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Siauliai vs Nevezis-OPTIBET Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-73
24-24 24-12 13-18 24-19
Position#7
Record11-20
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game90.5
Siauliai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
Position#10
Record9-23
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game84.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Siauliai v Nevezis-OPTIBET
28 Apr 2021
SIA85
NOP73
22 Nov 2020
SIA87
NOP85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 76
A06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 76
H09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
60-96
60
96
-36
47avg 76
A14/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
99-68
99
68
+31
no box
H21/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 76
A07/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
98-88
98
88
+10
99avg 76
A10/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
97-87
97
87
+10
102avg 76
H15/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
89-90
89
90
-1
88avg 76
A18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
103-90
103
90
+13
no box
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H25/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
18-19
27-21
24-16
9-19
14-25
34-24
17-20
16-18
20-19
14-31
10-28
22-18
27-10
26-15
24-25
18-27
33-20
17-23
22-16
25-22
15-26
25-14
33-26
22-27
17-26
26-7
32-27
18-30
23-16
27-23
21-21
21-30
24-16
29-18
29-26
26-25
19-29
18-28
23-23
175.2Avg total
88.4Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.790.5175.2-5.935%
Season at home (16)87.489.0176.4-1.644%
Season away (15)81.892.2174.0-10.427%
Last 10 (10)88.486.8175.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)94.692.0186.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)85.091.8176.8-6.831%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.685.7175.3+3.962%
vs Weaker (4)81.280.0161.2+1.250%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-67
76
67
+9
70avg 67
H06/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 67
H13/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
62avg 67
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 67
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
58avg 67
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 67
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
56avg 67
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
57-71
57
71
-14
43avg 67
H20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 67
A24/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
24-14
15-18
21-16
21-20
12-26
17-16
21-22
20-29
25-24
19-20
12-14
23-22
17-21
22-24
21-17
18-20
17-33
19-22
16-22
22-16
26-20
22-18
18-23
20-22
12-16
21-25
18-21
25-22
25-24
11-23
12-23
13-21
17-20
18-14
9-16
27-28
18-23
27-12
23-25
159.1Avg total
76.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.684.8160.4-9.228%
Season at home (16)74.183.0157.1-8.944%
Season away (16)77.086.6163.6-9.612%
Last 10 (10)76.083.1159.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)76.882.4159.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.487.4160.8-13.918%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.883.6161.5-5.831%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
SiauliaiNevezis-OPTIBET
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H21/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A07/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H15/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H25/04
LKL
84.2Avg total
40.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.787.1-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.844.588.2-0.741%-
Last 30 away (13)40.745.085.7-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.684.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.049.491.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.546.588.0-4.931%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.443.887.2-0.446%-
vs Weaker (4)42.242.084.2+0.225%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H13/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A24/04
LKL
83.8Avg total
39.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.843.581.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.342.379.6-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.344.782.9-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.083.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.483.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.744.982.6-7.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.841.679.5-3.831%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.7
60.4%
54.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.1
37.4%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.313.9
80.3%
75.2%13.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.4
46.9%
54.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
75.2%12.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
LWLWWWWLLW
Nevezis-OPTIBET
WLLLWLLLLW
#7
League position
#10
+1.3
Net rating
-9.6
115.8
Offensive rating
100.5
114.4
Defensive rating
110.1
58.6%
Effective FG%
49.0%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
20.5%
Turnover %
21.8%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.4%
3-point %
34.8%
70.1%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 100.5Defence114.4 · 110.1Shooting58.6% · 49.0%3-point %37.4% · 34.8%Ball care20.5% · 21.8%Off. rebounds32.2% · 35.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Siauliai   ■ Nevezis-OPTIBET
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Siauliai wins
1
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
DateGameScore
22/11/20Siauliai v Nevezis-OPTIBET87-85
25/10/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Siauliai96-77
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas86-105
21/04/21HPieno Zvaigzdes103-90
18/04/21ACBet89-90
15/04/21HLietkabelis97-87
10/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija98-88
07/04/21AJuventus90-86
21/03/21HNeptunas99-68
14/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas60-96
09/03/21HZalgiris Kaunas74-88
06/03/21APieno Zvaigzdes88-70
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21ALietkabelis95-88
20/04/21HAlytaus Dzukija57-71
17/04/21AJuventus73-92
14/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes71-84
11/04/21HNeptunas88-77
05/04/21ACBet70-97
03/04/21ANeptunas83-84
20/03/21AAlytaus Dzukija76-87
13/03/21HCBet71-84
06/03/21HLietkabelis76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL35%
HomeLWWWL44%
AwayWLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %35%44%27%
Points / game84.787.481.8
Allowed / game90.589.092.2
Point differential-5.9-1.6-10.4
Avg total175.2176.4174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW28%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %28%44%12%
Points / game75.674.177.0
Allowed / game84.883.086.6
Point differential-9.2-8.9-9.6
Avg total160.4157.1163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3027390%90.670.9+19.7
2 Rytas2923679%88.079.5+8.4
3 Lietkabelis31201165%84.880.2+4.6
4 Juventus32201262%87.585.3+2.2
5 CBet32131941%84.388.2-3.9
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes32122038%79.883.2-3.4
7 Siauliai31112035%84.790.5-5.9
8 Neptunas32112134%77.884.6-6.8
9 Alytaus Dzukija31102132%80.484.1-3.7
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET3292328%75.684.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai2424132485
Nevezis-OPTIBET2412181973
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