PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Niigata vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 10:10
Final 62-76
15-15 10-27 19-19 18-15
Position#14
Record1-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Nara 🏆
Japan
Position#11
Record2-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game80.6
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Nara
21 Nov 2023
NIIG77
NARA82
20 Nov 2023
NIIG62
NARA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
59avg 59
A15/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 59
A21/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
59avg 59
A22/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
70-99
70
99
-29
55avg 59
A25/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
63-92
63
92
-29
46avg 59
H28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 59
H29/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
77avg 59
A04/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
59avg 59
A05/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 59
A11/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
50avg 59
A12/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
11-18
16-19
27-19
14-19
21-25
25-22
10-24
28-21
12-21
10-22
17-23
18-31
20-18
13-18
19-32
16-34
22-20
16-15
9-23
20-25
21-11
31-21
17-20
17-26
18-26
22-24
24-18
12-31
18-14
20-21
17-19
20-28
20-20
11-18
15-16
10-21
15-20
13-22
18-14
155.4Avg total
69.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.184.7152.8-16.68%
Season at home (4)65.881.0146.8-15.225%
Season away (9)69.186.3155.4-17.20%
Last 10 (10)69.985.5155.4-15.610%
Last 5 (5)71.883.0154.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.584.4158.9-9.922%
vs Similar (3)79.780.3160.0-0.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
58-96
58
96
-38
48avg 59
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
48avg 59
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 59
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
62-64
62
64
-2
59avg 59
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 59
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 59
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
55avg 59
H05/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
56-81
56
81
-25
41avg 59
H11/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 59
H12/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
10-19
19-24
12-28
16-26
18-21
22-21
10-28
16-15
22-30
21-21
19-22
12-17
15-20
17-16
18-11
17-18
12-20
15-18
24-18
15-21
22-14
18-15
17-24
20-22
18-12
21-21
17-15
15-19
14-23
20-22
19-16
13-24
19-19
12-18
12-20
18-17
26-17
20-13
22-23
148.3Avg total
69.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.280.6150.8-10.515%
Season at home (8)69.282.2151.5-13.025%
Season away (5)71.678.0149.6-6.40%
Last 10 (10)69.079.3148.3-10.320%
Last 5 (5)71.675.0146.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.783.2150.9-15.55%
vs Similar (11)74.381.7156.0-7.527%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
NiigataNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A22/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A25/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H29/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A05/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/11
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A12/11
B2.League
79.4Avg total
34.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.041.378.3-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.777.5-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.079.1-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.944.579.4-9.610%-
Last 5 (5)34.244.478.6-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.842.479.3-5.630%-
vs Similar (3)38.331.369.7+7.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H05/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H11/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H12/11
B2.League
73.4Avg total
33.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.639.973.4-6.334%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.139.772.8-6.629%-
Last 30 away (12)34.240.274.4-5.942%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.973.4-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.673.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.241.672.8-10.317%-
vs Similar (11)37.437.274.5+0.264%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.714.6
42.1%
52.4%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.1
35.4%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.012.0
66.7%
71.0%12.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.1
48.7%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.2
25.1%
33.6%15.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
71.0%13.8
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLLLWLLLLL
Nara
WLLWLLLLLL
#14
League position
#11
-22.7
Net rating
-16.2
93.8
Offensive rating
95.2
116.6
Defensive rating
111.4
46.8%
Effective FG%
44.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
25.1%
54.4%
Assist %
54.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 95.2Defence116.6 · 111.4Shooting46.8% · 44.9%3-point %35.4% · 25.1%Ball care19.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds25.4% · 26.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Niigata   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Niigata wins
0
Nara wins
No previous meetings.
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AShiga56-77
11/11/23AShiga66-82
05/11/23AFukushima67-85
04/11/23AFukushima81-94
29/10/23HYamagata Wyverns89-77
28/10/23HYamagata Wyverns63-92
25/10/23AKoshigaya Alphas70-99
22/10/23AFukuoka67-87
21/10/23AFukuoka70-90
15/10/23AShizuoka70-72
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HShizuoka86-70
11/11/23HShizuoka56-81
05/11/23HYamagata Wyverns68-80
04/11/23HYamagata Wyverns76-70
28/10/23AFukuoka72-74
27/10/23AFukuoka68-74
25/10/23AKumamoto62-64
22/10/23HShiga78-88
21/10/23HShiga66-96
15/10/23HKobe58-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL8%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %8%25%0%
Points / game68.165.869.1
Allowed / game84.781.086.3
Point differential-16.6-15.2-17.2
Avg total152.8146.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW15%
HomeLWLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %15%25%0%
Points / game70.269.271.6
Allowed / game80.682.278.0
Point differential-10.5-13.0-6.4
Avg total150.8151.5149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1513287%88.877.0+11.8
2 Fukuoka1512380%80.975.1+5.8
3 Koshigaya Alphas1511473%85.272.5+12.7
4 Shiga159660%83.576.2+7.3
5 Kobe159660%78.176.3+1.9
6 Kumamoto159660%82.781.2+1.5
7 Aomori159660%84.785.5-0.8
8 Shizuoka158753%80.976.1+4.8
9 Yamagata Wyverns157847%80.383.3-3.0
10 Fukushima1551033%81.384.4-3.1
11 Ehime Orange Vikings1551033%77.384.7-7.4
12 Iwate1531220%70.278.1-7.9
13 Nara1321115%70.280.6-10.5
14 Niigata131128%68.184.7-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata1510191862
Nara1527191576
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.