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North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-65
33-35 39-30
Position#19
Record26-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game70.0
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Pittsburgh
USA
Position#69
Record22-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Carolina v Pittsburgh
14 Feb 2026
NORT79
PITT65
08 Feb 2025
NORT67
PITT66
15 Mar 2024
NORT72
PITT65
01 Feb 2023
NORT64
PITT65
16 Feb 2022
NORT67
PITT76
08 Jan 2020
NORT65
PITT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H27/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
84-51
84
51
+33
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A09/03
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-43
42-37
40-41
35-31
42-42
37-44
50-39
46-42
26-16
28-28
37-32
38-39
37-45
42-25
41-25
43-26
40-31
44-48
46-30
46-37
149.5Avg total
79.4Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.970.0151.9+12.081%
Season at home (19)87.670.6158.2+17.089%
Season away (13)73.769.1142.8+4.669%
Last 10 (10)79.470.1149.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)82.867.6150.4+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.877.2163.0+8.783%
vs Weaker (23)80.767.4148.1+13.283%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H17/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
58-91
58
91
-33
A21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
90-65
90
65
+25
A02/03
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H06/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
29-34
35-31
39-32
37-27
49-32
33-45
25-46
36-36
43-28
31-27
31-42
47-32
43-33
42-31
46-42
39-29
42-44
38-26
43-43
145.6Avg total
76.6Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.967.5143.4+8.469%
Season at home (21)77.365.8143.1+11.571%
Season away (11)73.470.7144.1+2.664%
Last 10 (10)76.669.0145.6+7.680%
Last 5 (5)80.469.8150.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.575.5142.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.771.1142.8+0.644%
vs Weaker (19)77.066.2143.2+10.879%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +1.4+1.4
North CarolinaPittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A09/03
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H14/03
NCAA
73.7Avg total
39.3Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.934.172.9+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.434.275.5+7.265%-
Last 30 away (13)35.633.969.5+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.473.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.672.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.334.575.8+6.867%-
vs Weaker (23)38.233.571.7+4.757%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H24/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A02/03
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H06/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H14/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
37.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.267.4+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.831.666.4+3.353%-
Last 30 away (11)36.033.269.2+2.882%-
Last 10 (10)37.631.469.0+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.429.068.4+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.541.071.5-10.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.331.264.6+2.144%-
vs Weaker (19)36.731.768.4+5.074%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Carolina wins
5
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
03/01/24Pittsburgh v North Carolina57-70
02/02/23North Carolina v Pittsburgh64-65
30/12/22Pittsburgh v North Carolina76-74
17/02/22North Carolina v Pittsburgh67-76
27/01/21Pittsburgh v North Carolina65-75
18/01/20Pittsburgh v North Carolina66-52
09/01/20North Carolina v Pittsburgh65-73
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HFlorida State92-67
09/03/24ADuke84-79
06/03/24HNotre Dame84-51
02/03/24HNC State79-70
27/02/24HMiami (FL)75-71
24/02/24AVirginia54-44
17/02/24HVirginia Tech96-81
14/02/24ASyracuse79-86
10/02/24AMiami (FL)75-72
07/02/24HClemson76-80
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HWake Forest81-69
10/03/24HNC State81-73
06/03/24HFlorida State88-73
02/03/24ABoston College90-65
28/02/24AClemson62-69
24/02/24HVirginia Tech79-64
21/02/24AWake Forest58-91
17/02/24HLouisville86-59
14/02/24AVirginia74-63
08/02/24ANC State67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %81%89%69%
Points / game81.987.673.7
Allowed / game70.070.669.1
Point differential+12.0+17.0+4.6
Avg total151.9158.2142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%63%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %69%71%64%
Points / game75.977.373.4
Allowed / game67.565.870.7
Point differential+8.4+11.5+2.6
Avg total143.4143.1144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3226681%81.970.0+12.0
2 Duke3224875%79.867.4+12.4
3 Virginia3223972%63.559.2+4.4
4 Pittsburgh32221069%75.967.5+8.4
5 Clemson32211166%77.471.3+6.1
6 SMU Mustangs32201262%76.367.8+8.5
7 Syracuse32201262%76.375.6+0.7
8 Wake Forest33201361%78.270.5+7.7
9 NC State34201459%76.272.8+3.4
10 Virginia Tech32181456%75.071.1+3.9
11 Boston College34191556%74.672.1+2.5
12 Florida State33171652%76.576.3+0.2
13 Miami (FL)33151845%75.473.6+1.8
14 Stanford32141844%76.376.5-0.1
15 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
16 California32131941%74.077.0-3.1
17 Notre Dame33132039%64.067.2-3.1
18 Louisville3282425%72.079.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina333972
Pittsburgh353065
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