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Ball State vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-71
39-26 42-45
Position#226
Record10-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#307
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ball State v Northern Illinois
24 Jan 2026
BALL58
NORT53
15 Feb 2025
BALL89
NORT83
27 Jan 2024
BALL81
NORT71
14 Feb 2023
BALL87
NORT77
15 Feb 2022
BALL58
NORT64
16 Jan 2021
BALL78
NORT58
11 Feb 2020
BALL63
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A16/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A22/12
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A14/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
87-59
87
59
+28
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-38
41-33
29-40
43-43
27-39
36-41
30-41
39-41
29-31
36-40
35-33
41-47
33-40
39-37
32-29
44-33
35-37
37-35
45-31
42-28
149.5Avg total
74.3Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.070.0145.0+5.053%
Season at home (10)80.465.8146.2+14.670%
Season away (9)69.074.7143.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)74.375.2149.5-0.930%
Last 5 (5)78.273.0151.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.881.4160.2-2.620%
vs Similar (7)71.682.4154.0-10.914%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.165.7142.8+11.378%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#187
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A09/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#588
W
92-48
92
48
+44
H19/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H22/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A30/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H13/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-29
30-45
58-17
34-31
26-43
37-33
48-54
26-49
16-35
35-38
35-32
31-46
48-33
31-46
32-43
40-40
35-40
41-43
38-38
35-51
153.0Avg total
72.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.180.1157.2-3.133%
Season at home (9)76.975.0151.9+1.933%
Season away (9)77.285.2162.4-8.033%
Last 10 (10)72.880.2153.0-7.410%
Last 5 (5)75.485.6161.0-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.182.4153.5-11.416%
vs Similar (6)79.374.0153.3+5.350%
vs Weaker (3)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -8.2-8.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -8.2-8.2
Ball StateNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A16/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A17/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A24/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
33.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.570.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.033.871.8+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)33.335.268.5-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.969.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.070.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.436.470.8-2.040%-
vs Similar (7)33.043.076.0-10.014%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.330.667.9+6.767%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#187
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A09/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#588
W
58-17
58
17
+41
H19/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H22/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A30/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
16-35
16
35
-19
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/01
NCAA
74.1Avg total
37.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.673.7+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.534.971.5+1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.536.375.9+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.474.1+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.439.775.1-4.332%-
vs Similar (6)38.332.070.3+6.383%-
vs Weaker (3)42.328.370.7+14.0100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ball State wins
1
Northern Illinois wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ABuffalo87-59
20/01/24HMiami (Ohio)80-87 OT
17/01/24AEastern Michigan76-62
14/01/24AToledo72-77
10/01/24HAkron76-80
06/01/24HCentral Michigan65-71
03/01/24AKent State69-82
22/12/23AMinnesota63-80
16/12/23AIndiana State72-83
10/12/23HSiu Edwardsville83-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HToledo73-89
17/01/24HKent State76-83
13/01/24HBowling Green72-83
10/01/24AWestern Michigan90-95 OT
06/01/24AOhio66-78
03/01/24HAkron51-73
30/12/23AIowa74-103
22/12/23HNorthern Iowa63-76
19/12/23HCalumet College92-48
09/12/23AMonmouth71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWWLLL70%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%70%33%
Points / game75.080.469.0
Allowed / game70.065.874.7
Point differential+5.0+14.6-5.7
Avg total145.0146.2143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game77.176.977.2
Allowed / game80.175.085.2
Point differential-3.1+1.9-8.0
Avg total157.2151.9162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2015575%76.265.8+10.4
2 Bowling Green1914574%76.870.8+5.9
3 UMass1912763%81.272.0+9.2
4 Toledo1912763%78.776.3+2.4
5 Central Michigan2011955%66.871.2-4.5
6 Ball State1910953%75.070.0+5.0
7 Miami (Ohio)1910953%74.471.3+3.2
8 Ohio20101050%77.571.0+6.6
9 Kent State20101050%77.874.5+3.3
10 Eastern Michigan1981142%66.974.9-8.0
11 Western Michigan2081240%73.574.9-1.4
12 Northern Illinois1861233%77.180.1-3.1
13 Buffalo1821611%67.279.6-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State394281
Northern Illinois264571
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