PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

North Carolina vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-73
42-26 49-47
Position#105
Record15-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game69.5
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Duke
USA
Position#154
Record11-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAARound 10
Other2020-21
Meetings · North Carolina v Duke
07 Feb 2026
NORT71
DUKE68
08 Mar 2025
NORT69
DUKE82
03 Feb 2024
NORT93
DUKE84
04 Mar 2023
NORT57
DUKE62
05 Feb 2022
NORT67
DUKE87
06 Mar 2021
NORT91
DUKE73
08 Feb 2020
NORT96
DUKE98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#137
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#164
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
99-54
99
54
+45
H20/02
NCAA
Marquette
#195
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#42
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-33
43-43
34-27
41-38
21-33
29-30
41-39
50-48
18-27
30-33
41-30
41-32
48-29
51-25
29-45
41-38
29-41
49-29
28-34
42-38
144.1Avg total
74.9Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.269.5143.7+4.662%
Season at home (11)78.368.5146.8+9.782%
Season away (13)70.770.4141.1+0.346%
Last 10 (10)74.969.2144.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)79.868.2148.0+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.284.2161.4-7.040%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.869.9145.7+5.953%
vs Weaker (10)73.466.6140.0+6.890%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#78
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H30/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A02/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H09/02
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A13/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H23/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
73-80 OT
73
80
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
38-31
35-33
40-44
39-41
48-50
50-45
39-48
39-21
30-32
45-26
39-34
39-36
27-29
52-34
33-37
26-36
39-29
34-31
30-33
150.8Avg total
78.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.072.0148.0+3.952%
Season at home (13)77.773.4151.1+4.362%
Season away (8)73.169.9143.0+3.238%
Last 10 (10)78.472.4150.8+6.050%
Last 5 (5)77.071.4148.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.068.5140.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.870.8144.7+3.050%
vs Weaker (16)81.875.6157.4+6.262%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -0.4-0.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -0.4-0.4
North CarolinaDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#137
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A13/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#164
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H20/02
NCAA
Marquette
#195
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H27/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A02/03
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.635.068.7-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.534.870.3+0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)32.235.267.4-3.141%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.867.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.870.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.440.073.4-6.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.335.069.3-0.747%-
vs Weaker (10)32.832.665.4+0.250%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#78
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H30/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/02
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A13/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H23/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A03/03
NCAA
72.5Avg total
40.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.371.7+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.933.772.6+5.272%-
Last 30 away (12)35.235.270.4+0.142%-
Last 10 (10)40.032.572.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.671.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.034.066.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.433.670.0+2.858%-
vs Weaker (16)38.934.973.8+4.062%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
2
Duke wins
DateGameScore
06/02/21Duke v North Carolina87-91
07/03/20Duke v North Carolina89-76
08/02/20North Carolina v Duke96-98 OT
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21ASyracuse70-72
27/02/21HFlorida State78-70
25/02/21HMarquette70-83
20/02/21HLouisville99-54
18/02/21HNortheastern82-62
13/02/21AVirginia48-60
06/02/21ADuke91-87
03/02/21AClemson50-63
27/01/21APittsburgh75-65
23/01/21HNC State86-76
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21AGeorgia Tech77-81 OT
27/02/21HLouisville73-80 OT
23/02/21HSyracuse85-71
21/02/21HVirginia66-65
18/02/21AWake Forest84-60
13/02/21ANC State69-53
09/02/21HNotre Dame89-93
06/02/21HNorth Carolina87-91
02/02/21AMiami (FL)75-77
30/01/21HClemson79-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%82%46%
Points / game74.278.370.7
Allowed / game69.568.570.4
Point differential+4.6+9.7+0.3
Avg total143.7146.8141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %52%62%38%
Points / game76.077.773.1
Allowed / game72.073.469.9
Point differential+3.9+4.3+3.2
Avg total148.0151.1143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State2015575%79.670.0+9.6
2 Virginia Tech2015575%72.164.8+7.3
3 Virginia2317674%68.560.1+8.4
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%74.366.6+7.7
5 Clemson2216673%65.461.8+3.6
6 Louisville1913668%68.666.3+2.3
7 Georgia Tech2315865%75.670.0+5.6
8 Syracuse2315865%75.670.8+4.8
9 North Carolina2415962%74.269.5+4.6
10 NC State2213959%73.569.4+4.0
11 Stanford26141254%70.269.3+0.8
12 Duke21111052%76.072.0+3.9
13 Pittsburgh21101148%71.169.7+1.4
14 Notre Dame24101442%73.073.1-0.2
15 Miami (FL)2481633%65.971.2-5.3
16 California2781930%65.370.0-4.7
17 Wake Forest2161529%65.871.6-5.8
18 Boston College1941521%72.479.2-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina424991
Duke264773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.