Townsville vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 75-58

8-15 17-15 29-14 21-14

Position#7

Record6-12

FormLWLWL

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game84.7

Townsville 🏆

Perth

Position#1

Record13-5

FormLWWWW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game80.5

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Townsville v Perth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

89-77

+12

H04/11

NBL

Perth

77-85

-8

A06/11

NBL

Adelaide

65-89

-24

A14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

82-78

A20/11

NBL

Melbourne United

63-66

-3

H26/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

70-108

108

-38

A28/11

NBL

Cairns

90-76

+14

H02/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

75-86

-11

H05/12

NBL

Adelaide

101-100

101

100

H10/12

NBL

Adelaide

66-76

-10

A12/12

NBL

16-26

28-21

20-12

25-18

16-26

15-8

18-27

28-24

20-23

20-25

12-22

13-19

25-19

22-12

22-20

13-27

24-23

8-19

7-8

24-16

14-34

16-27

20-20

20-27

31-9

22-18

16-21

21-28

15-28

19-13

25-18

16-27

26-27

24-28

24-26

27-19

21-14

15-27

15-15

15-20

161.9Avg total

77.8Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	77.3	84.7	162.0	-7.4	33%
Season at home (7)	84.3	85.7	170.0	-1.4	43%
Season away (11)	72.8	84.1	156.9	-11.3	27%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	84.1	161.9	-6.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	89.2	169.6	-8.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	76.1	85.1	161.2	-9.1	25%
vs Similar (13)	84.0	81.2	165.2	+2.8	54%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	66.0	148.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

99-96

A11/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

80-88

-8

A13/11

NBL

Adelaide

94-88

A18/11

NBL

Cairns

91-90

H22/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

86-80

H27/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

78-99

-21

A02/12

NBL

Adelaide

90-72

+18

H04/12

NBL

Melbourne United

113-83

113

+30

H10/12

NBL

Sydney

87-69

+18

A13/12

NBL

Cairns

73-70

A17/12

NBL

28-26

23-33

17-20

31-17

12-18

21-23

26-26

21-21

32-27

27-25

16-24

19-12

18-18

28-30

25-22

20-20

16-18

28-15

23-21

19-26

31-25

17-29

16-15

14-30

25-18

23-20

23-17

19-17

15-21

34-12

30-25

34-25

15-20

22-15

21-24

29-10

17-15

17-20

15-23

24-12

172.6Avg total

89.1Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	86.0	80.5	166.5	+5.5	72%
Season at home (8)	87.8	76.2	164.0	+11.5	88%
Season away (10)	84.6	83.9	168.5	+0.7	60%
Last 10 (10)	89.1	83.5	172.6	+5.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	78.6	166.8	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (18)	83.3	84.9	168.3	-1.6	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	83.8	75.5	159.2	+8.2	75%

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvillePerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	22.3	44.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	22.5	40.2	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.9	43.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.4	24.4	42.8	-6.0	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.1	20.5	42.5	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.5	40.5	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	22.3	45.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (18)	20.6	19.9	40.4	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.8	18.8	40.7	+3.0	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.1	40.0	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.4	19.9	39.4	-0.5	56%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	24.0	44.7	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (18)	19.9	23.5	43.4	-3.6	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	50%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

44-47

-3

H04/11

NBL

Perth

31-34

-3

A06/11

NBL

Adelaide

40-48

-8

A14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

47-31

+16

A20/11

NBL

Melbourne United

32-42

-10

H26/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

30-61

-31

A28/11

NBL

Cairns

53-27

+26

H02/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-41

-7

H05/12

NBL

Adelaide

50-55

-5

H10/12

NBL

Adelaide

36-41

-5

A12/12

NBL

82.4Avg total

39.7Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.4	82.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	41.8	84.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	43.1	80.1	-6.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	42.7	82.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	45.0	85.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	37.8	44.3	82.1	-6.5	19%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.2	41.0	84.2	+2.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	31.0	65.0	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

51-59

-8

A11/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

33-41

-8

A13/11

NBL

Adelaide

59-52

A18/11

NBL

Cairns

46-48

-2

H22/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-33

+11

H27/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-54

-6

A02/12

NBL

Adelaide

48-38

+10

H04/12

NBL

Melbourne United

49-33

+16

H10/12

NBL

Sydney

37-35

A13/12

NBL

Cairns

34-35

-1

A17/12

NBL

87.7Avg total

44.9Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	41.6	83.0	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	36.8	76.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	46.3	89.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	42.8	87.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.0	82.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (18)	40.4	43.4	83.8	-2.9	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.9	38.8	81.8	+4.1	75%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.9	38.0	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	18.5	39.1	+2.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.9	39.6	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.1	37.1	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (18)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.1	41.6	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	44%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.5	40.3	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.8	42.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (18)	20.7	22.3	43.1	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.0	79.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	39.9	80.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	40.1	78.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	41.4	79.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	44.2	84.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.2	40.8	79.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.6	39.4	80.0	+1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	35.0	83.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.8	79.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	38.9	82.4	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	38.7	77.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	40.7	84.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	39.6	84.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (18)	41.2	40.2	81.4	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.8	36.7	77.5	+4.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
06/11/15	Perth v Townsville	85-77
04/11/15	Townsville v Perth	89-77
23/10/15	Perth v Townsville	63-66
22/02/15	Perth v Townsville	81-71
23/01/15	Townsville v Perth	85-93 OT
14/11/14	Perth v Townsville	93-78
02/11/14	Townsville v Perth	102-80
07/03/14	Perth v Townsville	81-69
07/02/14	Townsville v Perth	88-75
12/01/14	Townsville v Perth	97-103

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/15	A	Adelaide	66-76
10/12/15	H	Adelaide	101-100
05/12/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	75-86
02/12/15	H	Cairns	90-76
28/11/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	70-108
26/11/15	H	Melbourne United	63-66
20/11/15	A	Melbourne United	82-78
14/11/15	A	Adelaide	65-89
06/11/15	A	Perth	77-85
04/11/15	H	Perth	89-77

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/15	A	Cairns	73-70
13/12/15	A	Sydney	87-69
10/12/15	H	Melbourne United	113-83
04/12/15	H	Adelaide	90-72
02/12/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	78-99
27/11/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	86-80
22/11/15	H	Cairns	91-90
18/11/15	A	Adelaide	94-88
13/11/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	80-88
11/11/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	99-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	33%
Home	WLWLW	43%
Away	LLWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	7	11
Win %	33%	43%	27%
Points / game	77.3	84.3	72.8
Allowed / game	84.7	85.7	84.1
Point differential	-7.4	-1.4	-11.3
Avg total	162.0	170.0	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	50% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Perth

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	72%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	72%	88%	60%
Points / game	86.0	87.8	84.6
Allowed / game	80.5	76.2	83.9
Point differential	+5.5	+11.5	+0.7
Avg total	166.5	164.0	168.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	38%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	18	13	5	72%	86.0	80.5	+5.5
2	New Zealand Breakers	15	10	5	67%	85.2	80.0	+5.2
3	Melbourne United	17	11	6	65%	84.9	83.6	+1.4
4	Illawarra Hawks	16	9	7	56%	92.7	88.1	+4.6
5	Adelaide	17	8	9	47%	86.5	86.1	+0.4
6	Cairns	16	6	10	38%	82.9	87.0	-4.1
7	Townsville	18	6	12	33%	77.3	84.7	-7.4
8	Sydney	17	4	13	24%	84.6	89.4	-4.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	8	17	29	21	75
Perth	15	15	14	14	58

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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