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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 96-77
18-20 29-16 17-18 32-23
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#7
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game95.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Siauliai
10 May 2021
NOP87
SIA88
25 Oct 2020
NOP96
SIA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A03/10
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H18/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
24-18
13-17
25-26
25-16
17-14
19-18
15-22
20-21
21-15
15-19
14-21
10-20
20-20
27-20
19-23
23-12
17-29
26-16
26-31
157.0Avg total
79.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.277.8157.0+1.460%
Season at home (2)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)76.077.0153.0-1.033%
Last 10 (5)79.277.8157.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)79.277.8157.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.076.5152.5-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (3)81.378.7160.0+2.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
A01/02
LKL
CBet
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H09/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H01/03
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A08/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A20/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H23/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
71-102
71
102
-31
H27/09
LKL
CBet
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A04/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-107
80
107
-27
A10/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A17/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
12-30
18-25
28-22
14-23
23-16
22-23
15-25
23-18
20-17
22-18
26-22
15-34
15-12
24-19
16-25
21-23
11-22
7-24
17-20
21-21
17-11
24-24
18-25
24-32
17-21
11-22
19-27
27-16
25-29
14-24
21-25
19-28
24-29
20-28
17-22
18-17
14-32
22-25
22-27
168.2Avg total
76.0Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.095.7170.7-20.70%
Season at home (2)75.591.5167.0-16.00%
Season away (4)74.897.8172.5-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.092.2168.2-16.210%
Last 5 (5)78.897.0175.8-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.990.5165.4-15.612%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.683.6165.3-2.036%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
Nevezis-OPTIBETSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A03/10
LKL
CBet
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/10
LKL
74.6Avg total
39.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)39.435.274.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (2)41.035.576.5+5.550%-
Last 30 away (3)38.335.073.3+3.367%-
Last 10 (5)39.435.274.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.274.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.035.071.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.735.377.0+6.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A01/02
LKL
CBet
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H01/03
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/09
LKL
CBet
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A04/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A10/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A17/10
LKL
82.7Avg total
37.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.983.2-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.840.679.4-1.838%-
Last 30 away (17)39.646.586.1-6.835%-
Last 10 (10)37.745.082.7-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.288.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.546.283.8-8.819%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.341.382.6+0.057%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.4
50.0%
54.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.2
27.0%
36.6%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.816.6
79.8%
75.2%16.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.7
48.5%
54.2%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.0
32.1%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.3
77.7%
75.2%13.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
WLLWW
Siauliai
LLLLLLLWLL
#10
League position
#7
+1.3
Net rating
-27.8
100.6
Offensive rating
94.4
99.4
Defensive rating
122.2
46.7%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
61.4%
22.0%
Turnover %
22.9%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.0%
3-point %
32.1%
52.2%
Assist %
74.7%
60%
Form (last 5/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 94.4Defence99.4 · 122.2Shooting46.7% · 48.4%3-point %27.0% · 32.1%Ball care22.0% · 22.9%Off. rebounds36.6% · 27.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 5/10)60% · 10%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
0
Siauliai wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/20HCBet92-88
03/10/20AJuventus76-83
28/09/20ANeptunas70-76
24/09/20HLietkabelis76-70
19/09/20APieno Zvaigzdes82-72
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/20ALietkabelis76-101
10/10/20ARytas80-107
04/10/20ACBet87-94
27/09/20HAlytaus Dzukija71-102
23/09/20HPieno Zvaigzdes80-81
20/09/20AZalgiris Kaunas56-89
08/03/20ANeptunas70-90
01/03/20HNevezis91-75
09/02/20HCBet74-87
01/02/20ARytas75-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game79.284.076.0
Allowed / game77.879.077.0
Point differential+1.4+5.0-1.0
Avg total157.0163.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.075.574.8
Allowed / game95.791.597.8
Point differential-20.7-16.0-23.0
Avg total170.7167.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas660100%99.576.5+23.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas54180%82.064.0+18.0
3 Lietkabelis75271%82.074.4+7.6
4 Nevezis-OPTIBET53260%79.277.8+1.4
5 Juventus74357%84.487.7-3.3
6 CBet63350%88.784.8+3.8
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes62433%74.884.5-9.7
8 Neptunas62433%76.288.7-12.5
9 Alytaus Dzukija61517%83.288.3-5.2
10 Siauliai6060%75.095.7-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET1829173296
Siauliai2016182377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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