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New Mexico State vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 76-68
27-27 49-41
Position#178
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#50
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game59.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico State v New Mexico
15 Nov 2025
NEW 76
NEW 68
15 Dec 2023
NEW 72
NEW 73
03 Dec 2022
NEW v NEW
upcoming
30 Nov 2021
NEW 94
NEW 101
21 Nov 2019
NEW 77
NEW 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
76-48
76
48
+28
H16/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
39-22
35-23
26-29
22-21
38-28
28-27
38-44
34-20
31-27
33-19
34-36
38-45
31-31
34-34
43-46
43-36
40-36
29-24
45-34
130.6Avg total
69.8Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.565.0143.5+13.5100%
Season at home (2)78.565.0143.5+13.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.860.8130.6+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.068.2142.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.771.7139.3-4.033%
vs Similar (16)66.866.1132.9+0.744%
vs Weaker (9)71.363.0134.3+8.367%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H01/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A05/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H13/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A24/03
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H06/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H08/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-32
45-39
41-38
30-29
40-38
41-29
32-23
31-29
34-28
35-44
35-32
40-34
31-29
32-42
34-14
42-40
31-19
43-37
36-32
46-36
139.0Avg total
74.6Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.359.3136.7+18.0100%
Season at home (3)77.359.3136.7+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.664.4139.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)74.063.0137.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (11)74.868.7143.5+6.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.868.1149.8+13.789%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +7.6+7.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +2.6+2.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +7.6+7.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +2.6+2.6
New Mexico StateNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
60.8Avg total
33.3Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.529.262.7+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.525.760.2+8.980%-
Last 30 away (15)32.532.765.2-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)33.327.560.8+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.667.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.732.067.7+3.767%-
vs Similar (16)32.228.360.5+3.962%-
vs Weaker (9)33.030.063.0+3.056%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A05/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A24/03
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
34-14
34
14
+20
H06/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H08/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H12/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
36.1Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.768.7+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.130.868.9+7.278%-
Last 30 away (12)35.433.168.5+2.358%-
Last 10 (10)36.128.564.6+7.6100%-
Last 5 (5)33.425.258.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (11)35.330.866.1+4.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.132.470.4+5.772%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico State wins
5
New Mexico wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HNew Mexico Cowboys74-58
05/11/25HAdams State83-72
13/03/25AKennesaw State77-80
08/03/25ASam Houston St.69-76
07/03/25ALouisiana Tech67-55
01/03/25HWestern Kentucky65-47
28/02/25HMiddle Tenn. St.66-71
22/02/25AKennesaw State60-49
21/02/25AJacksonville State61-52
16/02/25HFlorida International76-48
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HUC Riverside82-68
08/11/25HUT Arlington74-56
06/11/25HEast Texas A&M76-54
24/03/25AMichigan State63-71
21/03/25AMarquette75-66
15/03/25HBoise State69-72
13/03/25HSan Jose State63-52
08/03/25HUNLV81-67
05/03/25ANevada71-67
01/03/25HAir Force92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.578.5-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+13.5+13.5-
Avg total143.5143.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.377.3-
Allowed / game59.359.3-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total136.7136.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State330100%102.754.0+48.7
2 Jacksonville State330100%101.756.3+45.3
3 Middle Tenn. St.330100%95.359.7+35.7
4 Liberty330100%92.066.7+25.3
5 New Mexico State220100%78.565.0+13.5
6 Western Kentucky220100%84.574.5+10.0
7 Louisiana Tech32167%70.354.3+16.0
8 Missouri State42250%82.070.0+12.0
9 UTEP42250%78.568.0+10.5
10 Sam Houston St.21150%86.078.5+7.5
11 Florida International31233%82.781.0+1.7
12 Delaware3030%66.778.0-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State220100%75.051.0+24.0
2 Colorado State330100%96.072.3+23.7
3 Utah State440100%87.063.8+23.2
4 New Mexico330100%77.359.3+18.0
5 Wyoming330100%90.074.0+16.0
6 Boise State43175%81.569.8+11.8
7 Nevada43175%81.076.5+4.5
8 Fresno State42250%77.264.5+12.8
9 Grand Canyon42250%80.874.5+6.2
10 UNLV31233%91.785.7+6.0
11 San Jose State3030%69.782.7-13.0
12 Air Force4040%62.576.2-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State274976
New Mexico274168
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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