PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Taurage vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 82-102
29-22 19-29 20-24 14-27
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game89.2
LithuaniaLKL· Taurages arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Taurage v Gargzdai
20 Mar 2027
TAU v GAR
upcoming
09 Dec 2026
TAU v GAR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
TAU82
GAR102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Taurage winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TaurageLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaurage
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
83avg 73
H19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 73
A26/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-93
77
93
-16
60avg 73
A04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 73
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
25-20
26-11
14-32
18-24
16-14
28-32
17-15
20-18
16-23
17-26
24-26
26-18
23-18
13-23
19-17
169.0Avg total
83.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.789.3173.0-5.733%
Season at home (1)95.090.0185.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)78.089.0167.0-11.00%
Last 10 (4)83.086.0169.0-3.050%
Last 5 (4)83.086.0169.0-3.050%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)80.080.5160.5-0.550%
vs Similar (2)86.091.5177.5-5.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 77
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 77
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 77
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 77
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 77
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 77
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 77
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 77
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 77
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 77
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
173.7Avg total
86.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.889.2179.0+0.575%
Season at home (3)84.785.0169.7-0.367%
Season away (1)105.0102.0207.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.387.4173.7-1.170%
Last 5 (5)87.686.4174.0+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.987.4166.3-8.540%
vs Similar (8)87.987.8175.6+0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.085.6174.6+3.471%
This opponent (Taurage) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
TaurageGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TaurageLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
78.2Avg total
40.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)40.038.278.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (2)45.037.082.0+8.0100%-
Last 30 away (2)35.039.574.5-4.50%-
Last 10 (4)40.038.278.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (4)40.038.278.2+1.850%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.537.078.5+4.550%-
vs Similar (2)38.539.578.0-1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
88.1Avg total
42.5Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.583.9-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.043.381.3-5.319%-
Last 30 away (14)41.045.886.8-4.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.545.688.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.085.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.943.982.8-4.927%-
vs Similar (8)38.945.884.6-6.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.044.385.3-3.343%-
This opponent (Taurage) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tauragetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Taurage: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.2
50.3%
55.6%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.2
29.6%
35.3%21.8
🏀 Free throws28.220.8
73.5%
70.8%20.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.9
54.8%
55.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.7
32.2%
35.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
70.8%17.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Taurage
WLLW
Gargzdai
WWWWLLLWWW
#9
League position
#2
-1.1
Net rating
-1.0
94.5
Offensive rating
97.5
95.6
Defensive rating
98.5
48.1%
Effective FG%
52.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
12.5%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.6%
3-point %
32.2%
59.1%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 4/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 97.5Defence95.6 · 98.5Shooting48.1% · 52.4%3-point %29.6% · 32.2%Ball care12.5% · 14.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.35Form (last 4/10)50% · 70%
■ Taurage   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Taurage wins
0
Gargzdai wins
No previous meetings.
Tauragelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26HNevezis81-76
04/10/26AJuventus77-93
26/09/26ALietkabelis79-85
19/09/26HJonava95-90 OT
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78
20/09/26HSiauliai90-79
17/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas77-98
23/05/26HNeptunas74-84
21/05/26ANeptunas73-100
16/05/26HRytas103-98
10/05/26ANeptunas97-91
06/05/26ALietkabelis78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Taurage
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.795.078.0
Allowed / game89.390.089.0
Point differential-5.7+5.0-11.0
Avg total173.0185.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%100%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game89.884.7105.0
Allowed / game89.285.0102.0
Point differential+0.5-0.3+3.0
Avg total179.0169.7207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%97.274.0+23.2
2 Gargzdai43175%89.889.2+0.5
3 Juventus42250%88.284.2+4.0
4 Rytas21150%94.091.0+3.0
5 Jonava42250%77.276.0+1.2
6 Siauliai42250%81.582.8-1.2
7 Neptunas52340%82.482.4+0.0
8 Lietkabelis52340%75.883.0-7.2
9 Taurage31233%83.789.3-5.7
10 Nevezis3030%68.089.3-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Taurage2919201482
Gargzdai22292427102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.