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Northwestern St. vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 62-68
34-37 28-31
Position#334
Record9-20
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#138
Record16-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Northwestern St. v Nicholls State
23 Jan 2027
NORT v NICH
upcoming
02 Feb 2026
NORT58
NICH61
04 Jan 2025
NORT68
NICH66
04 Mar 2024
NORT62
NICH68
07 Jan 2023
NORT68
NICH48
24 Feb 2022
NORT62
NICH80
13 Jan 2021
NORT66
NICH76
19 Feb 2020
NORT69
NICH73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H27/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A30/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H03/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A06/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A20/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
39-36
26-35
39-54
33-22
37-35
35-35
31-38
20-30
39-39
34-33
36-26
34-34
47-27
24-38
37-34
44-30
42-43
37-33
33-37
141.7Avg total
70.3Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.776.2146.9-5.431%
Season at home (13)73.571.4144.8+2.146%
Season away (16)68.580.1148.6-11.619%
Last 10 (10)70.371.4141.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)75.069.4144.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.683.1148.7-17.50%
vs Similar (9)72.467.2139.7+5.256%
vs Weaker (4)88.866.5155.2+22.2100%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H13/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
47-74
47
74
-27
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A20/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H27/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
36-38
46-36
37-37
35-35
38-31
28-30
28-45
31-32
36-31
22-29
25-45
41-34
48-43
39-33
46-37
47-34
45-48
22-39
40-44
148.8Avg total
74.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.675.2148.9-1.655%
Season at home (13)76.671.1147.7+5.577%
Season away (16)71.278.6149.8-7.438%
Last 10 (10)74.174.7148.8-0.670%
Last 5 (5)75.077.2152.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)61.476.9138.3-15.411%
vs Similar (11)74.674.8149.5-0.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.174.9158.0+8.289%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -2.0-2.0
Northwestern St.Nicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H27/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A30/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A20/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/03
NCAA
64.9Avg total
31.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.067.4-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.531.967.5+3.654%-
Last 30 away (17)31.835.567.4-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)31.633.364.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.838.268.1-8.412%-
vs Similar (9)33.329.763.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker (4)49.025.574.5+23.5100%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A20/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A02/03
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.534.366.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.133.970.1+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)29.434.764.1-5.319%-
Last 10 (10)34.032.966.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.868.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.335.462.8-8.111%-
vs Similar (11)32.132.264.3-0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.936.174.0+1.844%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HLamar77-82 OT
24/02/24AHouston Christian86-73
20/02/24ATexas A&M-CC61-72
17/02/24AIncarnate Word81-61
13/02/24HNew Orleans70-59
10/02/24HSE Louisiana59-69
06/02/24ANicholls State66-73
03/02/24HTX A&M Commerce70-57
30/01/24AMcNeese State65-89
27/01/24HTexas A&M-CC68-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AMcNeese State62-83
27/02/24HIncarnate Word92-82
24/02/24HTX A&M Commerce85-70
20/02/24ANew Orleans89-77
17/02/24HMcNeese State47-74
13/02/24HTexas A&M-CC67-63
11/02/24ALamar56-75
06/02/24HNorthwestern St.73-66
03/02/24HHouston Christian83-73
27/01/24ATX A&M Commerce87-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL31%
HomeLWLWL46%
AwayLLWLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %31%46%19%
Points / game70.773.568.5
Allowed / game76.271.480.1
Point differential-5.4+2.1-11.6
Avg total146.9144.8148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%8%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %55%77%38%
Points / game73.676.671.2
Allowed / game75.271.178.6
Point differential-1.6+5.5-7.4
Avg total148.9147.7149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)75% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %17%8%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2926390%79.961.1+18.9
2 Texas A&M-CC29191066%75.966.7+9.2
3 Lamar29161355%79.074.2+4.8
4 Nicholls State29161355%73.675.2-1.6
5 Stephen F. Austin29151452%74.370.9+3.4
6 SE Louisiana29141548%69.570.9-1.4
7 TX A&M Commerce29111838%72.675.0-2.4
8 New Orleans2992031%75.080.4-5.4
9 Northwestern St.2992031%70.776.2-5.4
10 Incarnate Word2982128%73.579.0-5.5
11 Houston Christian2762122%71.783.5-11.8
12 UTRGV2962321%70.680.2-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.342862
Nicholls State373168
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