-18
12-21
26-15
19-14
24-27
17-19
21-20
22-19
18-14
23-22
25-15
20-29
30-19
172.0Avg total
87.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.181.3170.4+7.872%
Season at home (8)95.681.2176.9+14.488%
Season away (10)83.981.4165.3+2.560%
Last 10 (10)87.884.2172.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)87.679.0166.6+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.089.4165.4-13.425%
vs Similar (2)70.584.5155.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.379.7171.9+12.685%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-98
69
98
-29
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
47-78
47
78
-31
H02/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
53-108
53
108
-55
H06/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
12-23
20-18
14-13
23-17
12-33
31-16
19-21
23-24
19-18
29-23
20-31
24-23
18-17
14-22
22-20
14-29
17-21
23-23
15-25
10-27
14-17
25-30
10-20
24-15
11-14
18-19
26-28
18-24
18-12
12-32
16-21
18-22
14-23
8-12
7-21
7-26
16-32
11-23
19-27
157.2Avg total
68.3Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.285.2160.4-10.030%
Season at home (11)73.984.5158.5-10.645%
Season away (9)76.885.9162.7-9.111%
Last 10 (10)68.388.9157.2-20.610%
Last 5 (5)60.489.0149.4-28.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.188.2160.3-16.118%
vs Similar (9)79.081.4160.4-2.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -5.9-5.9
RytasNevezis-OPTIBET
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H27/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H09/01
LKL
Peristeri
#25
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A12/01
Champions League
Juventus
#4
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H20/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A23/01
LKL
Strasbourg
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/01
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H30/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/02
LKL
84.0Avg total
41.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.384.4+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.640.186.7+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.582.1-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.384.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.644.884.4-5.138%-
vs Similar (2)37.043.080.0-6.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.139.784.8+5.465%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-58
23
58
-35
H06/02
LKL
76.8Avg total
32.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)37.041.878.7-4.835%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.141.678.7-4.545%-
Last 30 away (9)36.841.978.7-5.122%-
Last 10 (10)32.444.476.8-12.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.042.472.4-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.543.779.3-8.227%-
vs Similar (9)38.739.378.0-0.744%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.5
55.8%
54.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
75.2%12.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.215.0
46.6%
54.2%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.7
32.3%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.312.0
73.6%
75.2%12.0
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WWWWWLLWLW
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLLWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#10
+3.1
Net rating
-26.6
111.8
Offensive rating
90.1
108.7
Defensive rating
116.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
47.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
25.5%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.2%
3-point %
32.3%
53.5%
Assist %
63.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 90.1Defence108.7 · 116.7Shooting55.3% · 47.5%3-point %36.2% · 32.3%Ball care18.6% · 25.5%Off. rebounds33.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Rytas   ■ Nevezis-OPTIBET
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rytas wins
1
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
DateGameScore
09/01/21Rytas v Nevezis-OPTIBET96-91
31/10/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Rytas100-94
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21ASiauliai98-85
30/01/21HLietkabelis78-72
26/01/21HStrasbourg81-77
23/01/21ASiauliai86-78
20/01/21HNeptunas95-83
16/01/21HJuventus78-105
12/01/21APeristeri74-81
09/01/21HNevezis-OPTIBET96-91
06/01/21AJuventus87-89
27/12/20HCBet105-81
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas53-108
02/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas47-78
31/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes64-89
27/01/21HNeptunas79-76
24/01/21AZalgiris Kaunas59-94
20/01/21ALietkabelis69-98
14/01/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-82
09/01/21ARytas91-96
03/01/21ACBet85-87
28/12/20HPieno Zvaigzdes58-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %72%88%60%
Points / game89.195.683.9
Allowed / game81.381.281.4
Point differential+7.8+14.4+2.5
Avg total170.4176.9165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLWLLL45%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %30%45%11%
Points / game75.273.976.8
Allowed / game85.284.585.9
Point differential-9.9-10.6-9.1
Avg total160.3158.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1715288%89.167.3+21.8
2 Rytas1813572%89.181.3+7.8
3 Juventus2014670%87.585.7+1.9
4 Lietkabelis1812667%84.576.8+7.7
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes1981142%79.582.1-2.6
6 Neptunas2081240%79.584.5-5.0
7 Alytaus Dzukija1551033%79.883.4-3.6
8 CBet2171433%86.791.5-4.8
9 Nevezis-OPTIBET2061430%75.285.2-9.9
10 Siauliai1851328%83.493.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas1424222181
Nevezis-OPTIBET1624151873
← all games of the day
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