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New Mexico State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-84
31-33 44-51
Position#178
Record11-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#223
Record10-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico State v Missouri State
02 Jan 2027
NEW v MISS
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
NEW 75
MISS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#264
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#706
W
104-33
104
33
+71
H28/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A02/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H09/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A15/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
42-42
27-49
43-34
48-28
39-50
52-17
52-16
39-44
35-45
41-53
41-36
46-28
34-36
29-29
26-30
29-46
42-27
49-30
48-38
150.2Avg total
78.9Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.368.3145.6+9.065%
Season at home (10)78.764.5143.2+14.280%
Season away (7)75.373.7149.0+1.643%
Last 10 (10)78.971.3150.2+7.640%
Last 5 (5)77.070.6147.6+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.268.5137.7+0.750%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.668.2136.8+0.450%
vs Weaker (6)77.064.2141.2+12.867%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A13/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
29-44
30-24
33-38
34-22
36-43
27-17
34-26
49-23
30-32
53-41
36-41
37-42
43-48
35-30
44-41
34-41
38-46
36-38
32-30
145.7Avg total
73.7Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.972.8148.7+3.156%
Season at home (11)80.569.2149.7+11.482%
Season away (7)68.678.6147.1-10.014%
Last 10 (10)73.772.0145.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)81.484.0165.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.274.0142.2-5.815%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.673.1142.7-3.536%
vs Weaker (3)67.753.3121.0+14.3100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: -3.4-3.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: -3.4-3.4
New Mexico StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#264
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#706
W
52-17
52
17
+35
H28/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A15/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A17/01
NCAA
74.6Avg total
38.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.430.965.3+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.928.263.2+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)33.933.967.7+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.974.6+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.032.363.3-1.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.430.764.1+2.850%-
vs Weaker (6)36.231.367.5+4.867%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-17
27
17
+10
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
36.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.732.267.9+3.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.830.569.3+8.465%-
Last 30 away (13)31.534.566.1-3.023%-
Last 10 (10)36.330.967.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.477.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.535.267.6-2.715%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.231.766.9+3.564%-
vs Weaker (3)35.321.356.7+14.0100%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico State wins
1
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Missouri State v New Mexico State89-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ADelaware97-68
15/01/26ALiberty71-73
11/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.55-59
09/01/26HWestern Kentucky80-64
04/01/26AMissouri State82-89
02/01/26AFlorida International74-89
28/12/25HSouthwest Mustangs104-33
21/12/25HSam Houston St.87-78
13/12/25HTulsa70-83
06/12/25AAbilene Christian69-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90 OT
15/01/26AWestern Kentucky72-87
10/01/26HFlorida International79-71
08/01/26AKennesaw State80-90
04/01/26HNew Mexico State89-82
03/01/26HUTEP79-55
29/12/25ADelaware61-43
23/12/25HLindenwood70-65
17/12/25HOral Roberts63-62
13/12/25AXavier57-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW65%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %65%80%43%
Points / game77.378.775.3
Allowed / game68.364.573.7
Point differential+9.0+14.2+1.6
Avg total145.6143.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %56%82%14%
Points / game75.980.568.6
Allowed / game72.869.278.6
Point differential+3.1+11.4-10.0
Avg total148.7149.7147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1916384%80.168.1+12.0
2 New Mexico State1711665%77.368.3+9.0
3 Kennesaw State1912763%88.477.2+11.2
4 Sam Houston St.1912763%84.674.8+9.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.1811761%75.669.8+5.8
6 Western Kentucky1911858%79.875.8+4.1
7 Louisiana Tech1810856%67.760.5+7.2
8 Missouri State1810856%75.972.8+3.1
9 Jacksonville State189950%73.066.3+6.7
10 Florida International189950%83.778.3+5.4
11 UTEP1861233%69.872.8-3.0
12 Delaware1851328%66.272.2-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State314475
Missouri State335184
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