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Taurage vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 80-76
19-22 24-18 18-15 19-21
Position#9
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game90.8
Taurage 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis
Lithuania
Position#10
Record0-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game84.2
LithuaniaLKL· Taurages arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Taurage v Nevezis
11 Apr 2027
TAU v NEV
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
TAU80
NEV76
07 Oct 2026
TAU81
NEV76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Taurage winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.50
Implied63.3%
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best odds2.60
Implied36.7%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TaurageLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaurage
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
83avg 71
H19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 71
A26/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-93
77
93
-16
60avg 71
A04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 71
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 71
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 71
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 71
H21/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
25-20
26-11
14-32
18-24
16-14
28-32
17-15
20-18
16-23
17-26
24-26
26-18
23-18
13-23
19-17
29-22
19-29
20-24
14-27
23-25
19-18
14-30
20-23
24-21
17-12
16-24
14-22
168.9Avg total
80.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.090.8170.8-10.817%
Season at home (3)82.790.3173.0-7.733%
Season away (3)77.391.3168.7-14.00%
Last 10 (7)80.188.7168.9-8.629%
Last 5 (5)77.489.2166.6-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.090.8170.8-10.817%
vs Similar ◀ (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
88-117
88
117
-29
76avg 72
H13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
67avg 72
A17/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 72
A22/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
59avg 72
A27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
62-89
62
89
-27
52avg 72
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 72
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 72
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 72
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 72
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 72
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
13-27
33-28
20-30
18-32
19-17
19-21
24-28
19-18
18-19
18-21
10-27
24-28
14-24
22-17
17-25
10-34
12-21
19-14
21-20
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
166.2Avg total
77.5Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.484.2154.6-13.80%
Season at home (2)74.076.5150.5-2.50%
Season away (3)68.089.3157.3-21.30%
Last 10 (10)77.588.7166.2-11.210%
Last 5 (5)80.680.8161.4-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)80.692.5173.0-11.917%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.286.0165.2-6.820%
vs Weaker (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Taurage) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under 162.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.53
Under
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 167.5 · main lineActual: Under 167.5
Over 167.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under 167.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Over/Under 172.5Actual: Under 172.5
Over 172.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under 172.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Taurage total 81.5Actual: Taurage under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.38
Taurage total 85.5 · main lineActual: Taurage under 85.5
Over 85.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 85.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Under
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.72
Taurage total 89.5Actual: Taurage under 89.5
Over 89.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under 89.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.37
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.39
Nevezis total 76.5Actual: Nevezis under 76.5
Over 76.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
Under 76.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.32
Under
Bet365
2.80
1xBet
2.68
Nevezis total 80.5 · main lineActual: Nevezis under 80.5
Over 80.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 80.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Nevezis total 84.5Actual: Nevezis under 84.5
Over 84.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under 84.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.13
Under
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Taurage -7Actual: Nevezis +7
TAU -7
no forecast
@ 2.24
NEV +7
no forecast
@ 1.64
Best 5 market prices
TAU
Pinnacle
2.24
Bet365
2.12
NEV
Bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Taurage -4 · main linePush
TAU -4
no forecast
@ 1.87
NEV +4
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
TAU
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.84
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.74
NEV
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Spread Taurage -1Actual: Taurage -1
TAU -1
no forecast
@ 1.47
NEV +1
no forecast
@ 2.55
Best 5 market prices
TAU
Bet365
1.47
NEV
Bet365
2.55

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
TaurageNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TaurageLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#3
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/10
LKL
81.6Avg total
41.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (7)41.640.081.6+1.643%43%
Last 30 at home (4)44.839.584.2+5.275%50%
Last 30 away (3)37.340.778.0-3.30%33%
Last 10 (7)41.640.081.6+1.643%43%
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.340.781.0-0.333%33%
vs Similar ◀ (1)49.036.085.0+13.0100%100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A17/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
82.6Avg total
35.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)39.145.884.8-6.727%63%
Last 30 at home (13)37.544.682.1-7.231%54%
Last 30 away (17)40.346.686.9-6.424%71%
Last 10 (10)35.946.782.6-10.820%60%
Last 5 (5)38.043.081.0-5.040%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.346.184.4-7.825%62%
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.844.485.2-3.620%60%
vs Weaker (1)48.045.093.0+3.0100%100%
This opponent (Taurage) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Taurage win
TAU win
no forecast
@ 1.60
NEV win
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Spread Taurage -2 · main lineActual: Taurage -2
TAU -2
no forecast
@ 1.86
NEV +2
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Over 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
Taurage 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Taurage over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Nevezis 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Nevezis under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half: TAU + total 83.5
TAU & over
no forecast
@ 3.10
TAU & under
no forecast
@ 3.10
1st half: Draw + total 83.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: NEV + total 83.5
NEV & over
no forecast
@ 4.50
NEV & under
no forecast
@ 4.50
1st half Over/Under 81.25Actual: Over 81.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 83.75Actual: Under 83.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Taurage -3Push
TAU -3
no forecast
@ 2.04
NEV +3
no forecast
@ 1.76
1st half Spread Taurage -1Actual: Taurage -1
TAU -1
no forecast
@ 1.68
NEV +1
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Taurage -4Actual: Nevezis +4
TAU -4
no forecast
@ 2.09
NEV +4
no forecast
@ 1.68
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Taurage (regulation)
TAU
no forecast
@ 1.60
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
NEV
no forecast
@ 2.42

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TAU win + total 167.5
🔒 Pro
NEV win + total 167.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TAU leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEV leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (TAU:NEV): TAU wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tauragetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Taurage: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.7
47.1%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.3%
35.3%25.7
🏀 Free throws22.917.0
74.4%
70.8%17.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.9
51.3%
55.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.2
29.7%
35.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.014.6
66.4%
70.8%14.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Taurage
LLLWLLW
Nevezis
WLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-8.5
Net rating
-13.0
91.6
Offensive rating
89.6
100.1
Defensive rating
102.6
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.3%
3-point %
29.7%
61.8%
Assist %
58.4%
29%
Form (last 7/10)
10%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 89.6Defence100.1 · 102.6Shooting48.8% · 49.1%3-point %34.3% · 29.7%Ball care14.3% · 14.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 7/10)29% · 10%
■ Taurage   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Taurage wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
07/10/26Taurage v Nevezis81-76
Tauragelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HRytas71-79
18/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-96
11/10/26HGargzdai82-102
07/10/26HNevezis81-76
04/10/26AJuventus77-93
26/09/26ALietkabelis79-85
19/09/26HJonava95-90 OT
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81
03/10/26ANeptunas62-89
27/09/26AJuventus77-94
22/09/26AJonava65-85
17/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas80-98
13/05/26HRytas88-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Taurage
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game80.082.777.3
Allowed / game90.890.391.3
Point differential-10.8-7.7-14.0
Avg total170.8173.0168.7
Over 167.567%67%67%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.474.068.0
Allowed / game84.276.589.3
Point differential-13.8-2.5-21.3
Avg total154.6150.5157.3
Over 167.520%0%33%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas660100%94.274.7+19.5
2 Rytas43175%90.585.2+5.2
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Juventus63350%87.385.0+2.3
5 Neptunas63350%82.782.5+0.2
6 Siauliai63350%82.882.8+0.0
7 Lietkabelis73443%76.081.4-5.4
8 Jonava52340%78.477.6+0.8
9 Taurage61517%80.090.8-10.8
10 Nevezis5050%70.484.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Taurage1924181980
Nevezis2218152176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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