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Iwate vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 77-61
31-14 14-19 18-7 14-21
Position#13
Record15-37
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game75.8
Iwate 🏆
Japan
vs
Niigata
Japan
Position#14
Record7-45
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game87.1
JapanB2.League· Morioka Takaya Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iwate v Niigata
31 Mar 2024
IWAT92
NIIG75
30 Mar 2024
IWAT77
NIIG61
07 Jan 2024
IWAT52
NIIG60
06 Jan 2024
IWAT64
NIIG72
26 Apr 2015
IWAT80
NIIG75
25 Apr 2015
IWAT62
NIIG67
13 Oct 2013
IWAT75
NIIG61
12 Oct 2013
IWAT80
NIIG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iwate winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 59
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 59
A02/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
78-64
78
64
+14
78avg 59
A03/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-93
95
93
+2
78avg 59
H09/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
no box
H10/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
61-82
61
82
-21
-1avg 59
A19/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
56-75
56
75
-19
47avg 59
A20/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
64avg 59
H23/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
68avg 59
H24/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
76avg 59
A27/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
11-28
20-21
20-12
15-29
22-19
17-22
21-21
22-12
15-20
16-15
25-17
23-22
25-23
22-23
25-25
26-12
17-22
8-19
22-20
14-15
12-30
20-17
15-20
18-23
15-22
17-17
6-13
24-19
19-24
12-26
17-13
20-14
10-22
19-23
29-25
24-18
20-20
11-16
16-17
156.2Avg total
74.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)71.475.8147.1-4.429%
Season at home (24)71.874.7146.5-3.029%
Season away (28)71.076.6147.7-5.629%
Last 10 (10)74.981.3156.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)70.482.0152.4-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.975.8143.7-7.823%
vs Similar (15)77.375.7153.0+1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)58.066.0124.0-8.00%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 62
H27/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
59avg 62
H02/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
87avg 62
H03/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 62
A08/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
82-98
82
98
-16
73avg 62
A09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 62
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
53avg 62
A17/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 62
H23/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
60-97
60
97
-37
46avg 62
H24/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 62
H27/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-32
22-20
17-23
12-28
23-23
24-24
16-30
20-27
20-24
21-30
34-20
18-25
23-17
23-19
21-30
29-22
22-23
22-25
9-28
17-22
21-18
8-22
28-24
17-23
15-24
15-16
22-20
24-16
19-17
20-19
22-29
8-32
16-25
23-18
13-22
7-27
29-17
17-26
22-23
171.2Avg total
78.4Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)73.587.1160.6-13.513%
Season at home (26)74.086.2160.3-12.215%
Season away (26)73.087.9160.9-14.812%
Last 10 (10)78.492.8171.2-14.410%
Last 5 (5)72.688.0160.6-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)76.889.2166.0-12.420%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iwate) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.5-4.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.5-4.5
IwateNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A02/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H09/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A19/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H24/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/03
B2.League
77.4Avg total
37.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.675.1-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.537.174.6+0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)35.739.875.5-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.477.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.476.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.039.974.9-4.923%-
vs Similar (15)38.737.976.5+0.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)30.036.066.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H27/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H02/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
24-57
24
57
-33
H24/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/03
B2.League
84.5Avg total
38.5Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.983.9-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.844.882.6-7.125%-
Last 30 away (14)40.545.085.5-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.546.084.5-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.278.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.044.983.9-5.930%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iwate) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.8
48.3%
52.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
33.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.011.4
67.1%
71.0%11.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.0
52.5%
52.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.8
32.9%
33.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.612.2
78.2%
71.0%12.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iwate
LLLLLLWWLL
Niigata
LLWLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#14
-8.6
Net rating
-19.6
101.9
Offensive rating
104.8
110.4
Defensive rating
124.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.4%
3-point %
32.9%
57.2%
Assist %
50.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 104.8Defence110.4 · 124.4Shooting50.4% · 51.3%3-point %35.4% · 32.9%Ball care17.8% · 13.7%Off. rebounds27.1% · 19.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Iwate   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Iwate wins
5
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Iwate v Niigata52-60
06/01/24Iwate v Niigata64-72
03/12/23Niigata v Iwate69-80
02/12/23Niigata v Iwate76-88
26/04/15Iwate v Niigata80-75
25/04/15Iwate v Niigata62-67
15/02/15Niigata v Iwate69-86
14/02/15Niigata v Iwate71-69
02/03/14Niigata v Iwate76-70
01/03/14Niigata v Iwate66-69
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AYamagata Wyverns85-87 OT
24/03/24HKoshigaya Alphas78-84
23/03/24HKoshigaya Alphas72-82
20/03/24AShiga56-75
19/03/24AShiga61-82
10/03/24HAomori80-84 OT
09/03/24HAomori95-93
03/03/24ANara78-64
02/03/24ANara75-91
24/02/24AFukuoka69-71
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HFukushima75-93
24/03/24HFukuoka60-97
23/03/24HFukuoka85-81
17/03/24AKobe69-83
16/03/24AKobe74-86
09/03/24AEhime Orange Vikings82-98
08/03/24AEhime Orange Vikings85-91
03/03/24HAltiri Chiba95-101
02/03/24HAltiri Chiba75-105
27/02/24HAomori84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522428
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game71.471.871.0
Allowed / game75.874.776.6
Point differential-4.4-3.0-5.6
Avg total147.1146.5147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (16)29% (7)22% (9)
Overtime %8%4%11%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL13%
HomeLLWLL15%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %13%15%12%
Points / game73.574.073.0
Allowed / game87.186.287.9
Point differential-13.5-12.2-14.8
Avg total160.6160.3160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5349492%91.977.5+14.4
2 Shiga53381572%86.979.9+7.0
3 Fukuoka54351965%78.074.7+3.3
4 Kumamoto53322160%85.084.5+0.5
5 Koshigaya Alphas53312258%83.374.8+8.6
6 Aomori53272651%84.986.8-1.9
7 Yamagata Wyverns53272651%81.785.1-3.4
8 Kobe53252847%79.578.5+1.0
9 Shizuoka53242945%80.881.1-0.2
10 Fukushima53213240%81.284.7-3.5
11 Nara53203338%73.977.1-3.2
12 Ehime Orange Vikings54203437%79.284.2-5.0
13 Iwate52153729%71.475.8-4.4
14 Niigata5274513%73.587.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iwate3114181477
Niigata141972161
← all games of the day
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