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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 May 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-88
19-19 22-22 12-18 34-29
Position#10
Record10-25
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game85.1
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
vs
Siauliai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#7
Record12-23
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game91.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Siauliai
10 May 2021
NOP87
SIA88
25 Oct 2020
NOP96
SIA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 67
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
58avg 67
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 67
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
56avg 67
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
57-71
57
71
-14
43avg 67
H20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 67
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 67
A28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-99
66
99
-33
54avg 67
A02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
91-82
91
82
+9
87avg 67
H08/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-21
22-24
21-17
18-20
17-33
19-22
16-22
22-16
26-20
22-18
18-23
20-22
12-16
21-25
18-21
25-22
25-24
11-23
12-23
13-21
17-20
18-14
9-16
27-28
18-23
27-12
23-25
24-24
12-24
18-13
19-24
18-30
16-19
13-25
19-25
24-19
16-21
32-22
19-20
162.6Avg total
76.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)75.785.1160.8-9.529%
Season at home (17)75.182.9158.1-7.847%
Season away (18)76.287.2163.4-11.111%
Last 10 (10)76.785.9162.6-9.230%
Last 5 (5)76.485.0161.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.887.9161.8-14.122%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.984.0160.9-7.125%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 76
A07/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
98-88
98
88
+10
99avg 76
A10/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
97-87
97
87
+10
102avg 76
H15/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
89-90
89
90
-1
88avg 76
A18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
103-90
103
90
+13
no box
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H25/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
75avg 76
H28/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-104
68
104
-36
58avg 76
A02/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
94-112
94
112
-18
83avg 76
H04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
no box
A07/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
33-20
17-23
22-16
25-22
15-26
25-14
33-26
22-27
17-26
26-7
32-27
18-30
23-16
27-23
21-21
21-30
24-16
29-18
29-26
26-25
19-29
18-28
23-23
24-24
24-12
13-18
24-19
15-22
17-25
24-32
12-25
16-26
35-33
20-27
23-26
22-17
14-24
19-19
23-18
185.8Avg total
91.6Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)85.191.5176.6-6.434%
Season at home (18)87.689.4177.0-1.844%
Season away (17)82.493.8176.2-11.424%
Last 10 (10)91.694.2185.8-2.650%
Last 5 (5)87.8100.2188.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.593.9178.4-9.527%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.586.2176.7+4.254%
vs Weaker (2)82.084.0166.0-2.050%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
Nevezis-OPTIBETSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H08/05
LKL
83.5Avg total
39.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.744.281.9-6.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.342.379.5-5.040%-
Last 30 away (15)38.246.184.3-7.913%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.583.5-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.882.8-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.145.283.2-7.128%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.242.779.9-5.425%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A07/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H15/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H25/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H28/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A02/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/05
LKL
90.5Avg total
42.8Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.845.287.0-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.645.589.1-1.931%-
Last 30 away (14)39.844.984.6-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.847.790.5-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.489.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.547.388.9-5.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.942.984.8-1.038%-
vs Weaker (2)43.044.087.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.8
48.8%
54.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.6
35.0%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.211.4
70.4%
75.2%11.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.1
59.9%
54.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.3
38.4%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
75.2%15.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
WLLWLLLWLL
Siauliai
LLLWLWLWWW
#10
League position
#7
-12.8
Net rating
+0.5
100.4
Offensive rating
117.7
113.2
Defensive rating
117.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
58.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
23.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.0%
3-point %
38.4%
65.0%
Assist %
65.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 117.7Defence113.2 · 117.2Shooting50.4% · 58.9%3-point %35.0% · 38.4%Ball care23.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds34.5% · 33.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
2
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
28/04/21Siauliai v Nevezis-OPTIBET85-73
22/11/20Siauliai v Nevezis-OPTIBET87-85
25/10/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Siauliai96-77
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/21HRytas91-82
02/05/21AZalgiris Kaunas66-99
28/04/21ASiauliai73-85
24/04/21ALietkabelis95-88
20/04/21HAlytaus Dzukija57-71
17/04/21AJuventus73-92
14/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes71-84
11/04/21HNeptunas88-77
05/04/21ACBet70-97
03/04/21ANeptunas83-84
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/21ANeptunas106-107 OT
04/05/21HJuventus94-112
02/05/21ARytas68-104
28/04/21HNevezis-OPTIBET85-73
25/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas86-105
21/04/21HPieno Zvaigzdes103-90
18/04/21ACBet89-90
15/04/21HLietkabelis97-87
10/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija98-88
07/04/21AJuventus90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeWLWLW47%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %29%47%11%
Points / game75.775.176.2
Allowed / game85.182.987.2
Point differential-9.5-7.8-11.1
Avg total160.8158.1163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL34%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayWWLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %34%44%24%
Points / game85.187.682.4
Allowed / game91.589.493.8
Point differential-6.4-1.8-11.4
Avg total176.6177.0176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3532391%90.771.1+19.7
2 Rytas3527877%88.779.2+9.5
3 Juventus36231364%88.986.2+2.8
4 Lietkabelis35221363%84.880.1+4.7
5 CBet35142140%84.088.8-4.9
6 Neptunas36142239%78.985.0-6.1
7 Siauliai35122334%85.191.5-6.4
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes36122433%79.684.5-5.0
9 Alytaus Dzukija36112531%80.885.2-4.4
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET35102529%75.785.1-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET1922123487
Siauliai1922182988
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