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Northern Illinois vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-70
31-27 32-43
Position#307
Record9-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#226
Record12-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Ball State
28 Feb 2026
NORT43
BALL79
25 Jan 2025
NORT76
BALL66
20 Feb 2024
NORT63
BALL70
28 Jan 2023
NORT69
BALL87
27 Jan 2022
NORT67
BALL74
29 Dec 2020
NORT v BALL
upcoming
08 Dec 2020
NORT70
BALL79
06 Mar 2020
NORT54
BALL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H13/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H24/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A27/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A10/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
47-85
47
85
-38
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-43
40-40
35-40
41-43
38-38
35-51
26-39
45-42
36-30
27-33
28-32
48-34
30-31
32-28
31-36
35-39
31-34
41-34
26-44
21-41
146.5Avg total
69.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.378.4152.7-4.136%
Season at home (11)76.473.5149.9+2.845%
Season away (14)72.782.2154.9-9.529%
Last 10 (10)69.277.3146.5-8.130%
Last 5 (5)64.670.6135.2-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.181.6150.7-12.622%
vs Similar (6)75.879.8155.7-4.017%
vs Weaker (4)82.573.2155.8+9.2100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#107
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A14/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
87-59
87
59
+28
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
39-37
32-29
44-33
35-37
37-35
45-31
42-28
39-26
42-45
31-33
41-48
39-22
38-45
27-36
45-36
31-37
29-31
29-30
30-50
147.9Avg total
74.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.171.2145.4+2.948%
Season at home (13)79.768.8148.5+10.962%
Season away (12)68.173.9142.0-5.833%
Last 10 (10)74.373.6147.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)69.476.0145.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.881.8160.7-3.017%
vs Similar (10)69.280.6149.8-11.410%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)76.663.8140.4+12.879%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -0.1-0.1
Northern IllinoisBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A27/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A17/02
NCAA
68.0Avg total
31.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.672.1+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.034.370.3+1.731%-
Last 30 away (17)37.036.573.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)31.336.768.0-5.410%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.464.6-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.339.373.6-5.128%-
vs Similar (6)35.033.768.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (4)39.529.869.2+9.875%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#107
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A17/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A17/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
34.1Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.068.5+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.033.169.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)32.834.967.7-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.166.2+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.663.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.236.369.5-3.233%-
vs Similar (10)32.240.172.3-7.910%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.728.665.3+8.171%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northern Illinois wins
8
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AKent State47-85
14/02/24HBuffalo72-68
10/02/24ASouth Alabama66-75
07/02/24AMiami (Ohio)62-59
03/02/24HEastern Michigan76-66
31/01/24ACentral Michigan77-84 OT
27/01/24ABall State71-81
24/01/24HToledo73-89
17/01/24HKent State76-83
13/01/24HBowling Green72-83
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AMiami (Ohio)59-80
10/02/24ATexas State60-68
07/02/24HOhio79-84 OT
03/02/24AWestern Michigan77-67
31/01/24HBowling Green72-81
27/01/24HNorthern Illinois81-71
24/01/24ABuffalo87-59
20/01/24HMiami (Ohio)80-87 OT
17/01/24AEastern Michigan76-62
14/01/24AToledo72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL36%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %36%45%29%
Points / game74.376.472.7
Allowed / game78.473.582.2
Point differential-4.1+2.8-9.5
Avg total152.7149.9154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeLLWLL62%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%62%33%
Points / game74.179.768.1
Allowed / game71.268.873.9
Point differential+2.9+10.9-5.8
Avg total145.4148.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%46%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2619773%74.764.8+9.8
2 UMass2617965%79.771.4+8.2
3 Toledo2617965%80.577.1+3.4
4 Bowling Green26161062%75.272.0+3.2
5 Central Michigan26161062%66.769.4-2.8
6 Ohio26141254%78.372.3+6.1
7 Kent State26131350%76.171.6+4.5
8 Ball State25121348%74.171.2+2.9
9 Miami (Ohio)25121348%72.270.8+1.4
10 Eastern Michigan26101638%67.775.1-7.4
11 Northern Illinois2591636%74.378.4-4.1
12 Western Michigan2691735%70.674.6-4.0
13 Buffalo2642215%67.779.3-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois313263
Ball State274370
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