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North Carolina vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 78-70
29-41 49-29
Position#105
Record14-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game69.4
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Florida State
USA
Position#42
Record14-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · North Carolina v Florida State
30 Dec 2025
NORT79
FLOR66
14 Mar 2024
NORT92
FLOR67
02 Dec 2023
NORT78
FLOR70
12 Feb 2022
NORT94
FLOR74
27 Feb 2021
NORT78
FLOR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#164
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
99-54
99
54
+45
H20/02
NCAA
Marquette
#195
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
38-41
31-33
49-40
43-33
43-43
34-27
41-38
21-33
29-30
41-39
50-48
18-27
30-33
41-30
41-32
48-29
51-25
29-45
41-38
146.1Avg total
75.6Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.269.4143.6+4.864%
Season at home (10)78.368.4146.7+9.980%
Season away (12)70.870.2141.0+0.550%
Last 10 (10)75.670.5146.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)78.069.2147.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.981.4155.3-7.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.169.8145.8+6.354%
vs Weaker (10)73.466.6140.0+6.890%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#137
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H16/01
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A19/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
92-85 OT
92
85
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H16/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
57-32
48-41
41-37
41-38
42-28
36-37
42-24
38-37
35-23
46-36
26-33
39-43
41-31
39-49
45-25
36-35
39-33
40-39
49-28
39-43
152.8Avg total
83.1Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.869.2148.9+10.682%
Season at home (12)81.667.9149.5+13.792%
Season away (5)75.472.2147.6+3.260%
Last 10 (10)83.169.7152.8+13.490%
Last 5 (5)81.072.8153.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.868.2143.0+6.767%
vs Weaker (24)78.569.2147.7+9.383%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +12.3+12.32nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +0.4+0.4
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +12.3+12.32nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +0.4+0.4
North CarolinaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A13/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#164
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H20/02
NCAA
Marquette
#195
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H25/02
NCAA
68.0Avg total
34.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.968.5-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.134.270.3+1.858%-
Last 30 away (18)31.935.467.3-3.439%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.768.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.069.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.938.970.7-7.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.234.669.8+0.554%-
vs Weaker (10)32.832.665.4+0.250%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#137
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A19/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H16/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A25/02
NCAA
71.1Avg total
41.7Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.231.369.4+6.983%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.031.271.2+8.895%-
Last 30 away (11)35.031.566.5+3.564%-
Last 10 (10)41.729.471.1+12.390%-
Last 5 (5)40.030.070.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.332.868.2+2.550%-
vs Weaker (24)38.930.969.8+8.092%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
2
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
16/01/21Florida State v North Carolina82-75
04/02/20Florida State v North Carolina65-59
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/21HMarquette70-83
20/02/21HLouisville99-54
18/02/21HNortheastern82-62
13/02/21AVirginia48-60
06/02/21ADuke91-87
03/02/21AClemson50-63
27/01/21APittsburgh75-65
23/01/21HNC State86-76
21/01/21HWake Forest80-73
16/01/21AFlorida State75-82
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/21AMiami (FL)88-71
20/02/21APittsburgh79-72
16/02/21HVirginia81-60
13/02/21HWake Forest92-85 OT
30/01/21AGeorgia Tech65-76
27/01/21HMiami (FL)81-59
23/01/21HClemson80-61
19/01/21ALouisville78-65
16/01/21HNorth Carolina82-75
13/01/21HNC State105-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game74.278.370.8
Allowed / game69.468.470.2
Point differential+4.8+9.9+0.5
Avg total143.6146.7141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %82%92%60%
Points / game79.881.675.4
Allowed / game69.267.972.2
Point differential+10.6+13.7+3.2
Avg total148.9149.5147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1714382%79.869.2+10.6
2 Clemson2015575%65.361.6+3.7
3 Virginia Tech1914574%71.565.7+5.7
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%74.366.6+7.7
5 Virginia2115671%68.860.6+8.2
6 Louisville1712571%68.565.8+2.7
7 North Carolina2214864%74.269.4+4.8
8 Georgia Tech2113862%75.370.0+5.4
9 Syracuse2113862%76.371.6+4.7
10 Stanford24141058%71.768.8+2.9
11 Duke1911858%76.171.2+4.9
12 NC State2011955%73.569.8+3.8
13 Pittsburgh189950%72.270.3+1.9
14 Notre Dame2291341%72.772.8-0.1
15 Wake Forest1861233%67.570.8-3.3
16 Miami (FL)2271532%66.071.4-5.5
17 California2681831%65.469.8-4.4
18 Boston College1741324%72.778.3-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina294978
Florida State412970
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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