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Newcastle Falcons vs Norths Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 68-57
22-11 15-22 15-11 16-13
Position#7
Record10-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#5
Record13-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game79.1
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Norths Bears
31 May 2025
NEWC78
NORT68
26 May 2024
NEWC71
NORT79
02 Jul 2023
NEWC68
NORT57
13 Aug 2022
NEWC93
NORT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norths Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H06/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A13/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A20/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
83-112
83
112
-29
A04/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H17/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A24/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A01/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
16-12
11-25
17-22
23-19
24-19
31-12
21-24
20-17
23-12
15-24
8-9
28-17
28-28
14-20
22-13
16-16
20-13
16-20
21-13
17-19
11-23
21-28
19-27
23-31
21-31
14-23
25-27
11-3
25-13
12-16
14-13
20-14
21-20
21-20
20-26
20-23
26-24
18-18
10-14
154.6Avg total
77.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.674.2152.8+4.559%
Season at home (7)78.365.7144.0+12.671%
Season away (10)78.980.1159.0-1.250%
Last 10 (10)77.776.9154.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)73.882.6156.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.891.8169.5-14.025%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.277.3151.5-3.238%
vs Weaker (13)80.568.8149.4+11.777%
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H22/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H29/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H06/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A13/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H20/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H27/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A03/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A17/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A24/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
107-97 OT
107
97
+10
H01/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
12-28
24-18
20-16
22-22
20-15
29-17
30-21
29-29
19-27
25-24
24-13
19-5
18-14
21-28
29-30
18-20
24-18
26-19
21-21
16-16
13-20
20-16
13-21
26-24
11-28
27-15
29-21
25-12
25-24
9-23
19-17
24-35
18-16
15-13
17-19
20-18
25-18
21-27
16-19
167.8Avg total
85.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.179.1165.2+7.076%
Season at home (9)88.876.8165.6+12.078%
Season away (8)83.181.8164.9+1.475%
Last 10 (10)85.782.1167.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)82.883.4166.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.289.8166.0-13.538%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.479.8163.2+3.577%
vs Weaker (9)91.073.2164.2+17.8100%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
Newcastle FalconsNorths Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H06/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A20/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A04/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H17/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A01/07
NBL1 East
78.2Avg total
41.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.676.1+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.831.473.2+10.492%-
Last 30 away (17)37.840.578.3-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.478.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.279.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.542.078.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.937.574.4-0.554%-
vs Weaker (13)43.034.077.0+9.077%-
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H22/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H06/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A13/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H20/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H27/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A17/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A24/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H01/07
NBL1 East
80.5Avg total
39.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.579.8+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.438.979.3+1.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.080.3+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.880.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.840.879.5-2.062%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.241.780.9-2.554%-
vs Weaker (9)43.435.178.6+8.378%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Newcastle Falcons wins
1
Norths Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/23ASydney Comets74-79
24/06/23AInner West Bulls82-80
17/06/23HHornsby S.62-45
04/06/23ABA CoE83-112
03/06/23AIllawarra Hawks 268-97
27/05/23ANorths Bears73-62
21/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-78
20/05/23ABankstown Bruins66-62
13/05/23ACentral Coast Crusaders99-74
06/05/23HInner West Bulls78-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits107-97 OT
24/06/23ACanberra74-83
17/06/23ASutherland Sharks78-76
03/06/23AHills Hornets93-88
27/05/23HNewcastle Falcons62-73
20/05/23HCentral Coast Crusaders89-78
13/05/23AHornsby S.87-77
06/05/23HCanberra97-93
29/04/23HIllawarra Hawks 2101-75
22/04/23HHills Hornets69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL59%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %59%71%50%
Points / game78.678.378.9
Allowed / game74.265.780.1
Point differential+4.5+12.6-1.2
Avg total152.8144.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%78%75%
Points / game86.188.883.1
Allowed / game79.176.881.8
Point differential+7.0+12.0+1.4
Avg total165.2165.6164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE2019195%101.076.3+24.8
2 Inner West Bulls1714382%90.477.4+12.9
3 Norths Bears1713476%86.179.1+7.0
4 Sutherland Sharks1913668%87.582.6+4.9
5 Canberra1812667%85.076.8+8.2
6 Maitland M.1711665%89.181.4+7.6
7 Hills Hornets1711665%81.976.6+5.3
8 Newcastle Falcons1710759%78.674.2+4.5
9 Illawarra Hawks 2178947%86.983.8+3.1
10 Sydney Comets178947%81.383.2-1.9
11 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1881044%88.389.0-0.7
12 Bankstown Bruins1741324%74.687.3-12.7
13 Manly W.1841422%70.184.7-14.6
14 Penrith P.1631319%69.892.9-23.1
15 Central Coast Crusaders1831517%76.987.6-10.7
16 Hornsby S.190190%65.683.3-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons2215151668
Norths Bears1122111357
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