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Northern Illinois vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 76-66
40-29 36-37
Position#352
Record4-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#243
Record9-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Ball State
28 Feb 2026
NORT43
BALL79
25 Jan 2025
NORT76
BALL66
20 Feb 2024
NORT63
BALL70
28 Jan 2023
NORT69
BALL87
27 Jan 2022
NORT67
BALL74
29 Dec 2020
NORT v BALL
upcoming
08 Dec 2020
NORT70
BALL79
06 Mar 2020
NORT54
BALL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benedictine (AZ)
#456
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H04/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
57-101
57
101
-44
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A19/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
117-50
117
50
+67
H31/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-33
43-37
28-56
29-45
28-36
32-45
59-21
58-29
37-33
34-42
21-35
29-33
39-57
31-51
42-48
27-36
29-35
37-36
27-39
43-33
149.9Avg total
71.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.576.2146.7-5.722%
Season at home (8)77.965.1143.0+12.850%
Season away (10)64.685.0149.6-20.40%
Last 10 (10)71.978.0149.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)65.080.6145.6-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.280.9143.1-18.612%
vs Similar (8)70.172.4142.5-2.225%
vs Weaker (4)89.064.0153.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A08/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-43
80
43
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-39
28-43
47-42
39-40
37-17
43-26
39-43
50-33
36-31
39-36
33-38
39-42
42-26
49-43
35-45
36-41
40-44
35-49
33-41
49-39
154.8Avg total
79.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.273.4149.6+2.850%
Season at home (10)79.171.5150.6+7.650%
Season away (8)72.675.8148.4-3.150%
Last 10 (10)79.075.8154.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)78.281.6159.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.878.2152.0-4.525%
vs Similar (12)72.778.2150.8-5.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)73.767.0140.7+6.758%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
Northern IllinoisBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benedictine (AZ)
#456
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A19/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
59-21
59
21
+38
H31/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/01
NCAA
74.9Avg total
35.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.736.769.4-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.532.668.2+2.938%-
Last 30 away (17)30.639.870.4-9.224%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.374.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.642.874.4-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.740.470.1-10.712%-
vs Similar (8)31.633.465.0-1.838%-
vs Weaker (4)43.531.274.8+12.275%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/01
NCAA
74.9Avg total
38.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.367.6+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.431.967.3+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.134.968.0-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.674.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.875.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.236.070.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (12)33.236.369.5-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.428.963.3+5.567%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northern Illinois wins
9
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25AWestern Michigan70-72
18/01/25HCentral Michigan66-71
15/01/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
11/01/25AOhio70-108
08/01/25HKent State50-68
04/01/25AEastern Michigan71-75
31/12/24HEWU Phantoms117-50
19/12/24AIllinois State60-81
07/12/24ANorthern Iowa57-101
04/12/24HBenedictine (AZ)89-70
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25ACentral Michigan82-80
18/01/25HToledo75-93
15/01/25AOhio71-86
11/01/25HBowling Green91-69
08/01/25HMiami (Ohio)72-80
04/01/25AKent State75-67
31/12/24HAnderson (Ind.)89-76
21/12/24HEvansville80-43
14/12/24ABellarmine86-82
08/12/24ASiu Edwardsville69-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game70.577.964.6
Allowed / game76.265.185.0
Point differential-5.7+12.8-20.4
Avg total146.7143.0149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.279.172.6
Allowed / game73.471.575.8
Point differential+2.8+7.6-3.1
Avg total149.6150.6148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron1914574%84.273.2+11.1
2 Miami (Ohio)1914574%82.472.8+9.6
3 Kent State1912763%69.764.5+5.2
4 Ohio1911858%80.375.1+5.3
5 Toledo1911858%77.877.5+0.4
6 Eastern Michigan1910953%73.978.1-4.2
7 Ball State189950%76.273.4+2.8
8 UMass2091145%76.275.7+0.6
9 Central Michigan1881044%73.670.7+2.9
10 Bowling Green1971237%76.375.6+0.6
11 Buffalo1961332%72.181.9-9.9
12 Western Michigan1851328%72.676.5-3.9
13 Northern Illinois1841422%70.576.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois403676
Ball State293766
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