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Iwate vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 69-80
22-21 14-22 16-13 17-24
Position#13
Record3-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Nara 🏆
Japan
Position#11
Record4-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game79.1
JapanB2.League· Morioka Takaya Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iwate v Nara
26 Nov 2023
IWAT71
NARA77
25 Nov 2023
IWAT69
NARA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
67-71
67
71
-4
58avg 59
H22/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
52-91
52
91
-39
33avg 59
A25/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 59
A28/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
54avg 59
A29/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
56-81
56
81
-25
44avg 59
H04/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
59avg 59
H05/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
62avg 59
H11/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 59
H12/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 59
A18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 59
A19/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
14-17
19-17
15-12
16-30
16-25
12-18
8-18
21-16
16-24
18-20
15-18
17-20
19-17
14-23
21-18
15-16
13-16
11-22
17-27
20-21
20-23
10-16
20-19
22-9
17-25
15-24
20-17
21-12
22-17
19-20
16-20
22-19
21-27
26-22
17-17
26-23
22-19
5-12
20-22
148.0Avg total
69.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.278.1148.3-7.920%
Season at home (8)69.275.4144.6-6.125%
Season away (7)71.381.3152.6-10.014%
Last 10 (10)69.778.3148.0-8.620%
Last 5 (5)76.276.8153.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.479.9146.3-13.414%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.574.5146.0-2.927%
vs Weaker (12)88.069.3157.3+18.783%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 60
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
62-64
62
64
-2
59avg 60
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 60
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 60
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
55avg 60
H05/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
56-81
56
81
-25
41avg 60
H11/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 60
H12/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
76-62
76
62
+14
69avg 60
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
82-77 OT
82
77
+5
no box
A21/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
22-30
21-21
19-22
12-17
15-20
17-16
18-11
17-18
12-20
15-18
24-18
15-21
22-14
18-15
17-24
20-22
18-12
21-21
17-15
15-19
14-23
20-22
19-16
13-24
19-19
12-18
12-20
18-17
26-17
20-13
22-23
15-15
27-10
19-19
15-18
23-15
21-21
10-22
17-13
146.4Avg total
72.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.379.1150.5-7.827%
Season at home (8)69.282.2151.5-13.025%
Season away (7)73.775.6149.3-1.929%
Last 10 (10)72.474.0146.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)73.674.0147.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)68.583.5152.0-15.06%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.380.0152.3-7.730%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
IwateNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H22/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A25/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H04/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H05/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A19/11
B2.League
78.0Avg total
37.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.835.975.7+3.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.233.174.2+8.162%-
Last 30 away (12)38.039.777.7-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.178.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.081.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.939.375.1-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.937.075.9+1.936%-
vs Weaker (10)43.632.375.9+11.380%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A27/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H05/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H11/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H12/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/11
B2.League
72.9Avg total
36.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.738.972.6-5.238%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.339.672.9-6.331%-
Last 30 away (13)34.237.972.1-3.846%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.972.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.441.672.9-10.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.835.971.7-0.160%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.4
45.2%
52.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.1
32.9%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.08.8
62.9%
71.0%8.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.4
48.6%
52.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.3
26.9%
33.6%15.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.7
74.1%
71.0%13.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iwate
LWWLLLLLLL
Nara
WWWLLWLLLL
#13
League position
#11
-11.9
Net rating
-13.3
96.6
Offensive rating
96.7
108.5
Defensive rating
109.9
47.0%
Effective FG%
45.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
26.9%
57.3%
Assist %
57.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 96.7Defence108.5 · 109.9Shooting47.0% · 45.9%3-point %32.9% · 26.9%Ball care18.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 26.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Iwate   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Iwate wins
0
Nara wins
DateGameScore
09/11/14Nara v Iwate70-85
08/11/14Nara v Iwate63-89
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AFukushima73-76
18/11/23AFukushima86-85
12/11/23HKobe78-69
11/11/23HKobe74-75
05/11/23HFukuoka70-79
04/11/23HFukuoka56-81
29/10/23AKumamoto71-78
28/10/23AKumamoto70-78
25/10/23AShiga52-91
22/10/23HShizuoka67-71
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23ANiigata82-77 OT
20/11/23ANiigata76-62
12/11/23HShizuoka86-70
11/11/23HShizuoka56-81
05/11/23HYamagata Wyverns68-80
04/11/23HYamagata Wyverns76-70
28/10/23AFukuoka72-74
27/10/23AFukuoka68-74
25/10/23AKumamoto62-64
22/10/23HShiga78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL20%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%25%14%
Points / game70.269.271.3
Allowed / game78.175.481.3
Point differential-7.9-6.1-10.0
Avg total148.3144.6152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW27%
HomeLWLLW25%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game71.369.273.7
Allowed / game79.182.275.6
Point differential-7.8-13.0-1.9
Avg total150.5151.5149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1513287%88.877.0+11.8
2 Fukuoka1512380%80.975.1+5.8
3 Koshigaya Alphas1611569%85.473.8+11.7
4 Shiga159660%83.576.2+7.3
5 Kobe159660%78.176.3+1.9
6 Kumamoto159660%82.781.2+1.5
7 Aomori159660%84.785.5-0.8
8 Shizuoka158753%80.976.1+4.8
9 Yamagata Wyverns168850%81.183.6-2.6
10 Fukushima1551033%81.384.4-3.1
11 Ehime Orange Vikings1551033%77.384.7-7.4
12 Nara1541127%71.379.1-7.8
13 Iwate1531220%70.278.1-7.9
14 Niigata151147%68.383.9-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iwate2214161769
Nara2122132480
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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