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Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 52-68
19-38 33-30
Position#342
Record8-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#143
Record14-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Bowling Green
11 Feb 2026
NORT52
BOWL68
04 Mar 2025
NORT58
BOWL71
13 Jan 2024
NORT72
BOWL83
18 Jan 2022
NORT83
BOWL92
02 Jan 2021
NORT42
BOWL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A13/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
38-38
26-47
47-30
25-37
36-38
26-28
33-49
40-33
30-35
30-32
47-48
22-29
31-29
35-30
50-35
38-40
23-45
35-37
40-37
142.1Avg total
68.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.076.4149.4-3.336%
Season at home (9)83.674.3157.9+9.267%
Season away (13)65.877.8143.5-12.015%
Last 10 (10)68.174.0142.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)70.272.4142.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.079.8145.7-13.814%
vs Similar (7)78.772.3151.0+6.457%
vs Weaker (2)114.563.0177.5+51.5100%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#189
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
93-96
93
96
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
52-52
45-45
48-51
27-43
40-34
46-36
39-43
32-23
40-31
38-39
34-34
32-39
46-50
32-20
27-42
40-27
37-25
14-40
40-51
153.1Avg total
75.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.071.0154.0+12.158%
Season at home (15)87.067.5154.5+19.567%
Season away (9)76.476.8153.2-0.344%
Last 10 (10)75.877.3153.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)68.073.4141.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.388.7161.0-16.30%
vs Similar (6)63.869.5133.3-5.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.968.4151.3+14.570%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -1.0-1.0
Northern IllinoisBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
30.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.936.970.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.436.273.6+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)31.237.468.6-6.124%-
Last 10 (10)30.635.666.2-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.665.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.438.468.8-8.019%-
vs Similar (7)37.136.473.6+0.757%-
vs Weaker (2)59.522.582.0+37.0100%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#189
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A07/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
14-40
14
40
-26
A07/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
34.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.370.9+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.032.971.9+6.165%-
Last 30 away (13)35.833.869.6+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.668.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.064.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.346.374.7-18.00%-
vs Similar (6)29.731.861.5-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.832.171.9+7.670%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northern Illinois wins
7
Bowling Green wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AGeorgia State75-74
31/01/26AMiami (Ohio)61-85
28/01/26HWestern Michigan85-65
24/01/26ABall State53-58
21/01/26AOhio77-80
17/01/26HUMass70-68
13/01/26AEastern Michigan59-77
07/01/26HToledo61-75
03/01/26AKent State73-77
31/12/25HBuffalo67-81
Bowling Greenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AArkansas State54-91
04/02/26HBall State77-52
01/02/26ACentral Michigan59-62
28/01/26HBuffalo78-89
24/01/26AToledo72-73
21/01/26AWestern Michigan72-54
17/01/26HEastern Michigan85-79
10/01/26HAkron67-77
07/01/26AKent State93-96
03/01/26AUMass101-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %36%67%15%
Points / game73.083.665.8
Allowed / game76.474.377.8
Point differential-3.3+9.2-12.0
Avg total149.4157.9143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %58%67%44%
Points / game83.087.076.4
Allowed / game71.067.576.8
Point differential+12.1+19.5-0.3
Avg total154.0154.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)24240100%92.774.3+18.4
2 Akron2419579%89.574.2+15.3
3 Kent State2517868%86.180.8+5.4
4 UMass25151060%80.675.8+4.8
5 Buffalo25151060%78.674.8+3.8
6 Bowling Green24141058%83.071.0+12.1
7 Toledo25131252%81.377.5+3.8
8 Ohio25131252%77.777.3+0.4
9 Northern Illinois2281436%73.076.4-3.3
10 Eastern Michigan2591636%71.573.3-1.8
11 Ball State2481633%66.369.8-3.5
12 Western Michigan2481633%74.880.0-5.2
13 Central Michigan2471729%73.478.6-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois193352
Bowling Green383068
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