Nevezis host Taurage in the King Mindaugas Cup on 11 November 2026, with the Pythia model favouring the home side at 62% versus 38% for the visitors; the projected score is 85-82 and the total is 166.9 points, giving a 1.0 point spread that the home team covers with a 64% probability and an over line of 162.5 that has a 60% chance of occurring, while a 5% overtime probability lingers. Nevezis, 1-2 overall with 85.0 points per game and 83.7 allowed, sits second in the league and has struggled at home, 0-1 with 86.0 points scored and 101.0 allowed, but won 2 of its last five games; its recent outings include a 76-83 loss to Siauliai at home, a 87-76 win over Gargzdai, and a 76-80 defeat to Taurage away. Taurage, also 1-2 with 78.7 points scored and 82.7 allowed, sits third and is 0-2 on the road with 77.5 points and 86.0 allowed, having won 2 of its last five games; their recent results feature a 80-82 loss to Neptunas, a 77-91 defeat to Jurbarkas, and a 91-81 win over Siauliai. In their brief head-to-head history Taurage has won both meetings, most recently 80-76 on 24 October 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 85.0 | 83.7 | 168.7 | +1.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 86.0 | 101.0 | 187.0 | -15.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 84.5 | 75.0 | 159.5 | +9.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.1 | 82.6 | 160.7 | -4.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.8 | 76.2 | 157.0 | +4.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 80.0 | 91.7 | 171.7 | -11.8 | 17% |
| vs Similar (5) | 81.2 | 88.6 | 169.8 | -7.4 | 20% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 84.5 | 75.0 | 159.5 | +9.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 78.7 | 82.7 | 161.3 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 81.0 | 76.0 | 157.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 77.5 | 86.0 | 163.5 | -8.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.3 | 85.7 | 165.0 | -6.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 82.2 | 163.4 | -1.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 78.1 | 85.9 | 164.0 | -7.7 | 14% |
| vs Similar (5) | 84.0 | 86.2 | 170.2 | -2.2 | 60% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.5 | 46.1 | 85.5 | -6.6 | 27% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 38.7 | 45.5 | 84.2 | -6.8 | 31% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.1 | 46.5 | 86.5 | -6.4 | 24% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.8 | 44.8 | 83.6 | -6.0 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 42.6 | 85.4 | +0.2 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 39.0 | 46.4 | 85.4 | -7.4 | 30% | 65% |
| vs Similar (5) | 40.6 | 44.0 | 84.6 | -3.4 | 0% | 80% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 42.0 | 47.0 | 89.0 | -5.0 | 50% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (12) | 41.3 | 40.6 | 81.9 | +0.8 | 42% | 58% |
| Last 30 at home (5) | 44.4 | 39.6 | 84.0 | +4.8 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (7) | 39.1 | 41.3 | 80.4 | -2.1 | 14% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.1 | 41.1 | 83.2 | +1.0 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.0 | 41.4 | 82.4 | -0.4 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 42.6 | 39.4 | 82.0 | +3.1 | 43% | 57% |
| vs Similar (5) | 39.6 | 42.2 | 81.8 | -2.6 | 40% | 60% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevezis +3 | 70.9% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| Nevezis +3.5 | 71.7% | 1.52 | 1.57 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Nevezis +6.5 | 80.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| Nevezis +4.5 | 74.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +11.1pp | Won |
| Nevezis +5.5 | 77.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Nevezis over 79.5 | 71.0% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Nevezis over 78.5 | 74.3% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Nevezis over 77.5 | 77.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Nevezis over 76.5 | 80.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Taurage under 88.5 | 74.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Taurage under 87.5 | 71.6% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.8 | 21.1 | 52.4% | 42.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 20.5 | 6.0 | 28.5% | 18.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.6 | 15.6 | 72.6% | 15.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.5 | 19.3 | 52.4% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.1 | 8.0 | 28.5% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.5 | 18.4 | 72.6% | 18.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 | Taurage v Nevezis | 80-76 |
| 07/10/26 | Taurage v Nevezis | 81-76 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Siauliai | 76-83 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Gargzdai | 87-76 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Taurage | 76-80 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Jurbarkas | 93-69 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Lietkabelis | 72-73 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Gargzdai | 86-101 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas | 76-80 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Taurage | 76-81 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Neptunas | 62-89 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Juventus | 77-94 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLW | 33% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Points / game | 85.0 | 86.0 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.7 | 101.0 | 75.0 |
| Point differential | +1.3 | -15.0 | +9.5 |
| Avg total | 168.7 | 187.0 | 159.5 |
| Over 170.5 | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLL | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 78.7 | 81.0 | 77.5 |
| Allowed / game | 82.7 | 76.0 | 86.0 |
| Point differential | -4.0 | +5.0 | -8.5 |
| Avg total | 161.3 | 157.0 | 163.5 |
| Over 170.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gargzdai | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 87.0 | 79.7 | +7.3 |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 85.0 | 83.7 | +1.3 | |
| 3 | Taurage | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 78.7 | 82.7 | -4.0 |
| 4 | Jurbarkas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 78.3 | 83.0 | -4.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 22 | 28 | 17 | 90 | |
| Taurage | 20 | 17 | 22 | 20 | 79 |
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