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North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-65
33-34 31-31
Position#117
Record15-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.0
North Carolina
USA
vs
Pittsburgh 🏆
USA
Position#72
Record15-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · North Carolina v Pittsburgh
14 Feb 2026
NORT79
PITT65
08 Feb 2025
NORT67
PITT66
15 Mar 2024
NORT72
PITT65
01 Feb 2023
NORT64
PITT65
16 Feb 2022
NORT67
PITT76
08 Jan 2020
NORT65
PITT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H18/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
44-35
41-34
39-42
40-34
34-42
37-38
51-41
41-28
40-36
29-27
29-38
37-26
43-33
31-26
41-38
34-33
46-36
38-34
34-34
147.8Avg total
77.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.272.0151.3+7.271%
Season at home (11)81.768.2149.9+13.5100%
Season away (10)76.576.3152.8+0.240%
Last 10 (10)77.470.4147.8+7.080%
Last 5 (5)72.465.0137.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.679.4166.0+7.275%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.370.7143.0+1.654%
vs Weaker (9)80.863.1143.9+17.7100%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#180
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A21/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H30/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A14/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A19/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H21/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-33
43-49
34-40
42-34
23-33
45-32
40-38
34-37
43-32
26-45
38-34
33-26
37-28
38-26
29-39
35-32
49-39
32-40
28-33
43-35
143.8Avg total
73.3Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.368.2142.5+6.168%
Season at home (14)74.268.8143.0+5.471%
Season away (8)74.467.1141.5+7.262%
Last 10 (10)73.370.5143.8+2.870%
Last 5 (5)72.466.4138.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.772.2130.8-13.533%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.570.3141.9+1.260%
vs Weaker (9)77.164.7141.8+12.478%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.5+1.5
North CarolinaPittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H18/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
68.7Avg total
36.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.167.5+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.828.466.2+9.480%-
Last 30 away (15)35.133.868.9+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.468.7+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)33.829.263.0+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.134.572.6+3.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.931.464.3+1.562%-
vs Weaker (9)40.027.767.7+12.3100%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#180
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A19/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H28/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.633.265.8-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.135.567.6-3.532%-
Last 30 away (11)33.529.262.7+4.473%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.971.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.670.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.031.756.7-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.733.767.4-0.147%-
vs Weaker (9)35.933.369.2+2.656%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
4
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
30/12/22Pittsburgh v North Carolina76-74
17/02/22North Carolina v Pittsburgh67-76
27/01/21Pittsburgh v North Carolina65-75
18/01/20Pittsburgh v North Carolina66-52
09/01/20North Carolina v Pittsburgh65-73
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23ASyracuse72-68
21/01/23HNC State80-69
18/01/23HBoston College72-64
14/01/23ALouisville80-59
11/01/23AVirginia58-65
07/01/23HNotre Dame81-64
05/01/23HWake Forest88-79
30/12/22APittsburgh74-76
22/12/22HMichigan80-76
17/12/22AOhio State89-84 OT
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HMiami (FL)71-68
26/01/23HWake Forest81-79
21/01/23HFlorida State64-71
19/01/23ALouisville75-54
14/01/23AGeorgia Tech71-60
12/01/23ADuke69-77
07/01/23HClemson74-75
04/01/23HVirginia68-65
30/12/22HNorth Carolina76-74
21/12/22ASyracuse84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%100%40%
Points / game79.281.776.5
Allowed / game72.068.276.3
Point differential+7.2+13.5+0.2
Avg total151.3149.9152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%64%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %68%71%62%
Points / game74.374.274.4
Allowed / game68.268.867.1
Point differential+6.1+5.4+7.2
Avg total142.5143.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2017385%70.560.2+10.2
2 Clemson2318578%73.866.6+7.2
3 NC State2217577%79.370.0+9.3
4 Duke2216673%72.963.7+9.2
5 North Carolina2115671%79.272.0+7.2
6 Pittsburgh2215768%74.368.2+6.1
7 Wake Forest2314961%77.273.1+4.1
8 Virginia Tech2213959%73.967.5+6.4
9 Syracuse23131057%74.470.6+3.9
10 Miami (FL)44242055%76.372.7+3.6
11 Boston College23111248%65.769.1-3.3
12 Notre Dame22101245%70.771.5-0.8
13 Stanford2191243%68.465.1+3.3
14 Georgia Tech2181338%67.771.3-3.6
15 SMU Mustangs2281436%70.074.1-4.1
16 Florida State2271532%69.874.3-4.5
17 California2131814%60.268.7-8.5
18 Louisville2121910%62.575.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina333164
Pittsburgh343165
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