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Niigata vs Iwate Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 04:10
Final 69-80
19-18 17-22 21-20 12-20
Position#14
Record1-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Iwate 🏆
Japan
Position#13
Record4-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game78.1
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Iwate
03 Dec 2023
NIIG69
IWAT80
02 Dec 2023
NIIG76
IWAT88
15 Feb 2015
NIIG69
IWAT86
14 Feb 2015
NIIG71
IWAT69
02 Mar 2014
NIIG76
IWAT70
01 Mar 2014
NIIG66
IWAT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iwate winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 57
H29/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
77avg 57
A04/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
59avg 57
A05/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 57
A11/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
50avg 57
A12/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 57
H20/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
no box
H21/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
52-81
52
81
-29
42avg 57
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
36avg 57
A26/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
74avg 57
H02/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
21-11
31-21
17-20
17-26
18-26
22-24
24-18
12-31
18-14
20-21
17-19
20-28
20-20
11-18
15-16
10-21
15-20
13-22
18-14
15-15
10-27
19-19
18-15
15-23
21-21
22-10
13-17
17-20
7-23
9-15
19-23
11-19
13-15
14-31
16-13
17-27
27-25
14-16
18-20
150.0Avg total
68.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.083.7150.7-16.76%
Season at home (7)68.381.4149.7-13.114%
Season away (11)66.285.1151.3-18.90%
Last 10 (10)68.082.0150.0-14.010%
Last 5 (5)64.281.0145.2-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)71.483.4154.8-12.014%
vs Similar (2)91.583.0174.5+8.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iwate) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
54avg 60
A29/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
56-81
56
81
-25
44avg 60
H04/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
59avg 60
H05/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
62avg 60
H11/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 60
H12/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 60
A18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 60
A19/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
53avg 60
H25/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
71-77
71
77
-6
56avg 60
H26/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 60
A02/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
19-17
14-23
21-18
15-16
13-16
11-22
17-27
20-21
20-23
10-16
20-19
22-9
17-25
15-24
20-17
21-12
22-17
19-20
16-20
22-19
21-27
26-22
17-17
26-23
22-19
5-12
20-22
22-21
14-22
16-13
17-24
17-15
26-21
5-22
23-19
27-17
25-27
16-14
20-18
151.2Avg total
73.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.278.1149.2-6.922%
Season at home (10)69.476.0145.4-6.620%
Season away (8)73.480.6154.0-7.225%
Last 10 (10)73.677.6151.2-4.030%
Last 5 (5)77.478.8156.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.479.9146.3-13.414%
vs Similar (13)71.375.1146.4-3.823%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.069.3160.3+21.780%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
NiigataIwate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H29/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A05/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A12/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H20/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H21/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A26/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H02/12
B2.League
76.1Avg total
32.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.542.077.5-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.141.676.7-6.421%-
Last 30 away (16)35.842.478.1-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)32.443.776.1-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)30.643.073.6-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.042.777.7-7.621%-
vs Similar (2)41.532.574.0+9.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iwate) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H04/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H05/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A19/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H26/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A02/12
B2.League
79.5Avg total
40.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.536.977.4+3.546%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.634.275.8+7.356%-
Last 30 away (12)39.040.579.5-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.779.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.286.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.939.375.1-3.429%-
vs Similar (13)39.037.476.4+1.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.934.181.0+12.875%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.115.6
44.4%
52.4%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.0
30.2%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.410.4
67.5%
71.0%10.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.5
47.6%
52.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.610.4
66.7%
71.0%10.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLLLLLLLLW
Iwate
WLLLWWLLLL
#14
League position
#13
-23.3
Net rating
-5.5
91.1
Offensive rating
102.4
114.4
Defensive rating
107.9
44.8%
Effective FG%
48.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
21.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.2%
3-point %
33.3%
56.8%
Assist %
59.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 102.4Defence114.4 · 107.9Shooting44.8% · 48.6%3-point %30.2% · 33.3%Ball care21.5% · 16.3%Off. rebounds31.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Niigata   ■ Iwate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Niigata wins
6
Iwate wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Niigata v Iwate76-88
26/04/15Iwate v Niigata80-75
25/04/15Iwate v Niigata62-67
15/02/15Niigata v Iwate69-86
14/02/15Niigata v Iwate71-69
02/03/14Niigata v Iwate76-70
01/03/14Niigata v Iwate66-69
13/10/13Iwate v Niigata75-61
12/10/13Iwate v Niigata80-78 OT
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HIwate76-88
26/11/23AAltiri Chiba54-78
25/11/23AAltiri Chiba52-81
21/11/23HNara77-82 OT
20/11/23HNara62-76
12/11/23AShiga56-77
11/11/23AShiga66-82
05/11/23AFukushima67-85
04/11/23AFukushima81-94
29/10/23HYamagata Wyverns89-77
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ANiigata88-76
26/11/23HNara71-77
25/11/23HNara69-80
19/11/23AFukushima73-76
18/11/23AFukushima86-85
12/11/23HKobe78-69
11/11/23HKobe74-75
05/11/23HFukuoka70-79
04/11/23HFukuoka56-81
29/10/23AKumamoto71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %6%14%0%
Points / game67.068.366.2
Allowed / game83.781.485.1
Point differential-16.7-13.1-18.9
Avg total150.7149.7151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW22%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game71.269.473.4
Allowed / game78.176.080.6
Point differential-6.9-6.6-7.2
Avg total149.2145.4154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1816289%86.673.7+12.9
2 Fukuoka1814478%79.373.9+5.4
3 Koshigaya Alphas1812667%84.672.8+11.7
4 Shiga1812667%85.376.3+8.9
5 Kumamoto1811761%82.981.7+1.2
6 Kobe1911858%78.775.8+2.9
7 Shizuoka1810856%80.276.0+4.2
8 Aomori1810856%85.287.0-1.8
9 Yamagata Wyverns1881044%79.784.1-4.3
10 Nara1871139%71.977.1-5.1
11 Fukushima1861233%80.883.2-2.3
12 Ehime Orange Vikings1951426%76.286.1-9.9
13 Iwate1841422%71.278.1-6.9
14 Niigata181176%67.083.7-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata1917211269
Iwate1822202080
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