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Nevezis vs Taurage Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 05 May 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game86.5
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Nevezis v Taurage
05 May 2027
NEV v TAU
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
NEV v TAU
upcoming
11 Nov 2026
NEV90
TAU79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Taurage win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Taurage
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 70
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 70
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 70
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 70
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 70
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 70
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
22-25
27-17
18-19
20-15
26-23
23-18
15-20
12-22
23-20
22-17
28-22
17-20
28-23
18-23
27-21
18-21
163.3Avg total
82.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.883.1158.9-7.322%
Season at home (5)80.480.0160.4+0.440%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.381.0163.3+1.340%
Last 5 (5)84.081.2165.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)81.090.9172.0-9.923%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.888.2169.0-7.420%
vs Weaker (3)86.376.3162.7+10.067%
This opponent (Taurage) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TaurageLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaurage
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 72
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 72
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 72
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 72
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
83avg 72
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A07/11
LKL
Nevezis
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
19-29
20-24
14-27
23-25
19-18
14-30
20-23
24-21
17-12
16-24
14-22
19-22
24-18
18-15
19-21
15-17
26-24
9-23
28-17
22-27
17-22
29-15
23-17
21-28
18-15
13-23
25-25
22-11
21-23
23-20
14-28
20-23
17-22
22-28
20-17
21-22
21-23
15-19
16-17
164.6Avg total
78.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.486.5166.9-6.130%
Season at home (5)80.285.6165.8-5.440%
Season away (5)80.687.4168.0-6.820%
Last 10 (10)78.785.9164.6-7.220%
Last 5 (5)80.085.0165.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.085.3164.3-6.320%
vs Similar ◀ (4)82.287.5169.8-5.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
NevezisTaurage
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/11
LKL
84.3Avg total
41.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.885.4-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.645.084.6-5.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.546.686.1-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.484.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.946.585.4-7.732%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.643.884.4-3.20%-
vs Weaker (3)43.043.786.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Taurage) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TaurageLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/11
LKL
Nevezis
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H14/11
LKL
83.9Avg total
41.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)41.141.282.3-0.136%-
Last 30 at home (6)44.040.584.5+3.567%-
Last 30 away (8)38.941.880.6-2.912%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.483.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.283.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.641.583.1+0.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.840.580.2-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.8%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tauragetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Taurage: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.3
47.7%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
70.8%18.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
WWLWLWLLLL
Taurage
LLLLWLWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-10.2
Net rating
-4.4
88.9
Offensive rating
92.1
99.1
Defensive rating
96.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
48.5%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.3%
3-point %
33.2%
59.8%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 92.1Defence99.1 · 96.6Shooting48.3% · 48.5%3-point %29.3% · 33.2%Ball care14.8% · 15.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Nevezis   ■ Taurage
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevezis wins
2
Taurage wins
DateGameScore
11/11/26Nevezis v Taurage90-79
24/10/26Taurage v Nevezis80-76
07/10/26Taurage v Nevezis81-76
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJuventus91-88
11/11/26HTaurage90-79
08/11/26HSiauliai76-83
02/11/26HGargzdai87-76
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81
Tauragelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLietkabelis73-81
11/11/26ANevezis79-90
07/11/26ANeptunas80-82
03/11/26AJurbarkas77-91
31/10/26ASiauliai91-81
27/10/26AGargzdai78-81
24/10/26HNevezis80-76
21/10/26HRytas71-79
18/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-96
11/10/26HGargzdai82-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game75.880.470.0
Allowed / game83.180.087.0
Point differential-7.3+0.4-17.0
Avg total158.9160.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Taurage
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game80.480.280.6
Allowed / game86.585.687.4
Point differential-6.1-5.4-6.8
Avg total166.9165.8168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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