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New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 110-116
Projected total 225.6
Scheduled
Position#24
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game116.5
Allowed / game125.6
New Orleans Pelicans
USA
Vs
33%
67%
■ NOP 33%■ DET 67%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Detroit Pistons
USA
Position#8
Record8-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game107.8
USANBA· Smoothie King Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · New Orleans Pelicans v Detroit Pistons
18 Nov 2026
NOP v DET
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
NOP104
DET112
17 Mar 2025
NOP81
DET127
02 Nov 2023
NOP125
DET116
07 Dec 2022
NOP104
DET98
10 Dec 2021
NOP109
DET93
24 Feb 2021
NOP128
DET118
09 Dec 2019
NOP103
DET105
23 Jan 2019
NOP94
DET98
08 Jan 2018
NOP112
DET109
01 Mar 2017
NOP109
DET86
21 Jan 2016
NOP115
DET99
04 Mar 2015
NOP88
DET85
11 Dec 2013
NOP111
DET106
01 Mar 2013
NOP100
DET95
08 Dec 2010
NOP93
DET74
16 Dec 2009
NOP95
DET87
25 Feb 2009
NOP90
DET87
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The New Orleans Pelicans will host the Detroit Pistons on 18 November 2026 in an NBA clash that the Pythia model sees as a favour for Detroit, giving the Pistons a 67% chance of victory against the Pelicans' 33%. New Orleans has gone 4-8 so far, scoring 116.9 points per game and allowing 124.2, while at home they are 3-4 with 114.9 points for and 117.0 against; their last five games included one win and four defeats, with recent losses to Brooklyn, Golden State and Los Angeles. Detroit, meanwhile, is 8-3 overall, averaging 115.5 points and conceding 107.8, and on the road they are 5-1, scoring 118.2 and allowing 106.7; their last five games yielded three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 144-140 win over Washington. Historically the Pelicans have won six of ten meetings, but the Pistons' last encounter ended 129-108 in Detroit's favour. Pythia projects a final score of 110-116, a total of 225.6 points, and a 6% chance of overtime. Detroit's recent road form and the Pelicans' defensive struggles suggest the Pistons will edge the game.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Orleans Pelicans win
33.4%fair 2.99
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons win
66.6%fair 1.50
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelicans
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
91-104
91
104
-13
79avg 107
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
132-120
132
120
+12
131avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
121-99
121
99
+22
57avg 107
H31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
W
135-134 OT
135
134
+1
124avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
120-113 OT
120
113
+7
111avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
109-115
109
115
-6
100avg 107
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
123-139
123
139
-16
115avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
87-138
87
138
-51
72avg 107
A10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
111-145
111
145
-34
94avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
111-142
111
142
-31
100avg 107
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-37
27-20
28-22
18-25
24-30
39-31
39-27
30-32
33-18
30-30
29-26
29-25
34-28
25-34
41-33
24-29
24-24
18-13
28-43
34-24
30-27
21-30
28-20
30-38
28-28
32-39
35-35
28-37
20-35
23-37
22-40
22-26
25-39
41-44
15-24
30-38
28-35
30-35
28-35
25-37
238.9Avg total
114.0Scored
124.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)116.5125.6242.1-9.231%
Season at home (8)114.4120.1234.5-5.838%
Season away (5)119.8134.4254.2-14.620%
Last 10 (10)114.0124.9238.9-10.940%
Last 5 (5)108.2135.8244.0-27.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)112.7122.3235.0-9.724%
vs Similar (7)126.4122.6249.0+3.957%
vs Weaker (2)125.5117.5243.0+8.050%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#16
W
128-111
128
111
+17
133avg 109
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
106-93
106
93
+13
99avg 109
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
97-111
97
111
-14
84avg 109
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
97-89
97
89
+8
90avg 109
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
110-94
110
94
+16
99avg 109
A30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
124-91
124
91
+33
122avg 109
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
106-112
106
112
-6
99avg 109
H05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
116-121
116
121
-5
105avg 109
H08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
122-111
122
111
+11
118avg 109
H10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
144-140 OT
144
140
+4
135avg 109
A13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-26
24-27
38-27
25-31
34-22
22-22
23-25
27-24
38-25
12-26
13-37
34-23
21-22
23-29
32-19
21-19
21-28
35-21
36-17
18-28
27-24
38-30
33-21
26-16
21-29
21-27
33-35
31-21
14-38
34-23
33-27
35-33
31-32
37-26
35-29
19-24
33-32
31-29
30-29
27-31
222.3Avg total
115.0Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)115.5107.8223.4+7.773%
Season at home (5)112.4109.2221.6+3.260%
Season away (6)118.2106.7224.8+11.583%
Last 10 (10)115.0107.3222.3+7.770%
Last 5 (5)122.4115.0237.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)113.0111.2224.2+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)111.5105.2216.7+6.365%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%1%1801%1852%1903%1955%2007%2058%21010%21511%22011%22510%2308%2357%2405%2454%2503%2552%2601%2651%2700%2750%280
1%1802%1905%2008%21011%22010%2307%2404%2502%2601%2700%280
Pythia expects about 226 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 220-224 (11%).
