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Northern Illinois vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 69-87
33-49 36-38
Position#271
Record8-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#103
Record13-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Ball State
28 Feb 2026
NORT43
BALL79
25 Jan 2025
NORT76
BALL66
20 Feb 2024
NORT63
BALL70
28 Jan 2023
NORT69
BALL87
27 Jan 2022
NORT67
BALL74
29 Dec 2020
NORT v BALL
upcoming
08 Dec 2020
NORT70
BALL79
06 Mar 2020
NORT54
BALL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A17/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H20/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A22/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A04/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H11/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A18/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A21/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-49
37-41
37-44
41-39
35-29
32-28
26-28
25-48
28-45
34-35
40-30
33-24
23-41
44-43
39-40
42-37
50-31
38-36
37-40
49-36
146.0Avg total
71.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.475.2145.7-4.840%
Season at home (7)76.377.3153.6-1.043%
Season away (13)67.274.2141.4-6.938%
Last 10 (10)71.674.4146.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)79.071.6150.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.774.3138.9-9.633%
vs Similar (6)66.276.5142.7-10.317%
vs Weaker (5)84.867.6152.4+17.280%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
42-35
17-24
41-30
29-28
41-35
40-37
50-46
30-31
40-32
29-26
42-50
47-30
28-31
31-29
40-41
28-45
37-41
27-45
38-46
143.4Avg total
71.8Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.069.3144.3+5.865%
Season at home (12)76.266.1142.3+10.283%
Season away (8)73.274.1147.4-0.938%
Last 10 (10)71.871.6143.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)69.476.8146.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.780.8155.4-6.133%
vs Similar (8)72.170.0142.1+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)73.369.3142.5+4.073%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +1.2+1.2
Northern IllinoisBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A17/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A07/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/01
NCAA
71.8Avg total
34.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.868.1-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.036.869.8-3.838%-
Last 30 away (17)31.835.066.8-3.224%-
Last 10 (10)34.137.771.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.474.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.635.765.3-6.117%-
vs Similar (6)29.838.568.3-8.717%-
vs Weaker (5)43.832.676.4+11.280%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
17-24
17
24
-7
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H29/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H25/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
31.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.668.5+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.932.167.0+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)35.035.570.5-0.554%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.964.8-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.067.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.438.172.6-3.733%-
vs Similar (8)33.833.166.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)33.931.565.4+2.564%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northern Illinois wins
5
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23HKent State86-76
21/01/23AEastern Michigan88-67
18/01/23AMiami (FL)81-77
14/01/23HToledo67-84
11/01/23HCentral Michigan73-54
07/01/23ABuffalo62-80
04/01/23AAkron51-76
22/12/22AIndiana State67-57
20/12/22HAlbany78-83
17/12/22AVCU Rams63-90
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23HBuffalo65-91
20/01/23AKent State65-86
18/01/23HWestern Michigan71-70
14/01/23HMiami (FL)75-61
11/01/23AOhio71-76
07/01/23HAkron70-63
04/01/23AToledo90-83
29/12/22HChicago State70-63
22/12/22HGeorgia Southern58-54
17/12/22HIllinois State83-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW40%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game70.476.367.2
Allowed / game75.277.374.2
Point differential-4.8-1.0-6.9
Avg total145.7153.6141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%43%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL65%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %65%83%38%
Points / game75.076.273.2
Allowed / game69.366.174.1
Point differential+5.8+10.2-0.9
Avg total144.3142.3147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State2117481%75.263.8+11.4
2 Akron2116576%72.762.1+10.6
3 Toledo2115671%85.178.4+6.7
4 Ball State2013765%75.069.3+5.8
5 UMass2113862%72.170.9+1.2
6 Ohio21111052%77.973.0+4.9
7 Buffalo21101148%79.776.8+2.9
8 Bowling Green21101148%78.177.0+1.1
9 Northern Illinois2081240%70.475.2-4.8
10 Central Michigan2071335%67.171.3-4.2
11 Western Michigan2061430%71.573.1-1.6
12 Eastern Michigan2151624%72.381.1-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois333669
Ball State493887
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