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Noblesville Boom vs Sioux Falls Skyforce Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 113-119
Projected total 232.5
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game120.0
Vs
32%
68%
■ NOBL 32%■ SIOU 68%
Pythia win probability
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game125.0
Allowed / game115.0
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Noblesville Boom v Sioux Falls Skyforce
10 Dec 2026
NOBL v SIOU
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
NOBL v SIOU
upcoming
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The Noblesville Boom will host the Sioux Falls Skyforce on 17 November 2026 in the NBA G League, with the Skyforce the clear favourite as the model predicts a 68% chance of victory versus the Boom's 32% and a projected score of 113-119. The Boom are 1-3 in the season, averaging 115.2 points and conceding 120.8, while the Skyforce are undefeated 2-0, scoring 125.0 and allowing 115.0; the Boom's home record is 1-1 with 115.5 points and 110.5 allowed, and their last five games include a 121-126 loss to the Iowa Wolves, a 110-95 win over the same team, and a 128-135 defeat to the Windy City Bulls. The Skyforce's road record is 2-0, with two recent victories over the Grand Rapids Gold and a 132-140 loss to the South Bay Lakers. In their two previous meetings the Skyforce have won both, most recently 132-123 on 14 November 2025. The model assigns a 32% probability that the Boom cover the spread and a 4% chance of overtime, with a projected total of 232.5 points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Noblesville Boom win
31.9%fair 3.14
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sioux Falls Skyforce win
68.1%fair 1.47
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Noblesville BoomUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Westchester
#29
L
110-120
110
120
-10
H15/03
NBA - G League
Greensboro Swarm
#2
L
107-111
107
111
-4
A18/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
107-121
107
121
-14
H20/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
97-117
97
117
-20
H22/03
NBA - G League
Cleveland Charge
#7
W
134-112
134
112
+22
H26/03
NBA - G League
Windy City Bulls
#3
L
102-127
102
127
-25
A07/11
NBA - G League
Windy City Bulls
#3
L
128-135
128
135
-7
A08/11
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#24
W
110-95
110
95
+15
H11/11
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#24
L
121-126
121
126
-5
H12/11
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#13
W
134-117
134
117
+17
A13/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
29-29
29-29
28-33
36-35
21-26
27-28
23-22
36-35
20-22
23-32
28-32
26-25
24-40
27-24
20-28
32-32
36-28
31-29
35-23
25-38
19-29
25-29
33-31
34-41
30-27
25-40
39-27
23-38
25-18
35-23
27-16
32-24
35-34
21-37
33-31
–
–
–
–
233.1Avg total
115.0Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)119.0120.0239.0-1.040%
Season at home (2)115.5110.5226.0+5.050%
Season away (3)121.3126.3247.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)115.0118.1233.1-3.130%
Last 5 (5)119.0120.0239.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)115.3120.3235.7-5.022%
vs Similar (13)118.9120.1239.0-1.246%
vs Weaker (8)122.8118.1240.9+4.662%
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
118-119
118
119
-1
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
121-123 OT
121
123
-2
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
131-89
131
89
+42
H21/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
L
105-116
105
116
-11
H22/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
114-137
114
137
-23
A27/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
132-140
132
140
-8
A29/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#27
W
130-116
130
116
+14
A08/11
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#27
W
120-114
120
114
+6
A08/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
31-24
27-31
32-35
29-30
38-31
28-20
23-38
30-28
38-28
34-34
18-28
16-39
33-17
29-32
37-27
33-20
36-29
31-24
31-16
32-25
31-32
18-27
24-32
23-31
35-37
36-32
20-37
31-36
36-35
39-38
26-31
26-27
35-26
37-29
32-34
34-32
29-26
24-28
33-28
238.8Avg total
120.7Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)125.0115.0240.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)125.0115.0240.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)120.7118.1238.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)120.2124.6244.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)118.8124.5243.2-5.825%
vs Similar (15)116.7111.7228.4+5.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)119.0112.9231.9+6.155%
This opponent (Noblesville Boom) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 227
Over 227
61.6%
Under 227
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 232
Over 232
51.1%
Under 232
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 237
Over 237
40.5%
Under 237
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Noblesville Boom total 113.5
Over 113.5
48.8%
Under 113.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noblesville Boom total 117.5
Over 117.5
35.7%
Under 117.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noblesville Boom total 121.5
Over 121.5
24.2%
Under 121.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 110.5
Over 110.5
77.5%
Under 110.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 114.5
Over 114.5
66.2%
Under 114.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioux Falls Skyforce total 118.5
Over 118.5
53.1%
Under 118.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Noblesville Boom -3
NOBL -3
25.0%
SIOU +3
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
NOBL
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.