Over/Under 220
Over 220
61.2%
Under 220
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225
Over 225
50.3%
Under 225
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230
Over 230
39.4%
Under 230
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

New Orleans Pelicans total 109
Over 109
52.5%
Under 109
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
New Orleans Pelicans total 113
Over 113
38.9%
Under 113
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
New Orleans Pelicans total 117
Over 117
26.8%
Under 117
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Detroit Pistons total 107.5
Over 107.5
75.7%
Under 107.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Detroit Pistons total 111.5
Over 111.5
63.9%
Under 111.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Detroit Pistons total 115.5
Over 115.5
50.6%
Under 115.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-421%-391%-361%-332%-303%-274%-245%-216%-187%-158%-129%-99%-68%-35%+07%+36%+65%+94%+123%+152%+181%+211%+241%+27
0%-421%-362%-304%-246%-188%-129%-65%+06%+64%+122%+181%+24
Margin from New Orleans Pelicans's side (positive = New Orleans Pelicans win). Pythia's expected margin is -5.7; New Orleans Pelicans win by 1+ in 29% of simulations.
Spread New Orleans Pelicans -3
NOP -3
27.5%
DET +3
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
NOP
No market prices yet.
DET
No market prices yet.
Spread New Orleans Pelicans 0
NOP 0
33.4%
DET 0
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
NOP
No market prices yet.
DET
No market prices yet.
Spread New Orleans Pelicans +3
NOP +3
39.1%
DET -3
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
NOP
No market prices yet.
DET
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
New Orleans PelicansDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A03/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H14/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
55.0Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.561.2118.7-3.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.158.8116.9-0.859%-
Last 30 away (13)56.764.4121.1-7.723%-
Last 10 (10)55.061.4116.4-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)55.669.8125.4-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)56.262.2118.5-6.033%-
vs Similar (7)58.658.6117.1+0.057%-
vs Weaker (2)66.560.0126.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#16
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A13/11
NBA
109.6Avg total
55.8Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.655.6112.2+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.654.0108.6+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)58.356.9115.2+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)55.853.8109.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)57.458.0115.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)52.858.8111.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)57.255.1112.3+2.162%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 122.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws25.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.134.2
52.5%
54.0%68.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws30.825.9
84.1%
77.2%25.9
They take 94.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.9
52.4%
54.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.613.2
35.1%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.121.0
77.5%
77.2%21.0
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Orleans Pelicans
LLLLLWWWWL
Detroit Pistons
WWLLWWWLWW
#24
League position
#8
-6.6
Net rating
+1.2
112.3
Offensive rating
108.9
118.9
Defensive rating
107.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.4%
3-point %
35.1%
56.0%
Assist %
65.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 108.9Defence118.9 · 107.6Shooting51.3% · 52.5%3-point %32.4% · 35.1%Ball care12.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 28.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ New Orleans Pelicans   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
New Orleans Pelicans wins
4
Detroit Pistons wins
DateGameScore
26/03/26Detroit Pistons v New Orleans Pelicans129-108
22/01/26New Orleans Pelicans v Detroit Pistons104-112
23/03/25Detroit Pistons v New Orleans Pelicans136-130
18/03/25New Orleans Pelicans v Detroit Pistons81-127
24/03/24Detroit Pistons v New Orleans Pelicans101-114
03/11/23New Orleans Pelicans v Detroit Pistons125-116
14/01/23Detroit Pistons v New Orleans Pelicans110-116
08/12/22New Orleans Pelicans v Detroit Pistons104-98
02/02/22Detroit Pistons v New Orleans Pelicans101-111
11/12/21New Orleans Pelicans v Detroit Pistons109-93
New Orleans Pelicanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMemphis Grizzlies111-142
12/11/26HBrooklyn Nets111-145
10/11/26AGolden State Warriors87-138
09/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers123-139
07/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves109-115
05/11/26HUtah Jazz120-113 OT
03/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies135-134 OT
31/10/26HAtlanta Hawks121-99
30/10/26HSacramento Kings132-120
29/10/26HDenver Nuggets91-104
Detroit Pistonslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWashington Wizards144-140 OT
10/11/26HWashington Wizards122-111
08/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers116-121
05/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers106-112
03/11/26ACharlotte Hornets124-91
30/10/26ABrooklyn Nets110-94
28/10/26HCharlotte Hornets97-89
28/10/26ANew York Knicks97-111
25/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-93
24/10/26AMiami Heat128-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%38%20%
Points / game116.5114.4119.8
Allowed / game125.6120.1134.4
Point differential-9.2-5.8-14.6
Avg total242.1234.5254.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %23%12%40%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game115.5112.4118.2
Allowed / game107.8109.2106.7
Point differential+7.7+3.2+11.5
Avg total223.4221.6224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%20%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Minnesota Timberwolves129375%119.3105.9+13.4
7 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
8 Detroit Pistons118373%115.5107.8+7.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies128467%119.9111.8+8.1
10 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
11 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
12 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
13 Dallas Mavericks127558%113.2112.2+1.0
14 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
15 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
16 Miami Heat126650%117.2120.1-2.9
17 Cleveland Cavaliers136746%116.8115.8+1.0
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans134931%116.5125.6-9.2
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
27 Chicago Bulls112918%114.4127.7-13.4
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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