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Iwate vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 71-77
17-15 26-21 5-22 23-19
Position#13
Record3-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Nara 🏆
Japan
Position#11
Record5-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game78.5
JapanB2.League· Morioka Takaya Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iwate v Nara
26 Nov 2023
IWAT71
NARA77
25 Nov 2023
IWAT69
NARA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
52-91
52
91
-39
33avg 58
A25/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 58
A28/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
54avg 58
A29/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
56-81
56
81
-25
44avg 58
H04/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
59avg 58
H05/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
62avg 58
H11/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 58
H12/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 58
A18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 58
A19/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
53avg 58
H25/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
16-25
12-18
8-18
21-16
16-24
18-20
15-18
17-20
19-17
14-23
21-18
15-16
13-16
11-22
17-27
20-21
20-23
10-16
20-19
22-9
17-25
15-24
20-17
21-12
22-17
19-20
16-20
22-19
21-27
26-22
17-17
26-23
22-19
5-12
20-22
22-21
14-22
16-13
17-24
149.1Avg total
69.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.178.2148.4-8.119%
Season at home (9)69.275.9145.1-6.722%
Season away (7)71.381.3152.6-10.014%
Last 10 (10)69.979.2149.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)76.077.0153.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.479.9146.3-13.414%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.374.9146.2-3.625%
vs Weaker (11)89.068.8157.8+20.282%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
62-64
62
64
-2
59avg 61
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 61
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 61
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
55avg 61
H05/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
56-81
56
81
-25
41avg 61
H11/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 61
H12/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
76-62
76
62
+14
69avg 61
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
82-77 OT
82
77
+5
no box
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 61
A25/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
15-20
17-16
18-11
17-18
12-20
15-18
24-18
15-21
22-14
18-15
17-24
20-22
18-12
21-21
17-15
15-19
14-23
20-22
19-16
13-24
19-19
12-18
12-20
18-17
26-17
20-13
22-23
15-15
27-10
19-19
15-18
23-15
21-21
10-22
17-13
21-22
22-14
13-16
24-17
144.7Avg total
72.6Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.978.5150.4-6.631%
Season at home (8)69.282.2151.5-13.025%
Season away (8)74.574.8149.2-0.238%
Last 10 (10)72.672.1144.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)76.071.8147.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)68.583.5152.0-15.06%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.176.4148.5-4.340%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
IwateNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A25/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H04/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H05/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A19/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/11
B2.League
78.4Avg total
38.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.736.275.9+3.546%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.933.674.5+7.259%-
Last 30 away (11)37.840.278.0-2.427%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.278.4-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.939.375.1-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.737.576.2+1.233%-
vs Weaker (9)44.032.176.1+11.978%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H05/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H11/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H12/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/11
B2.League
72.5Avg total
36.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.238.772.9-4.541%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.339.672.9-6.331%-
Last 30 away (13)35.237.572.8-2.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.072.5+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.875.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.441.672.9-10.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.235.472.6+1.870%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.816.1
43.8%
52.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
33.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.49.0
62.5%
71.0%9.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.0
49.3%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.6
28.6%
33.6%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.6%
71.0%13.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iwate
LLWWLLLLLL
Nara
WWWWLLWLLL
#13
League position
#11
-13.1
Net rating
-6.6
96.1
Offensive rating
99.8
109.2
Defensive rating
106.5
46.8%
Effective FG%
47.2%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.9%
3-point %
28.6%
57.9%
Assist %
57.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 99.8Defence109.2 · 106.5Shooting46.8% · 47.2%3-point %33.9% · 28.6%Ball care19.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Iwate   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Iwate wins
1
Nara wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Iwate v Nara69-80
09/11/14Nara v Iwate70-85
08/11/14Nara v Iwate63-89
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HNara69-80
19/11/23AFukushima73-76
18/11/23AFukushima86-85
12/11/23HKobe78-69
11/11/23HKobe74-75
05/11/23HFukuoka70-79
04/11/23HFukuoka56-81
29/10/23AKumamoto71-78
28/10/23AKumamoto70-78
25/10/23AShiga52-91
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AIwate80-69
21/11/23ANiigata82-77 OT
20/11/23ANiigata76-62
12/11/23HShizuoka86-70
11/11/23HShizuoka56-81
05/11/23HYamagata Wyverns68-80
04/11/23HYamagata Wyverns76-70
28/10/23AFukuoka72-74
27/10/23AFukuoka68-74
25/10/23AKumamoto62-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL19%
HomeLLLWL22%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %19%22%14%
Points / game70.169.271.3
Allowed / game78.275.981.3
Point differential-8.1-6.7-10.0
Avg total148.4145.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW31%
HomeLWLLW25%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%25%38%
Points / game71.969.274.5
Allowed / game78.582.274.8
Point differential-6.6-13.0-0.2
Avg total150.4151.5149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1614288%88.375.4+12.9
2 Fukuoka1613381%80.974.6+6.3
3 Koshigaya Alphas1712571%85.773.1+12.6
4 Shiga1610662%84.176.0+8.1
5 Aomori1610662%85.685.7-0.1
6 Shizuoka169756%80.876.2+4.6
7 Kobe169756%78.176.4+1.7
8 Kumamoto169756%83.182.4+0.7
9 Yamagata Wyverns178947%80.084.0-4.0
10 Fukushima1651131%80.484.2-3.8
11 Nara1651131%71.978.5-6.6
12 Ehime Orange Vikings1651131%77.185.2-8.2
13 Iwate1631319%70.178.2-8.1
14 Niigata161156%67.283.8-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iwate172652371
Nara1521221977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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