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North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-65
46-32 33-33
Position#45
Record19-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game70.7
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Pittsburgh
USA
Position#282
Record9-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · North Carolina v Pittsburgh
14 Feb 2026
NORT79
PITT65
08 Feb 2025
NORT67
PITT66
15 Mar 2024
NORT72
PITT65
01 Feb 2023
NORT64
PITT65
16 Feb 2022
NORT67
PITT76
08 Jan 2020
NORT65
PITT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A03/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A15/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A31/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-39
44-58
49-38
38-46
47-45
43-50
37-54
41-30
42-33
49-36
34-43
51-37
52-37
39-38
46-32
41-45
29-41
42-27
40-43
26-32
163.3Avg total
82.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.970.7152.6+11.279%
Season at home (15)85.165.5150.6+19.7100%
Season away (9)76.679.3155.9-2.844%
Last 10 (10)82.980.4163.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)80.075.0155.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.374.7145.0-4.333%
vs Similar (15)77.070.9147.9+6.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.968.2155.2+18.792%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#236
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A15/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
59-100
59
100
-41
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A22/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A04/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
54-70
54
70
-16
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-48
35-35
45-26
44-40
22-53
37-47
22-28
40-37
33-34
39-47
30-36
36-30
16-33
36-30
20-33
27-34
32-34
35-52
29-35
25-35
141.1Avg total
65.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.171.5141.6-1.436%
Season at home (16)73.673.6147.1+0.044%
Season away (9)64.067.8131.8-3.822%
Last 10 (10)65.475.7141.1-10.320%
Last 5 (5)60.072.4132.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.974.7139.6-9.819%
vs Similar (7)73.773.1146.9+0.643%
vs Weaker (7)77.760.7138.4+17.057%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -3.3-3.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -3.3-3.3
North CarolinaPittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A17/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/02
NCAA
82.0Avg total
41.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.935.073.9+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.932.573.4+8.482%-
Last 30 away (13)36.338.474.7-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.743.074.7-11.30%-
vs Similar (15)36.634.971.5+1.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.633.276.8+10.4100%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#236
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
22-53
22
53
-31
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A22/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A04/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H11/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
28.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.466.5-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.034.369.3+0.744%-
Last 30 away (12)30.332.062.3-1.725%-
Last 10 (10)28.636.064.6-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)25.434.259.6-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.135.165.2-5.131%-
vs Similar (7)35.435.370.7+0.129%-
vs Weaker (7)37.927.465.3+10.457%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
North Carolina wins
6
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25North Carolina v Pittsburgh67-66
29/01/25Pittsburgh v North Carolina73-65
15/03/24North Carolina v Pittsburgh72-65
03/01/24Pittsburgh v North Carolina57-70
02/02/23North Carolina v Pittsburgh64-65
30/12/22Pittsburgh v North Carolina76-74
17/02/22North Carolina v Pittsburgh67-76
27/01/21Pittsburgh v North Carolina65-75
18/01/20Pittsburgh v North Carolina66-52
09/01/20North Carolina v Pittsburgh65-73
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AMiami (FL)66-75
07/02/26HDuke71-68
03/02/26HSyracuse87-77
31/01/26AGeorgia Tech91-75
24/01/26AVirginia85-80
22/01/26HNotre Dame91-69
17/01/26ACalifornia78-84
15/01/26AStanford90-95
10/01/26HWake Forest87-84
03/01/26ASMU Mustangs83-97
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HDuke54-70
07/02/26HSMU Mustangs67-86
04/02/26AVirginia47-67
31/01/26AClemson52-63
27/01/26HWake Forest80-76 OT
24/01/26HNC State72-81
22/01/26ABoston College62-65
18/01/26HLouisville59-100
15/01/26AGeorgia Tech89-66
10/01/26HSyracuse72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %79%100%44%
Points / game81.985.176.6
Allowed / game70.765.579.3
Point differential+11.2+19.7-2.8
Avg total152.6150.6155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%87%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLLWLL44%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %36%44%22%
Points / game70.173.664.0
Allowed / game71.573.667.8
Point differential-1.4+0.0-3.8
Avg total141.6147.1131.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2523292%82.263.1+19.1
2 Virginia2521484%80.869.0+11.8
3 Miami (FL)2419579%83.869.8+14.0
4 North Carolina2419579%81.970.7+11.2
5 Clemson2620677%74.864.7+10.1
6 Louisville2418675%87.170.9+16.2
7 NC State2518772%85.374.3+11.0
8 SMU Mustangs2417771%86.577.5+9.0
9 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
10 Virginia Tech2517868%79.674.0+5.5
11 Stanford2516964%75.972.7+3.2
12 Syracuse25141156%76.471.9+4.5
13 Wake Forest24121250%80.277.6+2.6
14 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
15 Florida State24111346%79.978.8+1.1
16 Georgia Tech26111542%74.576.3-1.8
17 Pittsburgh2591636%70.171.5-1.4
18 Boston College2591636%67.469.3-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina463379
Pittsburgh323365
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