Spread Noblesville Boom 0
NOBL 0
31.9%
SIOU 0
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
NOBL
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.
Spread Noblesville Boom +3
NOBL +3
38.9%
SIOU -3
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
NOBL
No market prices yet.
SIOU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
Noblesville BoomSioux Falls Skyforce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Noblesville BoomLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Westchester
#29
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H15/03
NBA - G League
Greensboro Swarm
#2
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A18/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H20/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H22/03
NBA - G League
Cleveland Charge
#7
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H26/03
NBA - G League
Windy City Bulls
#3
L
44-67
44
67
-23
A07/11
NBA - G League
Windy City Bulls
#3
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A08/11
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#24
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H11/11
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#24
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H12/11
NBA - G League
117.4Avg total
56.3Scored
61.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)60.760.7121.4+0.048%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.357.8120.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (14)59.063.8122.8-4.836%-
Last 10 (9)56.361.1117.4-4.822%-
Last 5 (5)58.261.8120.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)58.262.2120.4-4.033%-
vs Similar (12)62.263.8126.1-1.650%-
vs Weaker (8)61.154.2115.4+6.962%-
This opponent (Sioux Falls Skyforce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sioux Falls SkyforceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H11/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H14/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H21/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H22/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A27/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A29/03
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#27
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A08/11
NBA - G League
Grand Rapids Gold
#27
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A08/11
NBA - G League
119.4Avg total
62.2Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.355.5115.8+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.954.7116.6+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)58.856.2115.0+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)62.257.2119.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)62.461.4123.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.861.2124.0+1.525%-
vs Similar (15)60.753.8114.5+6.980%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)59.055.6114.6+3.473%-
This opponent (Noblesville Boom) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Noblesville Boom wins
2
Sioux Falls Skyforce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AMotor City Cruise134-117
12/11/26HIowa Wolves121-126
11/11/26HIowa Wolves110-95
08/11/26AWindy City Bulls128-135
07/11/26AWindy City Bulls102-127
26/03/26HCleveland Charge134-112
22/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs97-117
20/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs107-121
18/03/26AGreensboro Swarm107-111
15/03/26HWestchester110-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AGrand Rapids Gold120-114
08/11/26AGrand Rapids Gold130-116
29/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers132-140
27/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers114-137
22/03/26HMexico City Capitanes105-116
21/03/26HMexico City Capitanes131-89
14/03/26HStockton Kings121-123 OT
11/03/26HStockton Kings120-118
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs118-119
08/03/26HAustin Toros Spurs116-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Noblesville Boom
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game119.0115.5121.3
Allowed / game120.0110.5126.3
Point differential-1.0+5.0-5.0
Avg total239.0226.0247.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sioux Falls Skyforce
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game125.0-125.0
Allowed / game115.0-115.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total240.0-240.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maine Celtics330100%120.3101.0+19.3
2 Wisconsin Herd220100%142.0127.0+15.0
3 Windy City Bulls330100%125.3114.3+11.0
4 Sioux Falls Skyforce220100%125.0115.0+10.0
5 Osceola Magic330100%102.393.7+8.7
6 Austin Toros Spurs220100%118.5113.0+5.5
7 Long Island Nets43175%117.0109.5+7.5
8 South Bay Lakers43175%115.8109.2+6.5
9 Mexico City Capitanes43175%98.093.0+5.0
10 San Diego Clippers43175%123.5121.0+2.5
11 Stockton Kings32167%125.3125.3+0.0
12 Greensboro Swarm42250%115.5108.8+6.8
13 Motor City Cruise21150%129.5128.0+1.5
14 Delaware Blue Coats21150%131.5132.0-0.5
15 Santa Cruz Warriors21150%117.0117.5-0.5
16 College Park Skyhawks42250%118.8125.0-6.2
17 Noblesville Boom52340%119.0120.0-1.0
18 Rio Grande Valley Vipers31233%102.799.3+3.3
19 Memphis Hustle31233%109.7108.0+1.7
20 Salt Lake City Stars31233%104.7104.7+0.0
21 Rip City Remix31233%113.0116.3-3.3
22 Texas Legends31233%95.3101.0-5.7
23 Raptors 90541325%116.8124.8-8.0
24 Iowa Wolves41325%118.8128.8-10.0
25 Oklahoma City Blue51420%93.4103.0-9.6
26 Birmingham Squadron1010%110.0117.0-7.0
27 Grand Rapids Gold3030%114.3121.3-7.0
28 Valley Suns3030%115.0123.3-8.3
29 Westchester2020%93.5109.5-16.0
30 Cleveland Charge1010%122.0142.0-20.0
31 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.
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