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Florida State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-66
35-24 34-42
Position#42
Record15-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game70.0
Florida State 🏆
USA
vs
North Carolina
USA
Position#105
Record18-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Florida State v North Carolina
13 Jan 2027
FLOR v NORT
upcoming
24 Feb 2025
FLOR85
NORT96
27 Jan 2024
FLOR68
NORT75
27 Feb 2023
FLOR66
NORT77
12 Mar 2021
FLOR69
NORT66
16 Jan 2021
FLOR82
NORT75
03 Feb 2020
FLOR65
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#78
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
92-85 OT
92
85
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H16/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A25/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
93-64
93
64
+29
H04/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-24
38-37
35-23
46-36
26-33
39-43
41-31
39-49
45-25
36-35
39-33
40-39
49-28
39-43
41-29
29-49
53-35
40-29
31-47
42-36
151.1Avg total
80.2Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.670.0149.6+9.575%
Season at home (13)82.567.6150.1+14.892%
Season away (7)74.374.6148.9-0.343%
Last 10 (10)80.270.9151.1+9.370%
Last 5 (5)80.673.6154.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.169.6143.7+4.657%
vs Weaker (23)79.869.5149.3+10.383%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#164
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
99-54
99
54
+45
H20/02
NCAA
Marquette
#195
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#42
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A02/03
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H06/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
101-59
101
59
+42
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-39
50-48
18-27
30-33
41-30
41-32
48-29
51-25
29-45
41-38
29-41
49-29
28-34
42-38
42-26
49-47
50-36
51-23
32-35
49-38
150.4Avg total
81.1Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.069.4145.4+6.667%
Season at home (13)81.068.2149.2+12.885%
Season away (14)71.470.6142.0+0.950%
Last 10 (10)81.169.3150.4+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.269.4153.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.787.7157.3-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.069.5145.5+6.556%
vs Weaker (11)75.965.9141.8+10.091%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +9.4+9.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +10.2+10.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +9.4+9.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +10.2+10.2
Florida StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#78
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H16/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A25/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A27/02
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H04/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/03
NCAA
71.0Avg total
40.2Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.731.970.6+6.880%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.331.171.4+9.395%-
Last 30 away (11)35.933.369.2+2.655%-
Last 10 (10)40.230.871.0+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.477.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.132.368.4+3.957%-
vs Weaker (23)39.531.771.2+7.787%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A13/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#164
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H20/02
NCAA
Marquette
#195
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H27/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A02/03
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A12/03
NCAA
70.0Avg total
35.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.768.7-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.834.170.9+2.854%-
Last 30 away (17)31.735.266.9-3.535%-
Last 10 (10)35.834.270.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.470.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.042.771.7-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.634.569.1+0.144%-
vs Weaker (11)34.432.967.3+1.555%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Florida State wins
1
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21North Carolina v Florida State78-70
16/01/21Florida State v North Carolina82-75
04/02/20Florida State v North Carolina65-59
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21ANotre Dame73-83
04/03/21HBoston College93-64
27/02/21ANorth Carolina70-78
25/02/21AMiami (FL)88-71
20/02/21APittsburgh79-72
16/02/21HVirginia81-60
13/02/21HWake Forest92-85 OT
30/01/21AGeorgia Tech65-76
27/01/21HMiami (FL)81-59
23/01/21HClemson80-61
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/21AVirginia Tech81-73
11/03/21HNotre Dame101-59
06/03/21HDuke91-73
02/03/21ASyracuse70-72
27/02/21HFlorida State78-70
25/02/21HMarquette70-83
20/02/21HLouisville99-54
18/02/21HNortheastern82-62
13/02/21AVirginia48-60
06/02/21ADuke91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %75%92%43%
Points / game79.682.574.3
Allowed / game70.067.674.6
Point differential+9.6+14.8-0.3
Avg total149.7150.1148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%69%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%15%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%85%50%
Points / game76.081.071.4
Allowed / game69.468.270.6
Point differential+6.6+12.8+0.9
Avg total145.4149.2142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%46%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State2015575%79.670.0+9.6
2 Virginia2418675%68.660.5+8.2
3 Virginia Tech2115671%72.165.5+6.6
4 Clemson2316770%65.362.0+3.3
5 SMU Mustangs1611569%74.167.1+7.0
6 North Carolina2718967%76.069.4+6.6
7 Georgia Tech2416867%75.369.8+5.5
8 Louisville2013765%68.066.5+1.4
9 Syracuse2516964%75.870.7+5.1
10 NC State23131057%73.270.3+3.0
11 Duke24131154%76.071.3+4.7
12 Stanford27141352%69.769.6+0.1
13 Pittsburgh22101245%71.270.1+1.0
14 Notre Dame26111542%72.774.3-1.7
15 Miami (FL)27101737%66.471.0-4.5
16 California2992031%65.469.2-3.8
17 Wake Forest2261627%66.372.0-5.7
18 Boston College2041620%71.379.5-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State353469
North Carolina244266
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