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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-62
34-10 21-12 14-19 20-21
Position#4
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game89.5
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
98avg 83
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
77avg 83
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 83
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
60avg 83
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 83
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 83
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
56avg 83
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 83
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 83
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 83
H29/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
24-22
24-21
27-21
23-25
13-30
34-23
20-25
31-14
15-23
23-25
17-11
28-18
13-13
13-25
14-24
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
28-26
22-16
20-22
21-18
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
164.7Avg total
82.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.088.0170.0-6.033%
Season at home (2)84.088.5172.5-4.550%
Season away (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)82.282.5164.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)82.084.4166.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.299.8178.0-21.50%
vs Similar (10)82.881.3164.1+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.687.1176.8+2.550%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
72-105
72
105
-33
66avg 74
A15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 74
A18/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
82-110
82
110
-28
71avg 74
H23/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
74avg 74
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
75-95
75
95
-20
63avg 74
A03/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
88avg 74
H09/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-117
88
117
-29
76avg 74
H13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
67avg 74
A17/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 74
A22/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
59avg 74
A27/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
13-21
18-26
21-26
27-21
21-31
19-17
22-21
22-31
15-39
24-18
21-22
24-21
12-23
25-17
24-29
20-31
18-20
25-21
12-23
16-25
26-16
23-25
21-20
22-32
13-27
33-28
20-30
18-32
19-17
19-21
24-28
19-18
18-19
18-21
10-27
24-28
14-24
22-17
17-25
179.0Avg total
80.8Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.089.5160.5-18.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)71.089.5160.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)80.898.2179.0-17.40%
Last 5 (5)81.098.4179.4-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)82.394.6176.9-12.322%
vs Similar (7)80.086.0166.0-6.029%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -5.9-5.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -5.9-5.9
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
81.7Avg total
42.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.487.8+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.043.789.7+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)44.740.685.3+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.081.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.680.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.049.290.2-8.20%-
vs Similar (10)43.837.681.4+6.270%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.643.691.2+3.962%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A18/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
37-70
37
70
-33
H23/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A03/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A17/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A27/09
LKL
88.9Avg total
38.1Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.685.4-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.844.883.7-6.031%-
Last 30 away (17)40.546.186.6-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)38.150.888.9-12.710%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.685.4-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.546.686.0-7.122%-
vs Similar (7)40.942.383.1-1.429%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.0
35.6%
35.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.918.6
74.7%
70.8%18.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.9
52.5%
55.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.9
32.7%
35.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws26.317.9
68.1%
70.8%17.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWLWWLWLW
Nevezis
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#10
-0.7
Net rating
-20.3
97.7
Offensive rating
91.6
98.4
Defensive rating
111.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.43
35.6%
3-point %
32.7%
60.7%
Assist %
52.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 91.6Defence98.4 · 111.9Shooting52.6% · 51.3%3-point %35.6% · 32.7%Ball care15.1% · 17.1%Free throws0.42 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Neptunas wins
2
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
23/04/26Nevezis v Neptunas82-110
11/04/26Neptunas v Nevezis88-93
17/01/26Neptunas v Nevezis87-67
10/01/26Neptunas v Nevezis113-82
23/12/25Nevezis v Neptunas76-87
04/10/25Nevezis v Neptunas85-92
04/05/25Neptunas v Nevezis96-90
06/03/25Nevezis v Neptunas81-83
09/02/25Neptunas v Nevezis94-107
04/12/24Nevezis v Neptunas101-102
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87
23/09/26HJuventus99-84
20/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas69-93
13/06/26ALietkabelis91-82
11/06/26HLietkabelis66-63
08/06/26ALietkabelis68-80
06/06/26HLietkabelis86-73
03/06/26AJuventus90-103
01/06/26HJuventus102-84
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AJuventus77-94
22/09/26AJonava65-85
17/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas80-98
13/05/26HRytas88-117
09/05/26HJuventus95-98 OT
03/05/26ASiauliai75-95
26/04/26HGargzdai85-90
23/04/26HNeptunas82-110
18/04/26AJonava89-90
15/04/26ALietkabelis72-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game82.084.078.0
Allowed / game88.088.587.0
Point differential-6.0-4.5-9.0
Avg total170.0172.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game89.5-89.5
Point differential-18.5--18.5
Avg total160.5-160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%97.376.0+21.3
2 Gargzdai43175%89.889.2+0.5
3 Lietkabelis32167%82.082.3-0.3
4 Jonava21150%87.580.0+7.5
5 Taurage21150%87.087.5-0.5
6 Juventus31233%86.786.7+0.0
7 Neptunas31233%82.088.0-6.0
8 Siauliai31233%82.389.3-7.0
9 Rytas1010%102.0105.0-3.0
10 Nevezis2020%71.089.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3421142089
Nevezis1012192162
← all games of the day
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