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Penrith P. vs Maitland M. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 86-103
20-29 15-26 23-26 28-22
Position#16
Record1-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game97.7
vs
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game78.7
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Penrith P. v Maitland M.
16 Jun 2024
PENR86
MAIT103
09 Jul 2023
PENR95
MAIT101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
78-109
78
109
-31
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H27/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H04/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A11/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H12/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
73-110
73
110
-37
A18/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A25/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
70-96
70
96
-26
H01/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
109-112 OT
109
112
-3
A02/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
65-105
65
105
-40
H15/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-36
19-24
25-23
15-26
21-19
16-17
11-23
17-21
23-15
15-21
15-26
17-24
22-23
21-22
15-23
28-28
22-26
32-25
25-28
15-30
21-34
16-19
15-26
21-31
18-21
20-24
17-24
16-17
22-21
18-22
20-25
10-28
23-32
31-16
25-17
18-32
14-30
19-28
22-25
10-22
177.0Avg total
78.1Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.197.7177.8-17.67%
Season at home (6)73.797.5171.2-23.80%
Season away (8)84.997.9182.8-13.012%
Last 10 (10)78.198.9177.0-20.80%
Last 5 (5)77.6101.8179.4-24.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.694.4171.9-16.810%
vs Similar (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H25/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
96-70
96
70
+26
A27/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
113-89
113
89
+24
A04/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
86-101
86
101
-15
H11/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
110-73
110
73
+37
H18/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
103-81
103
81
+22
A19/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H25/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H01/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
A15/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
24-21
13-25
25-15
20-18
28-17
25-17
22-17
24-16
23-27
28-13
21-14
28-18
27-26
30-19
28-26
19-24
21-34
29-18
17-25
34-21
19-16
26-15
31-21
27-16
29-17
23-21
24-27
23-17
21-15
25-21
31-25
20-17
26-24
22-16
28-16
21-31
22-16
34-12
23-28
178.7Avg total
98.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)98.878.7177.5+20.192%
Season at home (8)98.476.8175.1+21.688%
Season away (5)99.481.8181.2+17.6100%
Last 10 (10)98.480.3178.7+18.190%
Last 5 (5)101.878.4180.2+23.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
vs Similar (7)90.682.6173.1+8.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)97.280.7177.9+16.591%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: -9.2-9.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: -9.2-9.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
Penrith P.Maitland M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H12/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A18/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A25/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A02/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H15/06
NBL1 East
88.7Avg total
41.2Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.447.785.1-10.317%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.848.785.4-11.919%-
Last 30 away (13)38.246.584.7-8.415%-
Last 10 (10)41.247.588.7-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.449.489.8-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.347.484.7-10.118%-
vs Similar (1)39.057.096.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A27/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A04/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H11/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H18/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A19/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H01/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/06
NBL1 East
89.1Avg total
47.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.487.2+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.140.686.7+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)45.542.587.9+3.069%-
Last 10 (10)47.941.289.1+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)48.438.086.4+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.045.086.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)43.943.987.7+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.740.587.1+6.282%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
2
Maitland M. wins
DateGameScore
18/05/24Maitland M. v Penrith P.110-73
09/07/23Penrith P. v Maitland M.95-101
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24HManly W.65-105
02/06/24AHills Hornets109-112 OT
01/06/24HBA CoE70-96
25/05/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits71-86
18/05/24AMaitland M.73-110
12/05/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits94-109
11/05/24ANorths Bears86-96
04/05/24HCanberra70-86
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons65-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets78-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24ABankstown Bruins100-87
01/06/24HManly W.96-73
25/05/24HSydney Comets100-78
19/05/24AInner West Bulls103-81
18/05/24HPenrith P.110-73
11/05/24HHills Hornets86-101
04/05/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits113-89
27/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders96-70
25/04/24HHornsby S.95-69
20/04/24ASutherland Sharks85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %7%0%12%
Points / game80.173.784.9
Allowed / game97.797.597.9
Point differential-17.6-23.8-13.0
Avg total177.8171.2182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %92%88%100%
Points / game98.898.499.4
Allowed / game78.776.881.8
Point differential+20.1+21.6+17.6
Avg total177.5175.1181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%88%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.1312192%98.878.7+20.1
2 Canberra1614288%86.573.2+13.2
3 Manly W.129375%91.879.1+12.8
4 BA CoE1712571%88.978.8+10.1
5 Hills Hornets128467%88.785.9+2.8
6 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1510567%93.791.0+2.7
7 Inner West Bulls159660%92.983.3+9.6
8 Norths Bears148657%84.481.4+3.0
9 Sydney Comets147750%85.582.9+2.6
10 Bankstown Bruins147750%81.281.6-0.4
11 Sutherland Sharks136746%79.584.2-4.7
12 Newcastle Falcons1551033%72.879.7-6.9
13 Central Coast Crusaders1531220%85.193.3-8.1
14 Illawarra Hawks1421214%79.499.9-20.6
15 Penrith P.141137%80.197.7-17.6
16 Hornsby S.151147%77.094.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.2015232886
Maitland M.29262622103
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